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Sunderland vs Brighton: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Sunderland vs Brighton predicted formations

Sunderland host Brighton at Stadium of Light on Saturday, October 10 (10:00 AM ET / 9:00 AM CT / 7:00 AM PT).

Sunderland head into this one without the suspended Reinildo Isnard Mandava, while thigh injuries have ruled out Mouhamadou Habib Diarra and Daniel Ballard, and a knee problem keeps Romaine Mundle sidelined. A doubt with a thigh issue, Brian Brobbey remains Sunderland’s leading threat up front on the season’s numbers, with Enzo Le Fée expected to drive things from attacking midfield. Brighton arrive with a long absentee list of their own: knee injuries have ruled out Stefanos Tzimas and Mats Wieffer, thigh problems account for Kaoru Mitoma and Femi Azeez, and Yankuba Minteh and Evan Ferguson are also out. Charalampos Kostoulas and Malick Yalcouyé look set to lead the line, with Maxim De Cuyper supplying from midfield, while a doubt with an upper back issue, Lewis Dunk, could still anchor the Brighton defence if passed fit.

Sunderland have taken four points from five games and look there for the taking defensively, but Brighton haven’t had things their own way either, drawing one and losing one in among three wins. Expect a cagey, low-event match at the Stadium of Light where clear sights at goal are rare, with the visitors’ extra quality in the final third the difference.

Sunderland vs Brighton: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal model picks a tight 0-1 win for Brighton at the Stadium of Light.

Brighton to winTop pickBrighton have taken ten points from five games to Sunderland's four, with a far superior goal difference of plus eleven against minus four.
Sunderland 0-1 BrightonOur model lands on a tight 0-1 scoreline, enough for Brighton to edge it without the game opening up.
BTTS – NoSunderland have shipped goals for fun this season, sitting on a goal difference of -4, and a shutout at this end looks more likely than goals from both sides.
Under 2.5 GoalsA tight, low-scoring script at the Stadium of Light points to this match staying under the 2.5-goal line.
Charalampos Kostoulas to score anytimeCharalampos Kostoulas has two goals from thirteen shots already this season, generating a shot volume that makes him Brighton's likeliest source of goals here.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: Squawka's Signal model weighs recent form, underlying chance quality and squad availability to settle on a single projected scoreline, then builds the rest of our betting slate around it.

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Season Form & Standings

Sunderland have taken four points from five games this season, with one win, one draw and three losses and a goal difference of minus four. Brighton have taken ten points from five games, winning three, drawing one and losing one, with a goal difference of plus eleven.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Brighton35311165+1110
Sunderland145113610-44
Team News Predicted

Sunderland vs Brighton Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
R. Roefs
D. Methalie
D. Ballard
K. Danso
N. Mukiele
N. Sadiki
G. Xhaka
N. Angulo
E. Le Fee
T. Meunier
B. Brobbey

Brighton

4-2-3-1
B. Verbruggen
O. Boscagli
P. Struijk
L. Vuskovic
F. Kadioglu
P. Gross
Chema Andres
M. De Cuyper
Y. Ayari
D. Gomez
C. Kostoulas
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Brian Brobbey (Sunderland): A doubt for Sunderland’s attack, Brian Brobbey has still scored three goals from eleven shots this season, with five of those efforts on target.
    • Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland): Enzo Le Fée has created eight chances in attacking midfield and found the net once himself, numbers that make him Sunderland’s main creative outlet.
    • Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton): Maxim De Cuyper has created eleven chances and claimed two assists from midfield, the clearest marker of Brighton’s attacking supply line.

    Recent Form

    Sunderland: L W D L L

    • 2026-09-20: Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (L, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Brentford 1-1 Sunderland (D, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham (W, home)
    • 2026-08-22: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland (L, away)

    Sunderland have won one, drawn one and lost three of their past five league matches, a run that reads L-W-D-L-L and leaves them on four points from five games.

    Brighton: W L D W W

    • 2026-09-19: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Coventry City 0-5 Brighton (W, away)
    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, home)
    • 2026-08-30: Chelsea 4-3 Brighton (L, away)
    • 2026-08-23: Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa (W, home)

    Brighton have won three, drawn one and lost one of their past five, a sequence of W-L-D-W-W that has them on ten points with a plus-eleven goal difference.

    Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction

    This has the makings of a tight, low-scoring afternoon at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland have taken four points from five games and conceded freely in defence, while Brighton arrive on ten points with a far healthier goal difference. Our Signal model sees Brighton’s quality telling in a scrappy contest, nicking it 0-1 without either side cutting loose.