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Lightning vs Jets: Prediction, Odds, Team News and Goalscorer Picks

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets prediction and picks

These two met ten days ago and Tampa Bay won it 6-4. Winnipeg has scored 45 goals in 17 games and 13 of them belong to one player.

Josh Morrissey is on injured reserve with a wrist injury, which takes the best defenceman in the building out of a game Winnipeg needs.

Our verdict
Our pick
Tampa Bay to win
Score prediction
Lightning 4 – 2 Jets
Watch in Canada
Sportsnet
Our NHL picks this season
49–33 on the winner
Strike rate
60%
Graded picks
82

Every pick is graded on its own preview once the game finishes, misses included. The full game-by-game record is on our NHL picks page.

How to watch in Canada

Detail
GameTampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets
DateSunday 8 November
Puck drop6:00pm ET / 5:00pm CT
VenueCanada Life Centre
RecordsTampa Bay 10-3-2, Winnipeg 6-8-3
In CanadaSportsnet

Not every game reaches every part of the country live. The how to watch the NHL in Canada page explains which ones and why.

Lightning vs Jets odds at Canadian sportsbooks

The books had not opened this game in Canada at the time of writing. Keep an eye on the NHL odds page, which updates through the day.

Goalie matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning
Andrei Vasilevskiy Projected
8-3-1Record
.886Save %
2.75GAA
0Shutouts
Last 5 starts, save percentage
23 October v Avalanche: 18 saves on 23, .783.783AVA29 October v Jets: 17 saves on 21, .810.810JET31 October v Predators: 29 saves on 33, .879.879PRE3 November v Red Wings: 19 saves on 21, .905.905RED5 November v Blackhawks: 25 saves on 26, .962.962BLA

Vasilevskiy has started 12 of 15.

Winnipeg Jets
Stuart Skinner Projected
5-4-3Record
.885Save %
3.28GAA
0Shutouts
Last 5 starts, save percentage
25 October v Canadiens: 19 saves on 21, .905.905CAN29 October v Lightning: 16 saves on 21, .762.762LIG1 November v Hurricanes: 12 saves on 17, .706.706HUR3 November v Canadiens: 18 saves on 22, .818.818CAN5 November v Canucks: 24 saves on 26, .923.923CAN

12 of the 21 starts have gone to Skinner.

Starters are projected, never confirmed. Clubs name a goalie after the morning skate, so treat these as the likeliest call rather than the official one.

Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 12 of Tampa Bay’s 15 and is 8-3-1 at a 2.75. Stuart Skinner has started the same number for Winnipeg and sits at 5-4-3. Their save percentages are a thousandth apart, so the gap between them is what is happening in front, and there the difference is stark.

Team news

PlayerClubStatusLatest
Yanni GourdeTampa Bay LightningInjured Reserve, HipNo timetable
Haydn FleuryWinnipeg JetsDay to dayCheck the morning skate
Josh MorrisseyWinnipeg JetsInjured Reserve, WristNo timetable
Nick BjugstadWinnipeg JetsInjured Reserve, PectoralNo timetable
Vladislav NamestnikovWinnipeg JetsInjured Reserve, UndisclosedNo timetable

Winnipeg is missing Josh Morrissey, Nick Bjugstad and Vladislav Namestnikov, with Haydn Fleury day to day on a hand injury. Morrissey is the one that matters: he plays the most minutes on the club and kills penalties on a unit that is already struggling. Tampa Bay is without Yanni Gourde.

Who is fit and who is not around the league is on our NHL injury report.

How they compare this season

This seasonTampa Bay LightningWinnipeg Jets
Record10-3-26-8-3
Points22 8th of 3215 26th of 32
Goals for per game3.73 5th of 322.65 28th of 32
Goals against per game3.07 13th of 323.53 26th of 32
Power play17.3% 25th of 3218.0% 23rd of 32
Penalty kill77.5% 16th of 3269.4% 28th of 32

League rank out of 32 beside each figure. Green is a top-ten mark, red a bottom-ten one.

Tampa Bay scores more than all but four clubs and Winnipeg scores less than all but four. Both concede more than a team with designs on the playoffs would like, and only one of them is winning anyway.

Special teams

Lightning power playLightning power play: 17.3%, 25th of 3217.3% 25thJets penalty killJets penalty kill: 69.4%, 28th of 3269.4% 28thJets power playJets power play: 18.0%, 23rd of 3218.0% 23rdLightning penalty killLightning penalty kill: 77.5%, 16th of 3277.5% 16th

Each power play set against the kill it will face, with the league rank beside the figure. A top power play against a bottom kill is the single most reliable edge in a hockey preview.

