Toronto FC vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Toronto FC host NYCFC at BMO Field on Saturday, August 29 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

There are no fresh absentees on either side for this one. Toronto FC should still lean on Dániel Sallói and Joshua Sargent, who have combined for nine goals between them this season, with Derrick Etienne and Emilio Aristizábal offering support from wide areas. NYCFC arrive with their own threats fit and available: Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf have each scored five times, while Keaton Parks and Talles Magno add further quality in the final third.

US viewers can watch Toronto FC vs NYCFC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Toronto FC vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions

Toronto FC look to grind out a tight home win over a playoff-chasing NYCFC at BMO Field.

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Toronto FCTop pickToronto FC head into this off a 2-1 win at Inter Miami, and with Dániel Sallói's five goals leading the line at BMO Field, the hosts have enough in front of goal to edge a tight one.

42%win prob.150 @ bet365

1-0 Toronto FCA 1-0 finish fits a Toronto side built around Sallói and Sargent doing the damage in front of goal rather than a game that opens up.

8%chance1100 @ bet365

NoNYCFC have scored one goal in each of their last two away trips, at Cincinnati and New England, not exactly the platform for goals at both ends here.

44%chance150 @ bet365

Under 2.5

47%chance135 @ bet365

Dániel Sallói to scoreDániel Sallói has scored 5 goals and created 20 chances this season, making him the likeliest source of the goal in a low-scoring script.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: Signal weighs each side's underlying attacking and defensive numbers alongside recent results and market pricing to settle on the most likely scoreline, not just the winner.

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Season Form & Standings

Toronto FC sit 10th in the Eastern Conference with 24 points from 21 games, while NYCFC sit seventh, both sides still firmly in the playoff picture as the regular season winds down.

Eastern Conference

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Potential Match-Winners

• Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Dániel Sallói leads Toronto’s scoring column with five goals and 20 chances created, the clearest source of threat in this one.
• Joshua Sargent (Toronto FC): Joshua Sargent has added 4 goals from 28 shots, giving Toronto a second focal point up front.
• Axel Ojeda (NYCFC): Axel Ojeda has been NYCFC’s standout, scoring 5 goals while creating 30 chances, more than any other player in this preview.

Recent Form

Toronto FC: L D W D W

• 2026-08-23: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto FC (W, away)
• 2026-08-20: Toronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FC (D, home)
• 2026-08-16: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution (W, home)
• 2026-08-01: NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC (D, away)
• 2026-07-26: DC United 2-1 Toronto FC (L, away)

Toronto FC’s last five have brought two wins, two draws and a loss: beaten at DC United, held 1-1 at NYCFC, then back-to-back home results — a 2-1 win over New England and a 3-3 draw with Charlotte — before a 2-1 win at Inter Miami last time out.

NYCFC: W D L L D

• 2026-08-23: New England Revolution 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)
• 2026-08-20: FC Cincinnati 2-1 NYCFC (L, away)
• 2026-08-16: NYCFC 2-3 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
• 2026-08-01: NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC (D, home)
• 2026-07-26: NYCFC 3-1 Chicago Fire (W, home)

NYCFC’s last five read one win, two draws and two losses: a 3-1 win over Chicago Fire, a 1-1 draw with Toronto FC, back-to-back defeats — 2-3 at home to Philadelphia Union and 2-1 away at FC Cincinnati — before a 1-1 draw at New England Revolution last time out.

Toronto FC vs NYCFC Prediction

This looks set to be tight. Toronto FC, 10th in the East on 24 points, have home advantage at BMO Field and enough in Sallói and Sargent’s combined output to nick the game without needing to open things up. NYCFC, seventh and still in the mix, have to travel and haven’t been fluent on the road of late. Signal’s model has this finishing 1-0 to Toronto FC, with Sallói the man most likely to get the goal that decides it.