FC Dallas welcome Real Salt Lake to Toyota Stadium on Saturday night with two Western Conference playoff hopefuls separated by three points and Petar Musa carrying the form striker tag in MLS.
Kick-off is Saturday, May 9, at 8:30 PM ET.
Dallas sit seventh on 16 points after a 2-0 win at the Red Bulls last weekend. RSL are sixth on 19, having beaten Portland 2-0 in their last home outing. Musa has 10 league goals already; Sergi Solans has five for the visitors. The H2H is close — two Dallas wins, two draws, and an RSL victory in the last five — and the bookmakers price it as a tight home call.
Bet365 have Dallas at +110 and the visitors at +200, with the over and BTTS lines both heavily on the goals side.
Best Bets & Predictions: FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Musa to score anytime | -111 @ bet365 (52.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Musa has 10 goals and 19 shots on target in 10 starts — MLS’s most efficient striker right now. |
| FC Dallas to win | +110 @ bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Dallas have a high-volume goal threat in Musa and have lost just one of seven at Toyota Stadium this season. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -200 @ bet365 (66.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Seven of last nine RSL games have produced both teams scoring, and Musa rarely lets Dallas blank. |
| Over 2.5 goals | -175 @ bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Five of RSL’s last seven have featured three or more goals; same for three of Dallas’ last five at home. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 FC Dallas | +800 @ bet365 (11.1%) | ⭐⭐ | Musa scores at one end, RSL find a goal through Solans, Dallas hold on for the home win. |
| Sergi Solans to score anytime | +162 @ bet365 (38.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Solans has five goals and 14 shots on target in 10 — RSL’s most consistent volume threat. |
Our approach: Lead with Musa anytime at -111, stack BTTS Yes for the volume, and back Dallas to win at +110.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Polymarket traders have Dallas as the home pick, but the spread is razor-thin — RSL’s three points clear in the conference table tightens the directional read. Kalshi mirrors the bet365 line across the merged Match Result book. Both venues see this as essentially a coin-flip with a small home tilt.
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Season Form & Standings
Both clubs sit comfortably inside the Western Conference playoff line. RSL are sixth on 19, three clear of seventh-placed Dallas. Both have positive goal difference, and both rank inside the top half of the West for goals scored.
| Western Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 6 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 19 |
| FC Dallas | 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 16 |
Live MLS standings and the MLS stats hub for goal and assist leaderboards.
Potential Match-Winners
- Petar Musa (FC Dallas): 10 goals and 19 shots on target in 10 starts — the most efficient finisher in MLS this calendar year. Dallas’s entire attacking plan starts and ends with Musa.
- Logan Farrington (FC Dallas): Four goals and eight shots on target in 10 — the secondary striker who feeds off Musa’s pull.
- Sergi Solans (Real Salt Lake): Five goals and 14 shots on target in 10 — RSL’s most consistent volume threat.
- Diego Luna (Real Salt Lake): Three goals and five big chances created in seven starts. The creative force behind RSL’s quick attacks.
- Zavier Gozo (Real Salt Lake): Three goals, three assists, seven big chances created and 14 shots on target in 10 starts — the most active creator in the visiting setup.
Head-to-Head
The last four matches have produced two draws and a win each, underlining just how close this rivalry has been in recent times.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | FC Dallas 1-1 Real Salt Lake | MLS |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Real Salt Lake 0-1 FC Dallas | MLS |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Real Salt Lake 3-2 FC Dallas | MLS |
| May 25, 2024 | FC Dallas 3-3 Real Salt Lake | MLS |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Real Salt Lake 1-3 FC Dallas | MLS |
Recent Form
FC Dallas — D D L L W
- Apr 11: D 1-1 vs St. Louis City (home)
- Apr 18: D 2-2 vs LA Galaxy (home)
- Apr 22: L 0-1 vs Minnesota United (home)
- Apr 25: L 1-2 at Seattle Sounders (away)
- May 2: W 2-0 at New York Red Bulls (away)
One win in five and Toyota Stadium has been a draw factory recently. The Red Bulls win on Saturday is the bigger result of the bunch — clean sheet, two Musa-led goals, and a road three points.
Real Salt Lake — W W L L W
- Apr 4: W 3-1 vs Sporting KC (home)
- Apr 18: W 4-2 vs San Diego (home)
- Apr 22: L 0-2 vs Inter Miami (home)
- Apr 26: L 1-2 at LA Galaxy (away)
- May 1: W 2-0 vs Portland Timbers (home)
Five home wins out of six — though recent defeats to the Galaxy and Inter Miami are wake-up calls.
FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
Take the goal-volume play: Musa anytime at -111 is the cleanest read, BTTS Yes the volume bet, Dallas to win at +110 the value side. The 2-1 home correct score at +800 is the bigger-price punt.
Back Musa at bet365, or browse the bet365 review. The other Western fixtures are on the MLS hub.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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