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Toronto FC vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Toronto FC vs NYCFC predicted formations

Toronto FC host NYCFC at BMO Field on Saturday, August 29 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

Toronto FC head into this one with a clean bill of health and a front line that has been doing the damage all season. Dániel Sallói leads the way with five goals from his forty-three shots, with Joshua Sargent close behind on four goals, and Derrick Etienne and Emilio Aristizábal both chipping in three apiece to give BMO Field a genuine attacking spine. NYCFC arrive with no fitness concerns of their own, leaning on Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf, both on five goals, while Keaton Parks and Talles Magno add two each from midfield and out wide.

This looks a tight, low-scoring affair rather than a shootout. Toronto sit tenth in the Eastern Conference with twenty-four points from twenty-one games, a position that still leaves them in the thick of the playoff picture, while NYCFC occupy seventh in the same conference. Toronto’s form reads L D W D W, capped by a 2-1 win away at Inter Miami, and that momentum, allied to Sallói’s continued sharpness in front of goal, should be enough to edge a tight contest by the finest of margins, with NYCFC’s threat expected to go unrewarded.

Toronto FC vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions

Sallói's sharpness could be the difference in a cagey one at BMO Field.

Toronto FCTop pickToronto sit tenth in the East to NYCFC's seventh, but home advantage and Sallói's five goals give them the edge in a contest with little to separate the two sides.
1-0 Toronto FCWith Toronto's goal difference sitting at minus six across twenty-one games, a narrow one-goal win fits a side that grinds out results rather than blowing teams away.
NoToronto's attack, led by Sallói's five goals, should be enough to break the deadlock, but this looks more like a tidy, one-sided scoreline than a game with chances at both ends.
Under 2.5This has the look of a game settled by a single strike, in keeping with Toronto's minus six goal difference from twenty-one matches this season.
Dániel Sallói to scoreSallói's five goals from forty-three shots, twenty of them on target, make him Toronto's most reliable outlet against an NYCFC defence still searching for consistency.
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Our approach: we weigh conference position, recent form and the underlying attacking numbers for each side's key men, then land on the scoreline our model finds most credible rather than chase the biggest price on the board.

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Season Form & Standings

Toronto FC sit tenth in the Eastern Conference with twenty-four points from twenty-one games, a return that keeps them within range of the playoff picture rather than clear of it. NYCFC, seventh in the same conference, arrive with the healthier position but nothing settled with places up for grabs at both ends of the standings.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Toronto FC10215973137-624
Team News Predicted

Toronto FC vs NYCFC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Toronto FC

4-2-3-1
L. Gavran
R. Laryea
Z. Monlouis
B. Kuscevic
K. Franklin
Alonso Coello
M. Cimermancic
D. Salloi
D. Mihailovic
D. Etienne
J. Sargent

NYCFC

4-4-2
M. Freese
N. Cavallo
J. Sands
M. Murray
T. Gray
B. Traore
A. Perea
J. Shore
A. Ojeda
Talles Magno
N. Fernandez
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Five goals and twenty chances created make him the focal point of everything positive Toronto do in the final third.
    • Joshua Sargent (Toronto FC): Four goals in a smaller sample of appearances shows a striker very much in form, and he offers Toronto a real outlet alongside Sallói up top.
    • Axel Ojeda (NYCFC): Five goals and thirty chances created make Ojeda NYCFC’s most productive attacking outlet, and the player Toronto will most need to contain.

    Recent Form

    Toronto FC: L D W D W

    • 2026-08-23: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto FC (W, away)
    • 2026-08-20: Toronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FC (D, home)
    • 2026-08-16: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution (W, home)
    • 2026-08-01: NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC (D, away)
    • 2026-07-26: DC United 2-1 Toronto FC (L, away)

    Toronto’s form reads L D W D W, a spell that has included a 3-3 draw with Charlotte FC and a 2-1 home win over New England Revolution before rounding off with a 2-1 win away at Inter Miami.

    NYCFC: W D L L D

    • 2026-08-23: New England Revolution 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)
    • 2026-08-20: FC Cincinnati 2-1 NYCFC (L, away)
    • 2026-08-16: NYCFC 2-3 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
    • 2026-08-01: NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC (D, home)
    • 2026-07-26: NYCFC 3-1 Chicago Fire (W, home)

    NYCFC’s form reads W D L L D, with the reverse fixture in this one finishing 1-1 on August 1, followed by defeats to Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati and a draw at New England Revolution.

    Toronto FC vs NYCFC Prediction

    Expect a tense, low-event night at BMO Field where Toronto’s home advantage and Sallói’s movement in the box just about tip the balance. Toronto sit tenth in the Eastern Conference and NYCFC seventh, so neither side is fully clear in the playoff picture, and that tension should produce a cagey, cautious match rather than an open one. Sallói’s finishing proves decisive as Toronto see out a 1-0 win at BMO Field.