Golden State has won eight straight, the last a 138-87 rout of New Orleans on Monday. Stephen Curry has scored 25 or more in each of his last five.
Both clubs are 8-3. The Rockets beat Denver 110-100 at home on Monday, with Kevin Durant scoring 23 and Alperen Sengun adding 20, and each had 12 rebounds and eight assists.
Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.
How to watch Warriors vs Rockets in Canada
Sportsnet and Sportsnet+ carry this one in Canada. For League Pass and other ways to watch, see our how to watch the NBA in Canada page.
Warriors vs Rockets odds
| Sportsbook | Warriors | Rockets | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | +185 | −225 | Rockets −6 (−110) | O/U 222.5 (−110 / −110) |
| Mise-o-jeu provincial | +191 | −222 | Rockets −6.5 (−102) | O/U 222.5 (−108 / −108) |
| PlayAlberta provincial | +179 | −217 | – | O/U 222.5 (−108 / −108) |
| TonyBet | +185 | −227 | Rockets −4.5 (−135) | O/U 222.5 (−109 / −112) |
| theScore Bet | +195 | −230 | Rockets −6.5 (−105) | O/U 222.5 (−110 / −110) |
Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Wednesday 11 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
How the line has moved
| Sportsbook | Warriors | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | +185 → +185 | −225 → −225 |
| Mise-o-jeu | +164 → +191 ▲ | −189 → −222 ▼ |
| PlayAlberta | +162 → +179 ▲ | −192 → −217 ▼ |
| TonyBet | +160 → +185 ▲ | −196 → −227 ▼ |
| theScore Bet | +155 → +195 ▲ | −185 → −230 ▼ |
Moneyline at the first and latest stored capture (6:32 p.m. to 3:02 a.m. ET). ▲ the price lengthened, ▼ it shortened.
The spread and total in context
| Each game against the spread | Each game against the total | |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 9 of 11: lost by 5 or fewer, or won | 8 of 11 over 222.5 |
| Rockets | 7 of 11: won by 6 or more | 7 of 11 over 222.5 |
One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.
Home, road and rest
| At home | On the road | Second of a back-to-back | With a day or more off | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 6-1 (+15.3) | 2-2 (-1.5) | 1-1 (-3.0) | 7-1 (+16.1) |
| Rockets | 5-1 (+10.8) | 3-2 (+7.0) | 2-0 (+14.0) | 5-3 (+6.8) |
Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.
Projected starting fives
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 30.6 | 4.1 | 4.3 | Available |
| Brandin Podziemski | 16.8 | 5.0 | 4.2 | Available |
| Gui Santos | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.5 | Available |
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 21.4 | 7.2 | 4.0 | Available |
| Draymond Green | 2.8 | 4.9 | 7.6 | Available |
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet | 13.2 | 3.2 | 5.6 | Available |
| Kevin Durant | 21.0 | 6.3 | 3.5 | Available |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 17.0 | 6.5 | 2.4 | Available |
| Amen Thompson | 14.9 | 6.6 | 3.0 | Available |
| Alperen Sengun | 21.3 | 9.1 | 7.8 | Available |
The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.
Team news
| Club | Player | Status | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State | Brandon Williams | Out, hamstring | No timetable |
| Golden State | Gary Payton II | Out, knee | Out for this game (10 Nov) |
| Golden State | Jimmy Butler III | Out, knee | No timetable |
| Golden State | Kristaps Porzingis | Out, illness | No timetable |
| Golden State | Moses Moody | Out, knee | No timetable |
| Golden State | Will Richard | Probable, thumb | Probable on the league’s 5:30 p.m. ET report |
| Houston | Clint Capela | Out, ankle | No timetable |
| Houston | Steven Adams | Out, calf | No timetable |
Golden State is without Jimmy Butler III (right ACL surgery), Moses Moody (patellar tendon surgery), Gary Payton II (knee), Brandon Williams (hamstring) and Kristaps Porzingis, who is listed as not with the team. Will Richard (thumb) is probable. Houston has Steven Adams (soleus) and Clint Capela (ankle) out.
League-wide statuses live on our NBA injury report.
How the Warriors and Rockets compare this season
League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (11 and 11 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.
The net ratings are almost identical: +9.0 for Golden State and +9.1 for Houston. The Warriors make 40.3 per cent of their threes, best in the league, and the Rockets have the better defence, seventh to Golden State’s 11th.
Curry against Houston’s perimeter defence decides it. He’s averaging 30.6 points on a 72.2 true shooting mark and makes 45.7 per cent of his threes.
Results so far
One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.
