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Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC predicted formations

Seattle Sounders host Sporting KC at Lumen Field on Thursday, October 1 (9:30 PM ET / 8:30 PM CT / 6:30 PM PT).

Seattle Sounders and Sporting KC both arrive at Lumen Field with clean bills of health, no fresh absences flagged on either side. Albert Rusnák leads Seattle’s attacking midfield with 4 goals and 58 chances created, Paul Miles Rothrock has 5 goals from 31 shots, and Cristian Roldan adds 4 goals from a deeper midfield role. For Sporting KC, Calvin William Harris is the volume shooter in midfield with 46 shots and 15 on target, while Taylor Calheira offers a focal point with 3 goals from 21 shots.

Seattle sit 10th in the Western Conference with 32 points from 25 games, a middling record but one that keeps them in the mix, and they’ve won their last outing 2-0 over Real Salt Lake after a run of four straight draws. Sporting KC arrive 15th in the West on 18 points from 25 games, with a -34 goal difference that reflects a defence which has shipped goals in bunches, including a 3-4 loss to Philadelphia Union and a 4-3 defeat at FC Dallas this season. Seattle’s attacking depth, from Rusnák and Rothrock in midfield to Joveljić and the rest of the front line, should give them enough at Lumen Field to see off a Sporting side that has scored goals away from home but rarely stopped them at the other end.

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC: Best Bets & Predictions

Seattle's playoff push meets a leaky Sporting KC defence at Lumen Field.

Seattle SoundersTop pickSeattle's 32 points and 10th-place standing put them well clear of a Sporting KC side sitting 15th on 18 points with a -34 goal difference.
Seattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting KCSeattle's attacking pair of Rusnák (4 goals, 58 chances created) and Rothrock (5 goals) give them enough to edge a Sporting KC side that has conceded freely all season.
YesSporting KC's attack has still produced goals, with Harris, Calheira and André Luiz da Silva all on 3 goals this season, enough to trouble a Seattle defence carrying a -3 goal difference of its own.
Over 2.5Seattle's goals have come from multiple sources — Rusnák, Rothrock and Roldan have 4 or 5 apiece — while Sporting KC's -34 goal difference points to games that open up at both ends.
Anytime GoalscorerRothrock leads Seattle with 5 goals from 31 shots and 13 on target, the clearest individual goal threat on the pitch.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we anchor every pick to this season's underlying numbers — standings, goal difference, and individual output — rather than reputation, then let the data point to a result, scoreline, and range of markets.

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Season Form & Standings

Seattle Sounders sit 10th in the Western Conference with 32 points from 25 games, a goal difference of -3 that still leaves them within range of a playoff spot. Sporting KC sit 15th in the West on 18 points from 25 games with a -34 goal difference, well off the pace in the conference.

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Seattle Sounders10258893033-332
Sporting KC152553172963-3418
Team News Predicted

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Seattle Sounders

4-2-3-1
A. Thomas
N. Tolo
J. Ragen
A. Roldan
K. Kossa-Rienzi
C. Roldan
S. Brunell
P. Arriola
A. Rusnak
S. Gomez
D. Musovski

Sporting KC

4-4-2
S. Cleveland
E. Karic
W. Meyer
M. Mosquera
J. Reynolds
C. Harris
K. Agyabeng
L. Berg Johnsen
Andre Luiz
S. Afrifa
T. Calheira
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Albert Rusnák (Seattle Sounders): 4 goals and 58 chances created make him the creative fulcrum of this Seattle attack, backed by 16 shots on target from 46 attempts.
    • Paul Miles Rothrock (Seattle Sounders): five goals from 31 shots, 13 of them on target, make him Seattle’s most direct goal threat heading into this one.
    • Calvin William Harris (Sporting KC): 46 shots and 15 on target across the season show Harris carries the shooting load for Sporting KC, with 3 goals to show for it.

    Recent Form

    Seattle Sounders: D D D D W

    • 2026-09-24: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Colorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle Sounders (D, away)
    • 2026-09-13: LA Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders (D, away)
    • 2026-09-06: Seattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red Bulls (D, home)
    • 2026-08-29: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago Fire (D, home)

    Seattle’s last five league games read D D D D W, capped by a 2-0 home win over Real Salt Lake on September 24.

    Sporting KC: L L L W L

    • 2026-09-20: Sporting KC 3-4 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Sporting KC 3-1 LAFC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-06: FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting KC (L, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Sporting KC 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps (L, home)
    • 2026-08-24: Atlanta United 2-1 Sporting KC (L, away)

    Sporting KC’s last five read L L L W L, the sole win a 3-1 victory over LAFC on September 13.

    Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC Prediction

    Seattle Sounders sit 10th in the Western Conference on 32 points and should have enough in attack, through Rusnák and Rothrock, to see off a Sporting KC side 15th in the West on 18 points and still hunting the form to close that gap. Expect goals at both ends given Sporting’s -34 goal difference, but Seattle’s edge in quality tells at Lumen Field: 2-1 to the home side.