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Thunder vs Trail Blazers: Prediction, Team News and Two Nights in Portland

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction and picks

Oklahoma City has won four in a row, the last two by 31 and 39. Tuesday is the first of two games in two nights in Portland, with the same clubs meeting again on Wednesday.

The Thunder beat Washington 114-75 on Saturday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scoring 30. Portland lost 125-103 at home to San Antonio the same night.

Our best bet
Thunder to win
PickThunder to win
Score predictionThunder 114-111 Trail Blazers
SpreadThunder −3.5 (no bet: past our margin)
Prop to watchDeni Avdija points line 22.5
Watch in CanadaNo Canadian TV listed (NBA League Pass)
Prices from Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday 10 November. Check the team news before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
Our NBA picks this season
Winners 44-15
Spread picks
15-7 (37 passed)
In these clubs’ games
Thunder games 3-3 · Trail Blazers games 2-1

Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.

How to watch Thunder vs Trail Blazers in Canada

Tip-off
11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT, Tuesday 10 November 2026
Venue
Moda Center, Portland
Watch in Canada
No Canadian TV listed (NBA League Pass)
Records
Oklahoma City 8-2, Portland 6-3
Rest
Oklahoma City with 2 days off, then a back-to-back, Portland with 2 days off, then a back-to-back

The Canadian listing wasn’t out yet when we published. Our how to watch the NBA in Canada guide explains who carries what.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers odds

SportsbookThunderTrail BlazersSpreadTotal
Bet99−135+115Trail Blazers +3.5 (−125)O/U 226.5 (−115 / −105)
Mise-o-jeu provincial−128+112Trail Blazers +3.5 (−130)O/U 226.5 (−111 / −105)
PlayAlberta provincial−130+111–O/U 226.5 (−111 / −106)
TonyBet−137+117Trail Blazers +3.5 (−128)O/U 226.5 (−115 / −106)
theScore Bet−135+115–O/U 226.5 (−110 / −110)
Fair win chance, bookmaker margin removed
Thunder 55%Trail Blazers 45%

Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday 10 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

The spread and total in context

Tonight’s numbers: Trail Blazers +3.5, total 226.5
Each game against the spreadEach game against the total
Thunder
8 of 10: won by 4 or more
3 of 10 over 226.5
Trail Blazers
6 of 9: lost by 3 or fewer, or won
7 of 9 over 226.5

One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.

Home, road and rest

At homeOn the roadSecond of a back-to-backWith a day or more off
Thunder5-0 (+15.4)3-2 (+0.6)2-0 (+25.0)5-2 (+2.6)
Trail Blazers1-2 (-0.7)5-1 (+8.7)0-1 (-22.0)5-2 (+4.4)

Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.

Projected starting fives

Oklahoma City Thunder
StarterPTSREBASTToday
Kenrich Williams6.83.81.2Available
Isaiah Hartenstein6.910.13.3Available
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander29.93.94.9Available
Ajay Mitchell18.93.73.3Available
Aday Mara8.15.91.3Available
Portland Trail Blazers
StarterPTSREBASTToday
Toumani Camara13.13.31.1Available
Deni Avdija22.36.46.3Available
Scoot Henderson8.42.21.2Available
Donovan Clingan11.910.01.3Available
Damian Lillard19.43.24.4Available

The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
Oklahoma CityCason WallaceOut, shoulderNo timetable
Oklahoma CityChet HolmgrenOut, kneeNo timetable
Oklahoma CityJalen WilliamsOut, legNo timetable
Oklahoma CityJaylin WilliamsOut, backOut for this game (9 Nov)
Oklahoma CityThomas SorberOut, kneeWeek to week
PortlandJa MorantOut, hamstringNo timetable
PortlandShaedon SharpeOut, kneeNo timetable
PortlandVit KrejciOut, ankleNo timetable

Oklahoma City is still without Chet Holmgren (right knee), Jalen Williams (left ankle surgery) and Cason Wallace (left shoulder surgery), plus Jaylin Williams (back spasms) and Thomas Sorber. Portland has Ja Morant out with a left hamstring strain, Vit Krejci with a left ankle fracture and Shaedon Sharpe after surgery on his right meniscus.

League-wide statuses live on our NBA injury report.

