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Lakers vs Bucks: Prediction, Team News and Milwaukee’s Seven-Game Slide

Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction and picks

Result: Los Angeles Lakers 123-112 Milwaukee Bucks

The Lakers led by 21 after three quarters and won by 11 in Milwaukee. Los Angeles took the second quarter 31-22 and the third 33-23. The Bucks then scored 39 in the fourth to make the final margin respectable. Luka Doncic had 32 points on 10-of-25, and Sandro Mamukelashvili scored 23 off the bench with five threes. Austin Reaves added 18. Tyler Herro, questionable on our page with his knee, played and led Milwaukee with 27. Jaime Jaquez Jr. had 25. Myles Turner rested and Quentin Grimes sat with his finger, both as expected.

The winner came in; we had nothing on the spread. Los Angeles was our pick, and we passed at -12.5 because that was exactly our margin. DraftKings, per ESPN, had the Lakers at -14.5. An 11-point win missed both numbers, so the pass held up, and our margin was a point out. The 235 points went over a 230.5 total, mostly thanks to Milwaukee’s fourth quarter. Doncic’s points line was 34.5 and the lean was over. He finished with 32, two and a half short.

The preview as published before the game follows.

Six straight wins have taken the Lakers to 10-2. Luka Doncic came back from his back injury on Monday with 32 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists in a 124-114 win in Atlanta.

Milwaukee has lost seven straight and is 1-10. The Bucks lost 117-85 in New York on Tuesday, so they play on the second night of a back-to-back.

Our best bet
Lakers to win
PickLakers to win
Score predictionLakers 122-110 Bucks
SpreadLakers −12.5
Prop to watchLuka Doncic points line 34.5
Watch in CanadaSportsnet, Sportsnet+
Prices from Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Wednesday 11 November. Check the team news before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
Our NBA picks this season
Winners 47-16
Spread picks
15-7 (41 passed)
In these clubs’ games
Lakers games 5-3 · Bucks games 4-0

Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.

How to watch Lakers vs Bucks in Canada

Tip-off
8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT, Wednesday 11 November 2026
Venue
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Watch in Canada
Sportsnet, Sportsnet+
Records
Lakers 10-2, Milwaukee 1-10
Rest
Lakers with 1 day off, Milwaukee on the second night of a back-to-back

Canadian viewers can find it on Sportsnet and Sportsnet+. Listings move around during the season, so our how to watch the NBA in Canada page is worth a check.

Lakers vs Bucks odds

SportsbookLakersBucksSpreadTotal
Bet99−600+475Bucks +12.5 (−115)O/U 231.5 (−110 / −110)
Mise-o-jeu provincial−625+440Bucks +12.5 (−108)O/U 231.5 (−111 / −105)
PlayAlberta provincial−556+411–O/U 231.5 (−108 / −108)
TonyBet−625+460Bucks +12.5 (−114)O/U 231.5 (−111 / −110)
theScore Bet−700+450Bucks +12.5 (−120)O/U 231.5 (−115 / −105)
Fair win chance, bookmaker margin removed
Lakers 83%Bucks 17%

Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Wednesday 11 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

The spread and total in context

Tonight’s numbers: Bucks +12.5, total 231.5
Each game against the spreadEach game against the total
Lakers
4 of 12: won by 13 or more
9 of 12 over 231.5
Bucks
6 of 11: lost by 12 or fewer, or won
5 of 11 over 231.5

One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.

Home, road and rest

At homeOn the roadSecond of a back-to-backWith a day or more off
Lakers5-1 (+9.3)5-1 (+6.0)3-0 (+15.7)6-2 (+2.9)
Bucks1-5 (-15.0)0-5 (-14.8)0-1 (-11.0)1-8 (-15.7)

Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.

Projected starting fives

Los Angeles Lakers
StarterPTSREBASTToday
Matisse Thybulle7.01.61.1Available
Luka Doncic39.37.87.9Available
Walker Kessler14.910.81.7Available
Ziaire Williams11.22.81.7Available
Jake LaRavia6.13.51.8Available
Milwaukee Bucks
StarterPTSREBASTToday
Myles Turner6.75.52.7Out
Kyle Kuzma11.05.72.7Available
Jaime Jaquez Jr.15.35.72.7Available
Ryan Rollins11.04.54.1Available
Brayden Burries9.85.32.3Available

The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
LakersQuentin GrimesOut, fingerOut for this game (11 Nov)
MilwaukeeMyles TurnerOut, restOut for this game (11 Nov)
MilwaukeeTyler HerroQuestionable, kneeQuestionable on the league’s 5:30 p.m. ET report

Tyler Herro missed Tuesday’s game with a knee contusion and is questionable on the league’s report, and Milwaukee is resting Myles Turner. He’s the Bucks’ leading scorer at 21.4 points. The Lakers have ruled out Quentin Grimes with a right finger sprain after he sat out Monday’s game.

For the other 28 clubs, our NBA injury report has the full list.