Neither power play is any good, 25th and 23rd, so this is not the night either club solves it. The number that does matter is Winnipeg’s penalty kill at 69.4 per cent, 28th in the NHL, and it is now short Morrissey. Tampa Bay does not need a good power play to punish that.

Players to watch

Nikita Kucherov
4Goals
16Assists
20Points
41Shots
Points in his last 5
24 October v Mammoth: 0G 1A, 3 shots1UTA29 October v Jets: 0G 1A, 3 shots1WPG31 October v Predators: 0G 3A, 1 shots3NSH3 November v Red Wings: 0G 2A, 3 shots2DET5 November v Blackhawks: 0G 0A, 3 shots0CHI
Brandon Hagel
8Goals
9Assists
17Points
62Shots
Points in his last 5
24 October v Mammoth: 0G 0A, 7 shots0UTA29 October v Jets: 1G 2A, 5 shots3WPG31 October v Predators: 0G 0A, 3 shots0NSH3 November v Red Wings: 0G 0A, 1 shots0DET5 November v Blackhawks: 0G 1A, 3 shots1CHI
Kyle Connor
13Goals
6Assists
19Points
70Shots
Points in his last 5
29 October v Lightning: 1G 1A, 4 shots2TBL30 October v Panthers: 1G 0A, 2 shots1FLA1 November v Hurricanes: 0G 0A, 2 shots0CAR3 November v Canadiens: 2G 0A, 8 shots2MTL5 November v Canucks: 0G 2A, 2 shots2VAN
Mark Scheifele
3Goals
13Assists
16Points
39Shots
Points in his last 5
29 October v Lightning: 0G 3A, 0 shots3TBL30 October v Panthers: 0G 1A, 1 shots1FLA1 November v Hurricanes: 0G 0A, 4 shots0CAR3 November v Canadiens: 0G 2A, 3 shots2MTL5 November v Canucks: 1G 1A, 3 shots2VAN

Season totals, then points in each of the last five games. The goals, assists and shots behind each bar are in its label.

Kyle Connor has 13 goals, close to a third of everything Winnipeg has scored. Mark Scheifele has 13 assists. Nikita Kucherov has 16 assists of his own and Brandon Hagel has eight goals, which is how a Tampa Bay attack is supposed to look.

Recent meetings

DateResultVenueWon
29 October 2026Jets 4 – 6 LightningTampa BayLightning
5 March 2026Lightning 1 – 4 JetsWinnipegJets
29 January 2026Jets 1 – 4 LightningTampa BayLightning
14 November 2024Jets 1 – 4 LightningTampa BayLightning
3 November 2024Lightning 4 – 7 JetsWinnipegJets

The most recent meetings between the two clubs. All time the Jets lead 19–16 from 35 meetings.

They have met 35 times. Winnipeg leads the series by three wins, but nearly all of that cushion was banked before the current run, because Tampa Bay has taken three of the last four and the most recent of them was the 6-4 at home on 29 October.

How the last meeting unfolded

0123456Brayden Point (Lightning) · period 1 02:20 · even strength · 0-1Neal Pionk (Jets) · period 1 17:45 · even strength · 1-1Conor Geekie (Lightning) · period 2 09:43 · even strength · 1-2Anthony Cirelli (Lightning) · period 2 15:56 · power play · 1-3John Carlson (Lightning) · period 2 18:07 · even strength · 1-4Brandon Hagel (Lightning) · period 2 19:03 · even strength · 1-5Dylan Samberg (Jets) · period 3 07:00 · even strength · 2-5Neal Pionk (Jets) · period 3 08:50 · even strength · 3-5Kyle Connor (Jets) · period 3 17:12 · even strength · 4-5Pontus Holmberg (Lightning) · period 3 18:29 · even strength · 4-6
● Lightning 4   ● Jets 6

The running score in the last meeting, one step per goal. Each point names its scorer, the time and the strength it came at.

