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Lightning vs Jets: Prediction, Odds, Team News and Goalscorer Picks

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets prediction and picks

Anthony Colwell
1 day ago

These two met ten days ago and Tampa Bay won it 6-4. Winnipeg has scored 45 goals in 17 games and 13 of them belong to one player.

Josh Morrissey is on injured reserve with a wrist injury, which takes the best defenceman in the building out of a game Winnipeg needs.

Our verdict

Our pick: Tampa Bay to win
Score prediction: Lightning 4 – 2 Jets
Watch in Canada: Sportsnet

Our NHL picks this season

49–33 on the winner

Strike rate

60%

Graded picks

Every pick is graded on its own preview once the game finishes, misses included. The full game-by-game record is on our NHL picks page.

How to watch in Canada

	Detail
Game	Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets
Date	Sunday 8 November
Puck drop	6:00pm ET / 5:00pm CT
Venue	Canada Life Centre
Records	Tampa Bay 10-3-2, Winnipeg 6-8-3
In Canada	Sportsnet

Not every game reaches every part of the country live. The how to watch the NHL in Canada page explains which ones and why.

Lightning vs Jets odds at Canadian sportsbooks

The books had not opened this game in Canada at the time of writing. Keep an eye on the NHL odds page, which updates through the day.

Goalie matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning

Andrei Vasilevskiy Projected

8-3-1Record

.886Save %

2.75GAA

0Shutouts

Last 5 starts, save percentage

Vasilevskiy has started 12 of 15.

Winnipeg Jets

Stuart Skinner Projected

5-4-3Record

.885Save %

3.28GAA

0Shutouts

Last 5 starts, save percentage

12 of the 21 starts have gone to Skinner.

Starters are projected, never confirmed. Clubs name a goalie after the morning skate, so treat these as the likeliest call rather than the official one.

Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 12 of Tampa Bay’s 15 and is 8-3-1 at a 2.75. Stuart Skinner has started the same number for Winnipeg and sits at 5-4-3. Their save percentages are a thousandth apart, so the gap between them is what is happening in front, and there the difference is stark.

Team news

Player	Club	Status	Latest
Yanni Gourde	Tampa Bay Lightning	Injured Reserve, Hip	No timetable
Haydn Fleury	Winnipeg Jets	Day to day	Check the morning skate
Josh Morrissey	Winnipeg Jets	Injured Reserve, Wrist	No timetable
Nick Bjugstad	Winnipeg Jets	Injured Reserve, Pectoral	No timetable
Vladislav Namestnikov	Winnipeg Jets	Injured Reserve, Undisclosed	No timetable

Winnipeg is missing Josh Morrissey, Nick Bjugstad and Vladislav Namestnikov, with Haydn Fleury day to day on a hand injury. Morrissey is the one that matters: he plays the most minutes on the club and kills penalties on a unit that is already struggling. Tampa Bay is without Yanni Gourde.

Who is fit and who is not around the league is on our NHL injury report.

How they compare this season

This season	Tampa Bay Lightning	Winnipeg Jets
Record	10-3-2	6-8-3
Points	22 8th of 32	15 26th of 32
Goals for per game	3.73 5th of 32	2.65 28th of 32
Goals against per game	3.07 13th of 32	3.53 26th of 32
Power play	17.3% 25th of 32	18.0% 23rd of 32
Penalty kill	77.5% 16th of 32	69.4% 28th of 32

League rank out of 32 beside each figure. Green is a top-ten mark, red a bottom-ten one.

Tampa Bay scores more than all but four clubs and Winnipeg scores less than all but four. Both concede more than a team with designs on the playoffs would like, and only one of them is winning anyway.

Special teams

Each power play set against the kill it will face, with the league rank beside the figure. A top power play against a bottom kill is the single most reliable edge in a hockey preview.