How the Thunder and Trail Blazers compare this season

● Oklahoma City Thunder   ● Portland Trail Blazers  ·  left is better
1st30thNet ratingOklahoma City Thunder: +7.8, 7th of 30Portland Trail Blazers: +5.4, 11th of 30Thunder +7.8 (7th) · Trail Blazers +5.4 (11th)Offensive ratingOklahoma City Thunder: 110.0, 17th of 30Portland Trail Blazers: 115.9, 3rd of 30Thunder 110.0 (17th) · Trail Blazers 115.9 (3rd)Defensive ratingOklahoma City Thunder: 102.1, 1st of 30Portland Trail Blazers: 110.5, 14th of 30Thunder 102.1 (1st) · Trail Blazers 110.5 (14th)Effective FG%Oklahoma City Thunder: 51.9, 22nd of 30Portland Trail Blazers: 56.2, 3rd of 30Thunder 51.9 (22nd) · Trail Blazers 56.2 (3rd)Three-point %Oklahoma City Thunder: 34.9, 15th of 30Portland Trail Blazers: 35.6, 12th of 30Thunder 34.9 (15th) · Trail Blazers 35.6 (12th)Turnover %Oklahoma City Thunder: 11.6, 3rd of 30Portland Trail Blazers: 14.6, 23rd of 30Thunder 11.6 (3rd) · Trail Blazers 14.6 (23rd)Offensive rebound %Oklahoma City Thunder: 26.3, 17th of 30Portland Trail Blazers: 29.5, 11th of 30Thunder 26.3 (17th) · Trail Blazers 29.5 (11th)Opponent effective FG%Oklahoma City Thunder: 48.4, 1st of 30Portland Trail Blazers: 51.5, 9th of 30Thunder 48.4 (1st) · Trail Blazers 51.5 (9th)

League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (10 and 9 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.

The Thunder have the best defence in the league, allowing 102.1 points per 100 possessions, and they rank third in turnover rate. Portland’s offence is third and shoots the ball well, but the Blazers rank 23rd at holding on to it.

Gilgeous-Alexander against Portland’s guards is the matchup. He’s averaging 29.9 points and scored 43 and 42 in two of his last five.

Results so far

Oklahoma City Thunder8-2 · average margin +8.0
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40+50−50020 Oct: beat the Spurs 116-104 (away)+12@ SAS20 Oct22 Oct: beat the Nuggets 96-84 (home)+12v DEN22 Oct25 Oct: beat the Clippers 108-101 (home)+7v LAC25 Oct26 Oct: beat the Suns 125-114 (home)+11v PHX26 Oct28 Oct: lost to the Mavericks 96-120 (away)−24@ DAL28 Oct31 Oct: lost to the Rockets 98-119 (away)−21@ HOU31 Oct2 Nov: beat the Cavaliers 117-112 (away)+5@ CLE2 Nov4 Nov: beat the Cavaliers 124-116 (home)+8v CLE4 Nov6 Nov: beat the Grizzlies 128-97 (away)+31@ MEM6 Nov7 Nov: beat the Wizards 114-75 (home)+39v WAS7 Nov
Portland Trail Blazers6-3 · average margin +5.6
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40+50−50021 Oct: beat the Suns 124-83 (home)+41v PHX21 Oct23 Oct: beat the Kings 128-120 (away)+8@ SAC23 Oct27 Oct: beat the Lakers 136-129 (away)+7@ LAL27 Oct29 Oct: lost to the Grizzlies 103-124 (home)−21v MEM29 Oct31 Oct: beat the Jazz 112-90 (away)+22@ UTA31 Oct2 Nov: beat the Nuggets 118-110 (away)+8@ DEN2 Nov4 Nov: beat the Suns 132-119 (away)+13@ PHX4 Nov6 Nov: lost to the Lakers 118-124 (away)−6@ LAL6 Nov7 Nov: lost to the Spurs 103-125 (home)−22v SAS7 Nov

One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.

Gilgeous-Alexander v Avdija

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder · 32.9 min · 10 games
Deni Avdija
Trail Blazers · 32.1 min · 9 games
29.9
Points
22.3
3.9
Rebounds
6.4
4.9
Assists
6.3
2.2
Turnovers
3.0
1.0
Steals
0.9
36.4
Usage %
28.9
57.1
True shooting %
57.4
39.1
Three-point %
33.3
2.7
Threes made
1.7
6.8
Free throws tried
9.3
+71
Plus-minus, season
+58
Points in the recent meetings (DNP: did not play, or was not with the club then)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 35 points, 5 Nov 202535Deni Avdija: 26 points, 5 Nov 2025265 Nov 25Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 37 points, 23 Nov 202537Deni Avdija: 11 points, 23 Nov 20251123 Nov 25Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 26 points, 30 Nov 202526Deni Avdija: 31 points, 30 Nov 20253130 Nov 25Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 30 points, 31 Dec 202530Deni Avdija: 17 points, 31 Dec 20251731 Dec 25

Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.

Players to watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander5th in the NBA in points
Oklahoma City Thunder
29.9PTS
3.9REB
4.9AST
57.1TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 26 points26Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 43 points43Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 42 points42Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 28 points28Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 30 points30
Ajay Mitchell
Oklahoma City Thunder
18.9PTS
3.7REB
3.3AST
58.8TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Ajay Mitchell: 6 points6Ajay Mitchell: 20 points20Ajay Mitchell: 23 points23Ajay Mitchell: 35 points35Ajay Mitchell: 12 points12
Deni Avdija21st in the NBA in points
Portland Trail Blazers
22.3PTS
6.4REB
6.3AST
57.4TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Deni Avdija: 24 points24Deni Avdija: 28 points28Deni Avdija: 21 points21Deni Avdija: 22 points22Deni Avdija: 15 points15
Damian Lillard
Portland Trail Blazers
19.4PTS
3.2REB
4.4AST
59.9TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Damian Lillard: 22 points22Damian Lillard: 20 points20Damian Lillard: 25 points25Damian Lillard: 22 points22Damian Lillard: 12 points12

