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Chicago Fire vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Chicago Fire vs NYCFC predicted formations

Chicago Fire host NYCFC at Soldier Field on Saturday, October 10 (2:30 PM ET / 1:30 PM CT / 11:30 AM PT).

Chicago Fire have no fresh absences to contend with here, and that means Maren Haile-Selassie should lead the line again after a season that has already brought him 8 goals from 45 shots, with Robert Lewandowski and Philip Zinckernagel offering support from deeper areas and Robin Lod rotating into the final third. NYCFC arrive with their own spine intact: Nicolás Mercau remains the player to watch after a standout campaign in the attacking midfield role, with Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf both expected to feature alongside him in midfield.

Fifth in the East with forty-two points from twenty-six games, Chicago Fire have the look of a side building toward the business end of the season despite a rocky patch in the middle of this run, while NYCFC sit ninth and have struggled for any real consistency of their own. At Soldier Field, Chicago Fire’s attacking depth should be the deciding factor, with goals likely at both ends but the Fire holding the edge.

US viewers can watch Chicago Fire vs NYCFC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

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Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Chicago FireChicago Fire50%mkt 57%Our pick
DrawDraw22%mkt 29%
NYCFCNYCFC27%mkt 28%

Chicago Fire vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Chicago Fire at 50% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreChicago Fire 2-1 NYCFCMaren Haile-Selassie has already scored 8 goals this season, and with NYCFC having conceded in bunches, 2-1 looks the most likely route to victory for Chicago Fire.
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreNicolás Mercau has 15 goals for NYCFC and Maren Haile-Selassie has 8 for Chicago Fire, and with both attacks firing, both teams scoring looks the likely outcome.
66%
64%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Between Haile-Selassie's 8 goals, Zinckernagel's 5 and Mercau's 15 for NYCFC, there's enough firepower in this fixture for the goals to flow past 2.5.
65%
64%
In line
Anytime ScorerMaren Haile-Selassie to score anytimeMaren Haile-Selassie leads Chicago Fire's scoring with eight goals from 45 shots, 21 of them on target, making him the obvious source for Chicago's goals in this one.
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Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Chicago Fire sit fifth in the East with forty-two points from twenty-six games, won twelve, drawn six and lost eight, while NYCFC occupy ninth in the same conference as both sides continue to jostle for position in a crowded playoff picture.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Chicago Fire52612684638+842
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Team News Predicted

Chicago Fire vs NYCFC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Chicago Fire

4-4-2
J. Cohen
Leonardo Barroso
M. Mbokazi
J. Elliott
J. Dean
J. Bamba
S. Oregel Jr.
T. D'Avilla
P. Zinckernagel
J. Gomez
M. Haile-Selassie

NYCFC

4-2-3-1
T. Romero
N. Cavallo
Raul Gustavo
Thiago Martins
J. Sands
A. Perea
J. Shore
H. Wolf
N. Fernandez
A. Ojeda
B. Traore
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    Potential Match-Winners

    • Maren Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire): Chicago Fire’s striker has scored 8 goals from 45 shots this season, with 21 on target and 42 chances created, and remains the focal point of the home attack.
    • Philip Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire): The midfielder leads Chicago Fire for shots with 76, has created 54 chances and has chipped in with 5 goals of his own, making him the engine of this attack.
    • Nicolás Mercau (NYCFC): NYCFC’s attacking midfielder has been the standout performer in this matchup, with 15 goals, 51 chances created and 36 shots on target — comfortably the most dangerous player on the field.

    Recent Form

    Chicago Fire: D D L L W

    • 2026-09-27: Charlotte FC 0-1 Chicago Fire (W, away)
    • 2026-09-20: Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire (L, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Chicago Fire 1-2 New England Revolution (L, home)
    • 2026-09-10: Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami (D, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Toronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire (D, away)

    Chicago Fire’s form reads draw, draw, loss, loss, win, bookended by a 1-2 home defeat to New England Revolution and a 1-0 away win at Charlotte FC.

    NYCFC: D L W L D

    • 2026-09-27: Atlanta United 2-2 NYCFC (D, away)
    • 2026-09-19: NYCFC 0-1 New York Red Bulls (L, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Real Salt Lake 0-2 NYCFC (W, away)
    • 2026-09-10: NYCFC 1-2 New England Revolution (L, home)
    • 2026-09-05: NYCFC 0-0 Nashville SC (D, home)

    NYCFC’s form reads draw, loss, win, loss, draw, including a 2-2 draw away at Atlanta United and a 2-0 win at Real Salt Lake.

    Chicago Fire vs NYCFC Prediction

    Chicago Fire, fifth in the East, should have enough quality in Maren Haile-Selassie and Philip Zinckernagel to see off a NYCFC side stuck in ninth, with Nicolás Mercau’s class good for a goal of his own. Expect goals at both ends before Chicago Fire close it out 2-1.

    Squawka Signal

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