Neither power play is any good, 25th and 23rd, so this is not the night either club solves it. The number that does matter is Winnipeg’s penalty kill at 69.4 per cent, 28th in the NHL, and it is now short Morrissey. Tampa Bay does not need a good power play to punish that.

Players to watch

Nikita Kucherov

4Goals

16Assists

20Points

41Shots

Points in his last 5

Brandon Hagel

8Goals

9Assists

17Points

62Shots

Points in his last 5

Kyle Connor

13Goals

6Assists

19Points

70Shots

Points in his last 5

Mark Scheifele

3Goals

13Assists

16Points

39Shots

Points in his last 5

Season totals, then points in each of the last five games. The goals, assists and shots behind each bar are in its label.

Kyle Connor has 13 goals, close to a third of everything Winnipeg has scored. Mark Scheifele has 13 assists. Nikita Kucherov has 16 assists of his own and Brandon Hagel has eight goals, which is how a Tampa Bay attack is supposed to look.

Recent meetings

Date	Result	Venue	Won
29 October 2026	Jets 4 – 6 Lightning	Tampa Bay	Lightning
5 March 2026	Lightning 1 – 4 Jets	Winnipeg	Jets
29 January 2026	Jets 1 – 4 Lightning	Tampa Bay	Lightning
14 November 2024	Jets 1 – 4 Lightning	Tampa Bay	Lightning
3 November 2024	Lightning 4 – 7 Jets	Winnipeg	Jets

The most recent meetings between the two clubs. All time the Jets lead 19–16 from 35 meetings.

They have met 35 times. Winnipeg leads the series by three wins, but nearly all of that cushion was banked before the current run, because Tampa Bay has taken three of the last four and the most recent of them was the 6-4 at home on 29 October.

How the last meeting unfolded

● Lightning 4 ● Jets 6

The running score in the last meeting, one step per goal. Each point names its scorer, the time and the strength it came at.

Where both clubs shoot from

Tampa Bay Lightning

60 attempts · 6 goals · 44 at even strength

Winnipeg Jets

48 attempts · 4 goals · 39 at even strength

Every attempt in the last meeting, from centre ice to the end boards, each club attacking to the right. The half rink is drawn to scale: blue line, faceoff circles, crease, goal line and net. A filled circle is a shot on goal, a larger purple one is a goal, and an outline is a miss or a block. Hover or tap a shot for the shooter and the situation.

Results so far

Tampa Bay Lightning10-3-2 · goal difference +10

Winnipeg Jets6-8-3 · goal difference -15

One bar per game this season, oldest first. Above the line is a win, below is a defeat, and amber is a defeat past regulation. “v” is home and “@” is away, and each bar carries the score.

Score prediction

Winnipeg is at home and that counts for something on a Sunday evening. It is also missing its best defenceman against the fifth-best offence in the league, and that counts for more.

Lightning vs Jets prediction

Tampa Bay scores more, concedes less, has the better goaltender on form and beat this same opponent ten days ago.

The case against is the schedule. Tampa Bay plays in Minnesota on Saturday night and arrives on the second half of a back-to-back, while Winnipeg has had three days off.

Our pick: Tampa Bay to win. Lightning 4–2 Jets. What would change it: if Morrissey were cleared to play. He is on injured reserve as we write, so it is not in prospect, but his return would change how Winnipeg defends this.

See the NHL power rankings for where these two stand, and the NHL schedule for the rest of Sunday’s card. The NHL player props page is the place for scorer, shot and save markets on this one.

Is Josh Morrissey playing against Tampa Bay?

No. Morrissey is on injured reserve with a wrist injury. Winnipeg is also without Nick Bjugstad and Vladislav Namestnikov.

What channel is Lightning vs Jets on in Canada?

Sportsnet has the Canadian broadcast. Puck drop is 6:00pm ET / 5:00pm CT on Sunday 8 November.

Who has won more Lightning vs Jets games?

Winnipeg, by 19 wins to 16 across 35 meetings, though Tampa Bay has won three of the last four.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.