San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes host St. Louis City SC at PayPal Park on Saturday, August 15 (10:30 PM ET / 9:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM PT).

There are no fresh fitness concerns to report for either side ahead of this one, so expect both to lean on their most trusted names. San Jose will look to Preston Judd, who has banked 11 goals in a team-high 1,370 minutes, with Timo Werner and Ousseni Bouda also pushing into the front line after 5 goals apiece this season. St. Louis City will hand their rhythm to Marcel Hartel, who has created 44 chances so far, with Simon Becher’s 45 shots showing he won’t shy away from pulling the trigger.

San Jose have been streaky rather than settled, but their third-place standing in the West suggests real quality when it clicks, and Judd’s touch in front of goal gives them the edge at PayPal Park. St. Louis City arrive full of confidence after a run of results that has them seventh in the West, and Hartel’s link-up play means chances at both ends look likely. Expect goals in both halves before the Quakes’ extra firepower proves decisive.

US viewers can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC: Best Bets & Predictions

Third-place San Jose host a St. Louis City side seventh in the West at PayPal Park.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

San Jose EarthquakesTop pickSan Jose currently sit third in the Western Conference, and home advantage at PayPal Park should be enough to see off a St. Louis City side seventh in the West.

48%win prob.opening soon @ bet365

2-1 San Jose EarthquakesPreston Judd's 11 goals for San Jose and Marcel Hartel's 6 goals and 44 chances created for St. Louis City point to a game where both sides find the net before the Quakes edge it 2-1.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

YesSan Jose shipped 4 goals as recently as their loss to FC Cincinnati, and St. Louis City's goal difference sits at 0 from 18 games, underlining how often both boxes get busy when these two are involved.

58%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Over 2.5With Preston Judd already up to 11 goals and Marcel Hartel supplying 44 chances created at the other end, this fixture has the attacking pieces to clear 2.5 goals comfortably.

56%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Preston Judd to score anytimePreston Judd's 11 goals from 55 shots, including 26 on target, make him the most trusted finisher on either team sheet this season.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we blend our Signal model's read of current standings and recent results with each team's top individual performers to land on a Result, Correct Score, BTTS and Over/Under call, then add the player most likely to find the net.

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Season Form & Standings

San Jose sit third in the Western Conference, firmly in the playoff picture, while St. Louis City are seventh in the West with 26 points, just outside the top of the table but well within range of a postseason spot.

Western Conference

Potential Match-Winners

• Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes): Judd’s 11 goals from 55 shots make him San Jose’s most direct scoring threat, with 26 of those efforts on target.
• Ousseni Bouda (San Jose Earthquakes): Bouda has added 5 goals and created 18 chances across 1,437 minutes, giving the Quakes another route to goal.
• Marcel Hartel (St. Louis City SC): Hartel leads St. Louis City’s creative side with 44 chances created and 6 goals from 60 shots this season.

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes: L W L D L

• 2026-08-02: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes (L, away)
• 2026-07-26: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 LA Galaxy (D, home)
• 2026-07-23: San Jose Earthquakes 0-4 Orlando City (L, home)
• 2026-05-24: Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes (W, away)
• 2026-05-17: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC Dallas (L, home)

San Jose have blown hot and cold — a 2-3 loss to FC Dallas, a 3-1 win at Portland Timbers, a 0-4 defeat to Orlando City, a 1-1 draw with LA Galaxy, and a 4-2 loss at FC Cincinnati in their last outing.

St. Louis City SC: W W W W D

• 2026-08-02: St. Louis City SC 1-1 Real Salt Lake (D, home)
• 2026-07-26: St. Louis City SC 1-0 Colorado Rapids (W, home)
• 2026-07-23: LA Galaxy 1-3 St. Louis City SC (W, away)
• 2026-07-17: St. Louis City SC 3-2 Sporting KC (W, home)
• 2026-05-23: St. Louis City SC 3-0 Austin FC (W, home)

St. Louis City have been the West’s form side — a 3-0 win over Austin FC, a 3-2 win over Sporting Kansas City, a 3-1 win at LA Galaxy, a 1-0 win over Colorado Rapids, and a 1-1 draw with Real Salt Lake in their last outing.

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City SC Prediction

San Jose’s third-place standing in the West points to a side capable of producing moments like this, and at PayPal Park, Judd’s poacher’s instincts should see off a St. Louis City side who, despite sitting seventh with 26 points, are happy to trade goals rather than shut up shop. Expect a lively night in San Jose that finishes 2-1 to the hosts.