Curry v Sengun
| 30.6 | Points | 21.3 | ||
| 4.1 | Rebounds | 9.1 | ||
| 4.3 | Assists | 7.8 | ||
| 1.8 | Turnovers | 3.0 | ||
| 1.0 | Steals | 1.1 | ||
| 33.4 | Usage % | 26.0 | ||
| 72.2 | True shooting % | 58.5 | ||
| 45.7 | Three-point % | 47.4 | ||
| 4.7 | Threes made | 1.0 | ||
| 8.4 | Free throws tried | 5.6 | ||
| +91 | Plus-minus, season | +85 |
Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.
Players to watch
Yaxel Lendeborg averages 21.4 points for the Warriors. Sengun is putting up 21.3 points, 9.1 rebounds and 7.8 assists, and Durant has scored 21 or more in his last three.
Warriors vs Rockets player props
Bet99 over −120 · Bet99 under −110 · TonyBet over −127 · TonyBet under −105
Bet99 and TonyBet set Curry at 26.5 points. He’s cleared it in four of his last five, and we lean to the over.
| Player | Market | Line | Best over | Best under | Over in his games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry Warriors | Points | 26.5 | −120 Bet99 | −105 TonyBet | 5/9 |
| Stephen Curry Warriors | Rebounds | 3.5 | −110 Bet99 | +109 TonyBet | 5/9 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg Warriors | Points | 18.5 | −105 TonyBet | −125 Bet99 | 6/10 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg Warriors | Rebounds | 5.5 | −155 Bet99 | +115 Bet99 | 7/10 |
| Alperen Sengun Rockets | Points | 19.5 | −114 TonyBet | −110 Bet99 | 5/9 |
| Alperen Sengun Rockets | Rebounds | 9.5 | +110 Bet99 | −135 TonyBet | 4/9 |
| Kevin Durant Rockets | Points | 21.5 | −115 Bet99 | −102 TonyBet | 4/10 |
| Kevin Durant Rockets | Rebounds | 5.5 | +100 Bet99 | −102 TonyBet | 4/10 |
The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.
Recent Warriors vs Rockets meetings
| Date | Result | Winner | Top scorers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Rockets 117, Warriors 116 | Rockets by 1 | Stephen Curry 29 (Warriors) · Kevin Durant 31 (Rockets) |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Warriors 115, Rockets 113 | Warriors by 2 | Brandin Podziemski 26 (Warriors) · Reed Sheppard 30 (Rockets) |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Rockets 104, Warriors 100 | Rockets by 4 | Jimmy Butler III 21 (Warriors) · Reed Sheppard 31 (Rockets) |
Houston won two of the three meetings last season, the last 117-116 in San Francisco in April.
How the last meeting unfolded
The biggest leads that night: 7 for the Warriors, 15 for the Rockets.
Where they shoot from
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 23% of shots | 68.3% | |
| Paint | 22% of shots | 46.2% | |
| Mid-range | 7% of shots | 32.8% | |
| Corner three | 12% of shots | 39.3% | |
| Above-break three | 34% of shots | 39.9% |
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 28% of shots | 68.8% | |
| Paint | 19% of shots | 36.7% | |
| Mid-range | 12% of shots | 49.1% | |
| Corner three | 9% of shots | 29.2% | |
| Above-break three | 28% of shots | 39.3% |
Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.
The three-point gap shows here: Warriors hit 39.9 per cent above the break, Rockets 39.3.
Score prediction
Rockets 114-111 Warriors. Golden State is 6-1 at home but 2-2 on the road, and Houston is 5-1 at home. On numbers this close, home court decides it: Rockets by three.
Warriors vs Rockets prediction
The Canadian books make Houston about a 67 per cent chance, and the moneyline has shortened since it opened, from around −190 to about −220.
The spread sits between 4.5 and 6.5 depending on the book, and against a Warriors team that has won eight straight and makes threes at the best rate in the league, we would rather take Houston to win than lay that many points.
Our pick: the Rockets to win. The spread runs from −4.5 to −6.5, past our three-point margin, so we pass on it.
What would change it: if Sengun or Durant were ruled out, we would switch to Golden State.
Every club is rated in our NBA power rankings, and the NBA games tonight page carries Wednesday’s other NBA games.
Frequently asked questions
Tip-off is 9:30pm ET / 8:30pm CT on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at Toyota Center (Houston).
Sportsnet shows it in Canada, with streaming on Sportsnet+.
No. He is out after surgery on his right ACL.
Neither. Both clubs are 8-3 going into Wednesday’s game.
Rockets 114-111. We back Houston to win at home.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.