Where both clubs shoot from

Tampa Bay Lightning
Nikita Kucherov · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthBrayden Point · wrist · goal · even strengthConor Geekie · tip-in · missed shot · even strengthJeffrey Viel · shot · blocked shot · even strengthNikita Kucherov · shot · blocked shot · even strengthJohn Carlson · shot · blocked shot · even strengthRyan McDonagh · snap · missed shot · even strengthBrandon Hagel · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthNikita Kucherov · wrist · missed shot · even strengthJohn Carlson · snap · shot on goal · even strengthEmil Lilleberg · shot · blocked shot · even strengthBrayden Point · snap · shot on goal · even strengthNikita Kucherov · snap · shot on goal · even strengthBrandon Hagel · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthGage Goncalves · shot · blocked shot · even strengthNikita Kucherov · shot · blocked shot · even strengthNikita Kucherov · slap · missed shot · even strengthCharle-Edouard D’Astous · slap · shot on goal · even strengthJohn Carlson · snap · shot on goal · even strengthJake Guentzel · wrist · shot on goal · special teamsJake Guentzel · backhand · shot on goal · special teamsBrandon Hagel · snap · missed shot · special teamsBrandon Hagel · tip-in · shot on goal · even strengthVictor Hedman · shot · blocked shot · even strengthJ.J. Moser · shot · blocked shot · even strengthDominic James · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthConor Geekie · backhand · goal · even strengthVictor Hedman · snap · missed shot · special teamsGage Goncalves · shot · blocked shot · even strengthConor Geekie · snap · missed shot · even strengthVictor Hedman · shot · blocked shot · even strengthBrayden Point · shot · blocked shot · special teamsAnthony Cirelli · snap · missed shot · special teamsJake Guentzel · snap · shot on goal · special teamsJake Guentzel · snap · shot on goal · special teamsNikita Kucherov · wrist · shot on goal · special teamsJake Guentzel · deflected · shot on goal · special teamsAnthony Cirelli · deflected · goal · special teamsBrandon Hagel · shot · blocked shot · even strengthJohn Carlson · snap · goal · even strengthBrandon Hagel · snap · goal · even strengthConor Geekie · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthJeffrey Viel · deflected · shot on goal · even strengthBrayden Point · shot · blocked shot · even strengthGage Goncalves · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthBrayden Point · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthIlya Mikheyev · wrist · missed shot · even strengthJake Guentzel · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthJohn Carlson · shot · blocked shot · even strengthCharle-Edouard D’Astous · shot · blocked shot · even strengthJ.J. Moser · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthJohn Carlson · wrist · missed shot · special teamsBrandon Hagel · wrist · shot on goal · special teamsPontus Holmberg · backhand · missed shot · special teamsCharle-Edouard D’Astous · wrist · shot on goal · special teamsGage Goncalves · slap · missed shot · even strengthDominic James · slap · shot on goal · even strengthDominic James · shot · blocked shot · even strengthBrayden Point · wrap-around · missed shot · even strengthPontus Holmberg · snap · goal · special teams
60 attempts · 6 goals · 44 at even strength
Winnipeg Jets
Isak Rosen · backhand · shot on goal · even strengthMark Scheifele · wrist · missed shot · even strengthIsak Rosen · shot · blocked shot · even strengthDylan DeMelo · wrist · missed shot · even strengthKyle Connor · tip-in · shot on goal · even strengthElias Salomonsson · slap · shot on goal · even strengthDylan DeMelo · shot · blocked shot · even strengthKyle Connor · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthDawson Mercer · tip-in · missed shot · even strengthCole Perfetti · wrist · missed shot · even strengthNeal Pionk · slap · shot on goal · even strengthDawson Mercer · shot · blocked shot · even strengthMark Scheifele · shot · blocked shot · even strengthNeal Pionk · slap · goal · even strengthCole Perfetti · deflected · shot on goal · even strengthViggo Björck · shot · blocked shot · even strengthCole Perfetti · snap · shot on goal · special teamsKyle Connor · wrist · shot on goal · special teamsKyle Connor · shot · blocked shot · special teamsNeal Pionk · wrist · shot on goal · special teamsKyle Connor · shot · blocked shot · special teamsIsak Rosen · wrist · missed shot · even strengthElias Salomonsson · wrist · shot on goal · special teamsGabriel Vilardi · wrist · missed shot · special teamsMorgan Barron · wrist · missed shot · even strengthDylan Samberg · slap · shot on goal · even strengthDylan DeMelo · slap · missed shot · even strengthDylan DeMelo · slap · shot on goal · even strengthMario Ferraro · slap · missed shot · even strengthKyle Connor · shot · blocked shot · even strengthAlex Iafallo · tip-in · missed shot · even strengthCole Perfetti · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthDylan Samberg · slap · shot on goal · even strengthIsak Rosen · snap · missed shot · even strengthKyle Connor · wrist · missed shot · even strengthDawson Mercer · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthDylan Samberg · deflected · goal · even strengthDawson Mercer · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthNeal Pionk · snap · goal · even strengthDylan Samberg · wrist · missed shot · even strengthAdam Lowry · wrist · missed shot · special teamsNeal Pionk · shot · blocked shot · even strengthDawson Mercer · wrist · shot on goal · even strengthNeal Pionk · shot · blocked shot · even strengthKyle Connor · shot · blocked shot · even strengthAdam Lowry · tip-in · missed shot · even strengthKyle Connor · wrist · goal · special teamsBrad Lambert · backhand · missed shot · even strength
48 attempts · 4 goals · 39 at even strength

