Linus Ullmark came off injured reserve on Sunday, and before he went down he was 7-1-0 with a .945. Whether he starts is the first question in this game.
Capitals vs Senators is also Alex Ovechkin’s latest trip to Ottawa, and he arrives with one goal in 15 games. Washington has won once in its last three, while Ottawa has won two straight.
Our verdict
Our pick
Ottawa to win
Score prediction
Capitals 2 – 3 Senators
Against the market
Senators 55% at the Canadian books
Watch in Canada
TSN5 and RDS2 (Senators region)
Our NHL picks this season
49–33 on the winner
Strike rate
60%
Graded picks
82
Every pick is graded on its own preview once the game finishes, misses included. The full game-by-game record is on our NHL picks page.
Prices from 4 Canadian sportsbooks, captured on 10 November. They are stored prices rather than live ones, and a line moves with every injury update, so check the current number before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than an open-market book. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
Goalie matchup
Washington Capitals
Logan ThompsonProjected
6-4-0Record
.888Save %
3.20GAA
0Shutouts
Last 5 starts, save percentage
Thompson has started 11 of 15.
Ottawa Senators
Linus UllmarkProjected
7-1-0Record
.945Save %
1.33GAA
0Shutouts
Last 5 starts, save percentage
Ersson started the last game, but Ullmark has 8 of the 18 starts and has had 3 days’ rest.
Starters are projected, never confirmed. Clubs name a goalie after the morning skate, so treat these as the likeliest call rather than the official one.
Ullmark has 8 of Ottawa’s 18 starts, but Samuel Ersson has gone since, including Saturday’s 4-2 win over Utah. Ottawa may ease him back in after nearly three weeks away, but a .945 is hard to leave on the bench. Logan Thompson has 11 of Washington’s 15 starts at .888, with Charlie Lindgren the alternative.
Team news
Player
Club
Status
Latest
Patrick Thomas
Washington Capitals
Injured Reserve, Upper Body
No timetable
Rasmus Sandin
Washington Capitals
Injured Reserve, Knee
No timetable
Vincent Desharnais
Washington Capitals
Injured Reserve, Abdomen
No timetable
Andre Burakovsky
Ottawa Senators
Injured Reserve, Lower Body
No timetable
Warren Foegele
Ottawa Senators
Injured Reserve, Knee
No timetable
William Eklund
Ottawa Senators
Injured Reserve, Ankle
No timetable
Ottawa is without Warren Foegele and Andre Burakovsky, both on injured reserve. Washington is missing Rasmus Sandin, who hasn’t played this season after knee surgery, and Vincent Desharnais. Justin Holl was recalled from Hershey on Monday.
League rank out of 32 beside each figure. Green is a top-ten mark, red a bottom-ten one.
Washington scores 3.53 a game, tenth, but concedes 3.40, 22nd. Ottawa is the steadier team, allowing 3.00 and sitting ninth. On paper it’s the Senators’ defence against the Capitals’ attack.
Special teams
Each power play set against the kill it will face, with the league rank beside the figure. A top power play against a bottom kill is the single most reliable edge in a hockey preview.
Neither power play frightens anybody. Ottawa’s converts 13.2 per cent, 31st in the league, and Washington’s sits 21st at 20 per cent. Both kills are below average too, 19th and 22nd, so something has to give at one end.
Players to watch
Jordan Kyrou
5Goals
9Assists
14Points
24Shots
Points in his last 5
Dylan Strome
3Goals
11Assists
14Points
32Shots
Points in his last 5
Tim Stützle
9Goals
14Assists
23Points
42Shots
Points in his last 5
Drake Batherson
9Goals
9Assists
18Points
40Shots
Points in his last 5
Season totals, then points in each of the last five games. The goals, assists and shots behind each bar are in its label.
Jordan Kyrou has 14 points, three of them against Dallas a week ago. Dylan Strome has 11 assists. Tim Stützle has 23 points and put seven shots on goal in one game at San Jose. Drake Batherson has nine goals but none in his last three.
Recent meetings
Date
Result
Venue
Won
18 March 2026
Senators 1 – 4 Capitals
Washington
Capitals
1 January 2026
Capitals 3 – 4 Senators
Ottawa
Senators
25 October 2025
Senators 7 – 1 Capitals
Washington
Senators
3 March 2025
Senators 4 – 5 Capitals SO
Washington
Capitals
30 January 2025
Capitals 4 – 5 Senators OT
Ottawa
Senators
The most recent meetings between the two clubs. All time the Capitals lead 66–56 from 122 meetings.
The last five meetings split three to two for Ottawa, including a 7-1 Senators win in October 2025. Washington took the most recent, 4-1. The Capitals lead the all-time series with 66 wins in 122 games.
How the last meeting unfolded
● Capitals 1● Senators 4
The running score in the last meeting, one step per goal. Each point names its scorer, the time and the strength it came at.
On 18 March in Washington, Ovechkin opened the scoring midway through the second period and Tom Wilson added another. Stützle pulled one back late in the third before Aliaksei Protas and Cole Hutson sealed it. Ottawa never led.
Where both clubs shoot from
Washington Capitals
54 attempts · 4 goals · 46 at even strength
Ottawa Senators
76 attempts · 1 goal · 54 at even strength
Every attempt in the last meeting, from centre ice to the end boards, each club attacking to the right. The half rink is drawn to scale: blue line, faceoff circles, crease, goal line and net. A filled circle is a shot on goal, a larger purple one is a goal, and an outline is a miss or a block. Hover or tap a shot for the shooter and the situation. 3 attempts from inside the shooting club’s own half are left off.
Ottawa had 76 shot attempts to Washington’s 54 that night and scored once.
Results so far
Washington Capitals9-6-0 · goal difference +2
Ottawa Senators11-6-1 · goal difference +4
One bar per game this season, oldest first. Above the line is a win, below is a defeat, and amber is a defeat past regulation. “v” is home and “@” is away, and each bar carries the score.
Score prediction
Ottawa is at home with the better defence, and whoever starts in its net has been at least as good as Thompson this season. Tight one. Senators by one.
Capitals vs Senators prediction
Ottawa has won two straight, allows fewer goals and is at home. The market makes the Senators about 55 per cent.
The case against is Ottawa’s power play, the second-worst in the NHL, and a Washington attack that scores more than the Senators do. That’s a real worry.
Our pick: Ottawa to win. Capitals 2–3 Senators. What would change it: if Ullmark sits and Ersson starts, which would shrink the goaltending edge to almost nothing.
Each club’s place in the league is tracked weekly in the NHL power rankings, and the NHL schedule carries the rest of Tuesday’s card. Anything priced on a player rather than the game is on our NHL player props page.
Is Linus Ullmark starting for the Senators against the Capitals?
He was activated from injured reserve on 8 November and is available. Ottawa hadn’t named a starter when we checked, and Samuel Ersson has started the recent games.
What channel is Capitals vs Senators on in Canada?
TSN5 and RDS2 carry it in the Senators’ region. It starts at 7:00pm ET on Tuesday.
How many goals does Alex Ovechkin have this season?
One, in 15 games. It came on 11 October.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.
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