How the Lakers and Bucks compare this season

● Los Angeles Lakers   ● Milwaukee Bucks  ·  left is better
1st30thNet ratingLos Angeles Lakers: +7.5, 8th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: -14.6, 29th of 30Lakers +7.5 (8th) · Bucks -14.6 (29th)Offensive ratingLos Angeles Lakers: 118.8, 1st of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 104.3, 27th of 30Lakers 118.8 (1st) · Bucks 104.3 (27th)Defensive ratingLos Angeles Lakers: 111.3, 17th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 119.0, 29th of 30Lakers 111.3 (17th) · Bucks 119.0 (29th)Effective FG%Los Angeles Lakers: 59.2, 1st of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 51.3, 25th of 30Lakers 59.2 (1st) · Bucks 51.3 (25th)Three-point %Los Angeles Lakers: 38.4, 4th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 33.8, 20th of 30Lakers 38.4 (4th) · Bucks 33.8 (20th)Turnover %Los Angeles Lakers: 14.9, 24th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 14.4, 23rd of 30Lakers 14.9 (24th) · Bucks 14.4 (23rd)Offensive rebound %Los Angeles Lakers: 27.9, 15th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 28.1, 13th of 30Lakers 27.9 (15th) · Bucks 28.1 (13th)Opponent effective FG%Los Angeles Lakers: 54.5, 19th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 54.2, 18th of 30Lakers 54.5 (19th) · Bucks 54.2 (18th)

League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (12 and 11 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.

Nobody scores more efficiently: the Lakers’ offensive rating of 118.8 is the league’s best, and so is their effective field-goal percentage. Milwaukee ranks 29th in both net rating and defence.

Doncic against a defence ranked 29th looks like a mismatch. He averages 39.3 points on a 67.5 true shooting mark, and has scored 40 or more in four of his last five.

Results so far

Los Angeles Lakers10-2 · average margin +7.7
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40021 Oct: beat the Warriors 127-105 (home)+22v GSW21 Oct23 Oct: beat the Clippers 125-117 (home)+8v LAC23 Oct25 Oct: beat the Jazz 132-123 (away)+9@ UTA25 Oct27 Oct: lost to the Trail Blazers 129-136 (home)−7v POR27 Oct28 Oct: beat the Clippers 103-87 (away)+16@ LAC28 Oct30 Oct: lost to the Warriors 95-112 (away)−17@ GSW30 Oct1 Nov: beat the Raptors 131-125 (home)+6v TOR1 Nov2 Nov: beat the Heat 138-117 (home)+21v MIA2 Nov4 Nov: beat the Kings 116-103 (away)+13@ SAC4 Nov6 Nov: beat the Trail Blazers 124-118 (home)+6v POR6 Nov8 Nov: beat the Pistons 121-116 (away)+5@ DET8 Nov9 Nov: beat the Hawks 124-114 (away)+10@ ATL9 Nov
Milwaukee Bucks1-10 · average margin -14.9
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40021 Oct: lost to the Wizards 116-128 (away)−12@ WAS21 Oct23 Oct: lost to the Bulls 125-132 (home)−7v CHI23 Oct24 Oct: lost to the 76ers 116-127 (away)−11@ PHI24 Oct26 Oct: beat the Pacers 110-102 (home)+8v IND26 Oct28 Oct: lost to the Rockets 100-132 (home)−32v HOU28 Oct31 Oct: lost to the Cavaliers 111-136 (home)−25v CLE31 Oct2 Nov: lost to the Timberwolves 100-112 (away)−12@ MIN2 Nov4 Nov: lost to the Celtics 102-109 (away)−7@ BOS4 Nov6 Nov: lost to the Raptors 107-121 (home)−14v TOR6 Nov8 Nov: lost to the Celtics 97-117 (home)−20v BOS8 Nov10 Nov: lost to the Knicks 85-117 (away)−32@ NYK10 Nov

One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.

Doncic v Jr.

Luka Doncic
Lakers · 36.2 min · 10 games
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Bucks · 27.5 min · 11 games
39.3
Points
15.3
7.8
Rebounds
5.7
7.9
Assists
2.7
5.0
Turnovers
2.0
2.0
Steals
0.5
40.1
Usage %
22.9
67.5
True shooting %
58.3
40.7
Three-point %
42.2
5.5
Threes made
1.7
10.9
Free throws tried
3.1
+144
Plus-minus, season
-72
Points in the recent meetings (DNP: did not play, or was not with the club then)
Luka Doncic: 41 points, 15 Nov 202541DNP15 Nov 25Luka Doncic: 24 points, 9 Jan 202624DNP9 Jan 26

Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.

