Brighton vs Aston Villa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Brighton host Aston Villa at American Express Stadium on Sunday, August 23 (9:00 AM ET / 8:00 AM CT / 6:00 AM PT).

Brighton will assess the doubtful Kaoru Mitoma and the doubtful Yankuba Minteh, and go into this one already missing the injured Stefanos Tzimas, Evan Ferguson and Carlos Baleba. Daniel Welbeck leads the attack after scoring 13 goals last season, with Diego Gomez and Jack Hinshelwood also central to the way Brighton create chances. Aston Villa are without the injured Amadou Onana, Leon Bailey and Johan Manzambi, while the doubtful Alejandro Garnacho adds to the headache further forward. Oliver Watkins carries the goal threat after 16 last season, with Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendía and John McGinn combining to supply him.

US viewers can watch Brighton vs Aston Villa on NBC and Peacock.

Brighton vs Aston Villa: Best Bets & Predictions

Team news, prediction and best bets for the Amex clash between Brighton and Aston Villa

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

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Brighton to winHome advantage and Welbeck's goal threat make Brighton the shortest price of the three outcomes.

44%win prob.125 @ bet365

Both Teams to Score – YesTop pickBoth attacks carry proven output — Welbeck up top for Brighton, Watkins and Rogers doing the damage for Villa last season.

67%chance-200 @ bet365

Over 2.5 GoalsWith both sides likely to create at the other end, this leans toward a game with goals at both ends.

62%chance-163 @ bet365

Brighton 2-1 Aston VillaA narrow home win with goals for both sides ties together the result, BTTS and over 2.5 picks.

10%chance900 @ bet365

Daniel Welbeck to score anytimeWelbeck's 13 goals last season were comfortably Brighton's highest tally, and he remains the team's central attacking outlet.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: these picks are built from the team news, prior-season output and market pricing above — nothing here goes beyond what the numbers show.

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Season Form & Standings

Both sides begin this season on level terms — 0 points from 0 games played, with the table yet to take shape.

Premier League

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Potential Match-Winners

• Daniel Welbeck (Brighton): Welbeck scored 13 goals from 56 shots last season, with 28 on target — Brighton’s most productive outlet in front of goal.
• Oliver Watkins (Aston Villa): Watkins top-scored for Villa with 16 goals from 83 shots last season, 38 of which were on target.
• Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa): Rogers created a team-high 47 chances alongside 10 goals in 3,285 minutes last season, underlining his all-around influence behind Watkins.

Recent Form

Brighton: D W L W L

• 2026-05-17: Leeds 1-0 Brighton (L, away)
• 2026-05-09: Brighton 3-0 Wolves (W, home)
• 2026-05-02: Newcastle 3-1 Brighton (L, away)
• 2026-04-21: Brighton 3-0 Chelsea (W, home)
• 2026-04-18: Tottenham 2-2 Brighton (D, away)

Brighton’s last five matches of the previous season were a mixed bag: a 2-2 draw at Tottenham, a 3-0 home win over Chelsea, a 3-1 defeat at Newcastle, a 3-0 home win over Wolves and a 1-0 defeat at Leeds to close things out.

Aston Villa: W L L D W

• 2026-05-15: Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool (W, home)
• 2026-05-10: Burnley 2-2 Aston Villa (D, away)
• 2026-05-03: Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham (L, home)
• 2026-04-25: Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa (L, away)
• 2026-04-19: Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland (W, home)

Aston Villa’s run-in swung from one extreme to the other: a 4-3 home win over Sunderland, a 1-0 defeat at Fulham, a 1-2 home defeat to Tottenham, a 2-2 draw at Burnley and finally a 4-2 home win over Liverpool.

Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction

Neither side has a single point on the board yet this season, so this early trip to the American Express Stadium is as much about setting a tone as taking three points. Brighton closed last season with wins over Chelsea and Wolves either side of defeats at Newcastle and Leeds, while Aston Villa signed off with a home win over Liverpool after back-to-back losses to Fulham and Tottenham — form that points to two attacking sides capable of leaving gaps at the other end. Brighton edge it 2-1 at home, with goals at both ends.