Prediction Markets · Live
Kalshi vs Polymarket — implied probability, live
Implied probabilities sourced live from Kalshi (CFTC-regulated event contracts) and Polymarket (CFTC-regulated via QCX). Eligibility and availability vary by US state. 21+ where applicable.
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Kalshi
Kalshi
Who wins the 2026 World Cup?
Live implied probability from 48 nation markets · 23 Jun 2026, 02:01 UTC
Total volume
481.8M contracts
24h volume
31.2M
Open interest
403.4M
Movement · last 90 days
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Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid/last). Markets move — not financial advice. 21+. T&Cs apply.