Ajay Mitchell averages 18.9 for the Thunder. Deni Avdija leads Portland at 22.3 points and 6.3 assists. Damian Lillard has scored 20 or more in four of his last five.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers player props

Portland Trail Blazers · points
Deni Avdija: points line 22.5

Bet99 over −115 · Bet99 under −115

Last 9 games: over 22.5 in 5 (green bars clear the line)
18 points against a line of 22.51826 points against a line of 22.52623 points against a line of 22.52324 points against a line of 22.52424 points against a line of 22.52428 points against a line of 22.52821 points against a line of 22.52122 points against a line of 22.52215 points against a line of 22.515line 22.5

TonyBet sets Avdija at 21.5 points. He’s cleared it in six of nine games, so we lean to the over.

PlayerMarketLineBest overBest underOver in his games
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder
Points31.5−125 Bet99−110 Bet99
4/10
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder
Rebounds3.5−164 TonyBet+125 Bet99
5/10
Ajay Mitchell
Thunder
Points19.5−102 TonyBet−115 Bet99
5/10
Ajay Mitchell
Thunder
Rebounds3.5−135 Bet99+116 TonyBet
6/10
Deni Avdija
Trail Blazers
Points21.5−119 TonyBet−111 TonyBet
6/9
Deni Avdija
Trail Blazers
Rebounds6.5−141 TonyBet+106 TonyBet
5/9
Damian Lillard
Trail Blazers
Points19.5−104 TonyBet−105 Bet99
6/9
Damian Lillard
Trail Blazers
Rebounds3.5+115 Bet99−109 TonyBet
4/9

The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.

Recent Thunder vs Trail Blazers meetings

Thunder 3, Trail Blazers 1 in the last 4 meetings
DateResultWinnerTop scorers
31 Dec 2025Trail Blazers 95, Thunder 124Thunder by 29Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30 (Thunder) · Sidy Cissoko 19 (Trail Blazers)
30 Nov 2025Thunder 123, Trail Blazers 115Thunder by 8Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 26 (Thunder) · Deni Avdija 31 (Trail Blazers)
23 Nov 2025Trail Blazers 95, Thunder 122Thunder by 27Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 37 (Thunder) · Jerami Grant 21 (Trail Blazers)
5 Nov 2025Thunder 119, Trail Blazers 121Trail Blazers by 2Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35 (Thunder) · Deni Avdija 26 (Trail Blazers)

Oklahoma City won three of the four meetings last season. Portland took the first, 121-119 at home, and the Thunder won the last 124-95 on 31 December.

How the last meeting unfolded

Trail Blazers 95, Thunder 124 · 31 December 2025
Thunder aheadTrail Blazers aheadQ1Q2Q3Q4

In that game the Thunder led by as many as 31 and the Trail Blazers by as many as 3.

Where they shoot from

Oklahoma City Thunder
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
28% of shots62.3%
Paint
21% of shots42.8%
Mid-range
13% of shots40.9%
Corner three
6% of shots21.4%
Above-break three
26% of shots36.9%
Portland Trail Blazers
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
28% of shots64.0%
Paint
19% of shots53.5%
Mid-range
4% of shots51.9%
Corner three
10% of shots35.1%
Above-break three
38% of shots35.9%

Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.

From above the break, Thunder make 36.9 per cent and Trail Blazers 35.9. At the rim it is 62.3 against 64.0.

Canadians in Thunder vs Trail Blazers

CanadianClub
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC
Shaedon SharpePOR

Every Canadian in the league, with this season’s numbers, is on our Canadians in the NBA page.

Score prediction

Thunder 114-111 Trail Blazers. Portland is only 1-2 at home but 5-1 on the road, and Oklahoma City is 3-2 away. We expect it to be close: Thunder by three.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers prediction

The Thunder’s defence is the best in the league, and they protect the ball far better than Portland.

The Canadian books make Oklahoma City about a 55 per cent chance and set the spread at 3.5, and with Holmgren and Jalen Williams still out and a Portland offence that ranks third, we would rather back the Thunder to win than give the points.

Our pick: the Thunder to win. The spread is −3.5, just past our margin, so we pass on it.

What would change it: if Gilgeous-Alexander sat the first night of the pair, we would switch to Portland.

Every club is rated in our NBA power rankings, and the NBA games tonight page carries Tuesday’s other NBA games.

Frequently asked questions

What time is Thunder vs Trail Blazers?

Tip-off is 11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at Moda Center, Portland.

Where can I watch Thunder vs Trail Blazers in Canada?

It wasn’t on a Canadian channel when we checked. NBA League Pass carries it.

Is Ja Morant playing for the Trail Blazers?

No. He is out on the league’s report with a left hamstring strain.

Which Canadians play in Thunder vs Trail Blazers?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for Oklahoma City. Portland’s Shaedon Sharpe is out after surgery on his right meniscus.

What is our Thunder vs Trail Blazers prediction?

Thunder 114-111. We back Oklahoma City to win on the road.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.