Tottenham host Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, September 19 (7:30 AM ET / 6:30 AM CT / 4:30 AM PT).
Injured absentees Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert, Mykhailo Mudryk and Dejan Kulusevski leave Tottenham short in the final third, with Destiny Udogie and Pedro Porro also doubts. Mateus Fernandes and Omar Marmoush look the most involved of Spurs’ available options, with Fernandes creating 5 chances from 205 minutes and Marmoush firing 6 shots across his own early appearances. Aston Villa go into it without the injured Amadou Onana and Leon Goretzka, the suspended Joao Gomes da Silva, and the further-sidelined Ian Maatsen and Pau Torres, leaving John McGinn and Ross Barkley to carry the creative load through the middle — McGinn has created 3 chances and set up 1 goal, while Barkley leads the visitors with 7 shots and 6 chances created.
The recent scorelines tell a similar story on both sides: Tottenham drew 0-0 at Nottingham Forest and lost 0-2 at home to Newcastle, while Aston Villa were held 0-0 by Hull City and beaten 0-1 by Arsenal at Villa Park. Games this tight point to a low-event afternoon rather than an open shootout. Tottenham’s status as home side and Villa’s threadbare options in behind — with Amadou Onana and Leon Goretzka both missing — should tip the balance the hosts’ way, but this looks like a contest settled by one moment rather than a flood of chances.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa: Best Bets & Predictions
Spurs and Villa have both struggled for goals early on, and Tottenham Hotspur Stadium looks the stage for a tight, low-scoring afternoon.
Our approach: we weigh season-to-date league form, underlying shot and chance-creation numbers, and confirmed absences before settling on one scoreline, then flag any market price that looks out of step with our number.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
Season Form & Standings
Tottenham have taken 2 points from 4 games this season, with 2 draws and 2 losses leaving them on a goal difference of -5. Aston Villa have collected just 1 point from their opening 4, with 1 draw and 3 losses and a goal difference of -6 — the division’s early going has been unforgiving for both.
Premier League
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| Aston Villa | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Aston Villa
4-2-3-1Potential Match-Winners
- Mateus Fernandes (Tottenham): Tottenham’s most creative outlet in this sample, with 5 chances created and 1 shot on target from 205 minutes.
- Omar Marmoush (Tottenham): Has fired 6 shots in his early Spurs involvement, more than anyone else in this group, and looks the likeliest source of a breakthrough for the hosts.
- Ross Barkley (Aston Villa): Leads Aston Villa’s underlying numbers with 7 shots and 6 chances created, the busiest attacking outlet in a stretched Villa midfield.
Recent Form
Tottenham: L L D
- 2026-09-05: Nottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham (D, away)
- 2026-08-29: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle (L, home)
- 2026-08-22: Brentford 3-0 Tottenham (L, away)
Tottenham’s last 3 results have brought a 3-0 loss at Brentford, a 0-2 home defeat to Newcastle, and a 0-0 draw away at Nottingham Forest.
Aston Villa: L L D
- 2026-09-05: Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa (D, away)
- 2026-08-31: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (L, home)
- 2026-08-23: Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa (L, away)
Aston Villa’s last 3 outings have brought a 4-0 loss at Brighton, a 0-1 home defeat to Arsenal, and a 0-0 draw away at Hull City.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction
This looks set to be tight and low on chances, and we make Tottenham 1-0 winners — a scoreline that fits a fixture where both sides have gone through spells without scoring at all. Fernandes and Marmoush give the hosts the extra edge in the final third, while Villa’s threadbare options in behind make a repeat of their recent stalemates the more likely outcome for the visitors. The result and the price on Tottenham line up, but the number on Aston Villa looks the more generous one on the board — worth a glance for anyone shopping for value rather than just backing the favourite.