Every attempt in the last meeting, from centre ice to the end boards, each club attacking to the right. The half rink is drawn to scale: blue line, faceoff circles, crease, goal line and net. A filled circle is a shot on goal, a larger purple one is a goal, and an outline is a miss or a block. Hover or tap a shot for the shooter and the situation.

Results so far

Tampa Bay Lightning10-3-2 · goal difference +10
+2−2+4−4+6−61 October: lost to the Rangers 1-5 (away)@ NYR3 October: beat the Capitals 3-1 (home)v WSH5 October: beat the Flyers 4-1 (home)v PHI8 October: beat the Wild 3-2 (home)v MIN10 October: beat the Islanders 5-3 (away)@ NYI13 October: lost to the Rangers 1-4 (away)@ NYR15 October: beat the Kraken 4-3 (home) in OT/SOv SEA17 October: beat the Canucks 4-2 (home)v VAN20 October: beat the Golden Knights 6-2 (away)@ VGK23 October: lost to the Avalanche 3-6 (away)@ COL24 October: lost to the Mammoth 4-5 (away) in OT/SO@ UTA29 October: beat the Jets 6-4 (home)v WPG31 October: lost to the Predators 4-5 (away) in OT/SO@ NSH3 November: beat the Red Wings 4-2 (home)v DET5 November: beat the Blackhawks 4-1 (home)v CHI
Winnipeg Jets6-8-3 · goal difference -15
+2−2+4−4+6−62 October: lost to the Bruins 3-4 (home) in OT/SOv BOS4 October: beat the Red Wings 3-2 (away)@ DET5 October: beat the Penguins 3-2 (away)@ PIT7 October: beat the Avalanche 3-2 (home)v COL9 October: lost to the Ducks 1-5 (home)v ANA13 October: beat the Wild 5-2 (home)v MIN15 October: lost to the Blackhawks 3-4 (away) in OT/SO@ CHI17 October: lost to the Hurricanes 2-3 (home)v CAR20 October: lost to the Blues 1-2 (away)@ STL22 October: lost to the Stars 2-3 (away) in OT/SO@ DAL25 October: lost to the Canadiens 1-2 (home)v MTL27 October: lost to the Panthers 1-5 (home)v FLA29 October: lost to the Lightning 4-6 (away)@ TBL30 October: lost to the Panthers 2-5 (away)@ FLA1 November: lost to the Hurricanes 0-7 (away)@ CAR3 November: beat the Canadiens 5-4 (away) in OT/SO@ MTL5 November: beat the Canucks 6-2 (home)v VAN

One bar per game this season, oldest first. Above the line is a win, below is a defeat, and amber is a defeat past regulation. “v” is home and “@” is away, and each bar carries the score.

Score prediction

Winnipeg is at home and that counts for something on a Sunday evening. It is also missing its best defenceman against the fifth-best offence in the league, and that counts for more.

Lightning vs Jets prediction

Tampa Bay scores more, concedes less, has the better goaltender on form and beat this same opponent ten days ago.

The case against is the schedule. Tampa Bay plays in Minnesota on Saturday night and arrives on the second half of a back-to-back, while Winnipeg has had three days off.

Our pick: Tampa Bay to win. Lightning 4–2 Jets. What would change it: if Morrissey were cleared to play. He is on injured reserve as we write, so it is not in prospect, but his return would change how Winnipeg defends this.

See the NHL power rankings for where these two stand, and the NHL schedule for the rest of Sunday’s card. The NHL player props page is the place for scorer, shot and save markets on this one.

Is Josh Morrissey playing against Tampa Bay?

No. Morrissey is on injured reserve with a wrist injury. Winnipeg is also without Nick Bjugstad and Vladislav Namestnikov.

What channel is Lightning vs Jets on in Canada?

Sportsnet has the Canadian broadcast. Puck drop is 6:00pm ET / 5:00pm CT on Sunday 8 November.

Who has won more Lightning vs Jets games?

Winnipeg, by 19 wins to 16 across 35 meetings, though Tampa Bay has won three of the last four.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.