Result: Denver Nuggets 100-110 Houston Rockets
Houston was ahead after every quarter and beat Denver by 10. The Rockets led 54-40 at the half, and Denver trailed 77-68 going into the fourth. Kevin Durant had 23 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists. Alperen Sengun added 20 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists, and Houston won the boards 51-39. All six Nuggets listed as questionable on our page played. Canadian Jamal Murray scored 38 on 14-of-23 shooting, and Nikola Jokic had 25 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists. Denver made eight of 29 threes.
Winner right, no bet on the spread. We took the Rockets and passed at -8.5 to -9.5, a number that sat on our margin. With every questionable Nugget suiting up, the DraftKings line in ESPN’s feed came down to Houston -4.5. A 10-point win would have covered at either of the numbers we passed on. Our net-rating case held up even with Denver close to full strength. The 210 points fell well short of a 224.5 total. Kevin Durant’s points line was 20.5, and his 23 made it an over.
The preview as published before the game follows.
Denver beat Indiana 114-102 in Mexico City on Saturday. Two days later, the league’s report lists all five of its usual starters as questionable for Monday’s game in Houston.
Houston has lost its last two, the latest 102-99 in Phoenix on Saturday, but it is 4-1 at home. Kevin Durant scored 21 in that game.
Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.
How to watch Nuggets vs Rockets in Canada
In Canada it’s on TSN and TSN+. If you’re watching away from a TV, our how to watch the NBA in Canada page lists the streaming options.
Nuggets vs Rockets odds
| Sportsbook | Nuggets | Rockets | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | +275 | −350 | Rockets −9 (−105) | O/U 217.5 (−105 / −115) |
| Mise-o-jeu provincial | +275 | −333 | Rockets −8.5 (−111) | O/U 217.5 (−102 / −112) |
| PlayAlberta provincial | +261 | −323 | – | O/U 217.5 (−105 / −111) |
| TonyBet | +280 | −345 | Rockets −8.5 (−115) | O/U 217.5 (−106 / −115) |
| theScore Bet | +290 | −380 | Rockets −9.5 (+100) | O/U 217.5 (−110 / −110) |
Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Monday 9 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
The spread and total in context
| Each game against the spread | Each game against the total | |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | 6 of 8: lost by 8 or fewer, or won | 5 of 8 over 217.5 |
| Rockets | 5 of 10: won by 9 or more | 7 of 10 over 217.5 |
One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.
Home, road and rest
| At home | On the road | Second of a back-to-back | With a day or more off | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | 2-2 (-0.8) | 3-1 (+5.0) | – | 5-2 (+4.1) |
| Rockets | 4-1 (+11.0) | 3-2 (+7.0) | 2-0 (+14.0) | 4-3 (+6.3) |
Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.
Projected starting fives
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon | 12.2 | 5.2 | 2.1 | Questionable |
| Nikola Jokic | 22.9 | 10.1 | 9.1 | Questionable |
| Cameron Johnson | 10.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | Questionable |
| Jamal Murray | 24.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 | Questionable |
| Christian Braun | 13.5 | 3.9 | 2.1 | Questionable |
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet | 13.4 | 3.5 | 6.0 | Available |
| Kevin Durant | 20.8 | 5.7 | 3.0 | Available |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 17.3 | 6.4 | 2.3 | Available |
| Amen Thompson | 15.6 | 6.4 | 3.0 | Available |
| Alperen Sengun | 21.5 | 8.8 | 7.8 | Available |
The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.
Team news
| Club | Player | Status | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Julian Strawther | Out, knee | Re-evaluation in six weeks, reported on 16 Oct |
| Denver | Aaron Gordon | Questionable, lower body | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Denver | Cameron Johnson | Questionable, lower body | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Denver | Christian Braun | Questionable, calf | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Denver | DeMar DeRozan | Questionable, back | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Denver | Jamal Murray | Questionable, lower leg | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Denver | Nikola Jokic | Questionable, elbow | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Houston | Clint Capela | Out, ankle | No timetable |
| Houston | Steven Adams | Out, calf | No timetable |
Nikola Jokic has a right elbow sprain and Jamal Murray a left shin contusion. Christian Braun is listed with a calf contusion and illness, Aaron Gordon and Cameron Johnson for lower-body injury management, and DeMar DeRozan with back spasms. Julian Strawther (knee) is out. Houston is without Steven Adams (right soleus strain) and Clint Capela (ankle).
The NBA injury report covers the rest of the league.
How the Nuggets and Rockets compare this season
League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (8 and 10 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.
Houston has the fourth-best net rating in the league at +9.0, with an offence ranked third and a defence ranked eighth. Denver’s offence is sixth, but its defence is 21st.
Alperen Sengun against Jokic, if Jokic plays, decides the paint. Sengun averages 21.5 points, 8.8 rebounds and 7.8 assists, and Houston ranks sixth on the offensive glass to Denver’s 22nd.
Results so far
One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.