Players to watch

Luka Doncic1st in the NBA in points
Los Angeles Lakers
39.3PTS
7.8REB
7.9AST
67.5TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Luka Doncic: 45 points45Luka Doncic: 42 points42Luka Doncic: 40 points40Luka Doncic: 53 points53Luka Doncic: 32 points32
Austin Reaves15th in the NBA in points
Los Angeles Lakers
25.3PTS
3.4REB
4.6AST
65.3TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Austin Reaves: 19 points19Austin Reaves: 27 points27Austin Reaves: 21 points21Austin Reaves: 25 points25Austin Reaves: 43 points43
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Milwaukee Bucks
15.3PTS
5.7REB
2.7AST
58.3TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 19 points19Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 18 points18Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 14 points14Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 4 points4Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 16 points16
Kyle Kuzma
Milwaukee Bucks
11.0PTS
5.7REB
2.7AST
56.9TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Kyle Kuzma: 2 points2Kyle Kuzma: 6 points6Kyle Kuzma: 13 points13Kyle Kuzma: 27 points27Kyle Kuzma: 5 points5

Austin Reaves averages 25.3 points and scored 43 in Detroit on Sunday. Jaime Jaquez Jr. led Milwaukee with 16 on Tuesday, and Kyle Kuzma scored 27 against Boston on Sunday.

Lakers vs Bucks player props

Los Angeles Lakers · points
Luka Doncic: points line 34.5

Bet99 over −115 · Bet99 under −115

Last 10 games: over 34.5 in 7 (green bars clear the line)
28 points against a line of 34.52823 points against a line of 34.52352 points against a line of 34.55241 points against a line of 34.54137 points against a line of 34.53745 points against a line of 34.54542 points against a line of 34.54240 points against a line of 34.54053 points against a line of 34.55332 points against a line of 34.532line 34.5

Bet99 sets Doncic at 34.5 points. He’s cleared it in seven of his last ten, and against this defence we lean to the over.

PlayerMarketLineBest overBest underOver in his games
Luka Doncic
Lakers
Points34.5−115 Bet99−115 Bet99
7/10
Luka Doncic
Lakers
Rebounds7.5+105 Bet99−140 Bet99
5/10
Austin Reaves
Lakers
Points22.5−110 Bet99−120 Bet99
6/10
Austin Reaves
Lakers
Rebounds3.5−125 Bet99−110 Bet99
4/10
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Bucks
Points12.5−130 Bet99−105 Bet99
7/10
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Bucks
Rebounds4.5−110 Bet99−120 Bet99
6/10
Kyle Kuzma
Bucks
Points10.5−115 Bet99−115 Bet99
6/10
Kyle Kuzma
Bucks
Rebounds4.5+100 Bet99−135 Bet99
6/10

The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.

Recent Lakers vs Bucks meetings

Lakers 1, Bucks 1 in the last 2 meetings
DateResultWinnerTop scorers
9 Jan 2026Bucks 105, Lakers 101Bucks by 4LeBron James 26 (Lakers) · Kevin Porter Jr. 22 (Bucks)
15 Nov 2025Lakers 119, Bucks 95Lakers by 24Luka Doncic 41 (Lakers) · Giannis Antetokounmpo 32 (Bucks)

The teams split last season’s two meetings. The Lakers won 119-95 in Milwaukee in November, with Doncic scoring 41, and the Bucks won 105-101 in Los Angeles in January.

How the last meeting unfolded

Bucks 105, Lakers 101 · 9 January 2026
Lakers aheadBucks aheadQ1Q2Q3Q4

The biggest leads that night: 6 for the Lakers, 12 for the Bucks.

Where they shoot from

Los Angeles Lakers
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
29% of shots70.5%
Paint
18% of shots52.7%
Mid-range
8% of shots42.7%
Corner three
9% of shots40.0%
Above-break three
34% of shots36.6%
Milwaukee Bucks
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
28% of shots63.7%
Paint
14% of shots38.0%
Mid-range
7% of shots33.3%
Corner three
9% of shots36.0%
Above-break three
35% of shots33.6%

Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.

The three-point gap shows here: Lakers hit 36.6 per cent above the break, Bucks 33.6.

Score prediction

Lakers 122-110 Bucks. Milwaukee’s last seven defeats came by an average of 20.3 points, and the Bucks are 1-5 at home. We have the Lakers by 12.

Lakers vs Bucks prediction

The Canadian books make the Lakers about an 83 per cent chance, and their net rating is 22.1 points better than Milwaukee’s.

A 12.5-point spread on the road is a lot to ask even of a team this hot, and with Milwaukee at home and the Lakers’ defence ranked only 17th, we leave the number alone and back them to win.

Our pick: the Lakers to win. The spread is −12.5 at every book that priced it, right on our margin, so we pass on it.

What would change it: if Doncic were held out again, we would still back the Lakers but expect a game within single digits.

Both clubs are placed in this week’s NBA power rankings. The NBA games tonight board lists Wednesday’s other NBA games.

Frequently asked questions

What time is Lakers vs Bucks?

Tip-off is 8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee.

Where can I watch Lakers vs Bucks in Canada?

It is on Sportsnet, and you can stream it on Sportsnet+.

Is Luka Doncic playing against the Bucks?

The Lakers did not list him on the league’s report. He returned from a back injury on Monday and had 32 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists in Atlanta.

Is Tyler Herro playing against the Lakers?

He missed Tuesday’s game in New York with a knee injury. The league’s report lists him questionable with a right knee contusion.

What is our Lakers vs Bucks prediction?

Lakers 122-110. We back Los Angeles to win in Milwaukee.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.