Murray v Sengun
| 24.2 | Points | 21.5 | ||
| 5.5 | Rebounds | 8.8 | ||
| 6.1 | Assists | 7.8 | ||
| 2.6 | Turnovers | 3.1 | ||
| 1.0 | Steals | 1.1 | ||
| 25.5 | Usage % | 26.1 | ||
| 64.4 | True shooting % | 59.0 | ||
| 49.2 | Three-point % | 50.0 | ||
| 3.9 | Threes made | 1.0 | ||
| 6.1 | Free throws tried | 5.9 | ||
| +35 | Plus-minus, season | +88 |
Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.
Players to watch
Murray scored 39 and 35 in two of his last five, then 14 and 16 in the two since. Jokic is averaging 22.9 points, 10.1 rebounds and 9.1 assists. Durant has gone 28, 14, 12, 21 and 21.
Nuggets vs Rockets player props
Bet99 over −115 · Bet99 under −115 · TonyBet over −111 · TonyBet under −119
Bet99 and TonyBet set Durant at 20.5 points. He has cleared it in six of his last ten, and against a defence ranked 21st we lean to the over.
| Player | Market | Line | Best over | Best under | Over in his games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray Nuggets | Points | 22.5 | −120 Bet99 | −110 Bet99 | 4/8 |
| Jamal Murray Nuggets | Rebounds | 3.5 | −120 Bet99 | −110 Bet99 | 6/8 |
| Nikola Jokic Nuggets | Points | 25.5 | −110 Bet99 | −110 TonyBet | 3/8 |
| Nikola Jokic Nuggets | Rebounds | 10.5 | −135 Bet99 | +102 TonyBet | 3/8 |
| Alperen Sengun Rockets | Points | 20.5 | −105 Bet99 | −120 TonyBet | 4/8 |
| Alperen Sengun Rockets | Rebounds | 9.5 | +109 TonyBet | −110 Bet99 | 3/8 |
| Kevin Durant Rockets | Points | 20.5 | −111 TonyBet | −115 Bet99 | 6/10 |
| Kevin Durant Rockets | Rebounds | 5.5 | +105 Bet99 | −115 TonyBet | 4/10 |
The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.
Recent Nuggets vs Rockets meetings
| Date | Result | Winner | Top scorers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | Rockets 93, Nuggets 129 | Nuggets by 36 | Jamal Murray 30 (Nuggets) · Amen Thompson 16 (Rockets) |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Rockets 115, Nuggets 101 | Rockets by 14 | Nikola Jokic 25 (Nuggets) · Kevin Durant 31 (Rockets) |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Rockets 125, Nuggets 128 | Nuggets by 3 | Nikola Jokic 39 (Nuggets) · Alperen Sengun 33 (Rockets) |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Nuggets 112, Rockets 109 | Nuggets by 3 | Nikola Jokic 34 (Nuggets) · Reed Sheppard 27 (Rockets) |
Denver won three of the four meetings last season. The last one, in March, finished 129-93, with Murray scoring 30.
How the last meeting unfolded
The biggest leads that night: 39 for the Nuggets, 5 for the Rockets.
Where they shoot from
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 27% of shots | 67.8% | |
| Paint | 19% of shots | 51.5% | |
| Mid-range | 14% of shots | 40.6% | |
| Corner three | 10% of shots | 34.3% | |
| Above-break three | 26% of shots | 35.2% |
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 28% of shots | 70.0% | |
| Paint | 18% of shots | 34.8% | |
| Mid-range | 12% of shots | 50.5% | |
| Corner three | 9% of shots | 29.3% | |
| Above-break three | 28% of shots | 39.0% |
Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.
The three-point gap shows here: Nuggets hit 35.2 per cent above the break, Rockets 39.0.
Canadians in Nuggets vs Rockets
| Canadian | Club |
|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | DEN |
| Ryan Nembhard | DEN |
Every Canadian in the league, with this season’s numbers, is on our Canadians in the NBA page.
Score prediction
Rockets 117-108 Nuggets. Even at full strength, Denver’s defence ranks 21st, and Houston has outscored visitors by 11 a game at home. We expect the Rockets by about nine.
Nuggets vs Rockets prediction
The Rockets’ net rating is 6.9 points per 100 possessions better than Denver’s, and the Canadian books make them about a 75 per cent chance.
The spread sits between 8.5 and 9.5 depending on the book, right where our margin is, so with so many Denver players listed as questionable and no word yet on who will sit, the to-win pick is the only one we are making.
Our pick: the Rockets to win. The spread runs from −8.5 to −9.5, right on our margin, so we pass on it.
What would change it: if Sengun or Durant were ruled out, we would expect a close game and drop the pick.
For how both measure up across the league, see the NBA power rankings. You’ll find Monday’s other NBA games on our NBA games tonight page.
Frequently asked questions
Tip-off is 8:30pm ET / 7:30pm CT on Monday 9 November 2026 at Toyota Center (Houston).
TSN shows it in Canada, and you can stream it on TSN+.
He is questionable on the league’s report with a right elbow sprain. Denver will confirm his status closer to tip-off.
Jamal Murray and Ryan Nembhard, both with Denver. Murray is questionable with a left shin contusion.
Rockets 117-108. We back Houston to win at home.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.