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Mammoth vs Senators: Prediction, Odds, Team News and Goalscorer Picks

Utah Mammoth vs Ottawa Senators prediction and picks

Utah finishes a five-game eastern trip in Ottawa on Saturday, its fourth game in seven nights. It brings the best power play in the NHL to a building whose penalty kill ranks 23rd.

Ottawa has lost Linus Ullmark to injured reserve with a lower-body problem. He had started eight games at .945, and the two goalies left have a .880 and a .848 between them.

Our verdict
Our pick
Utah to win
Score prediction
Mammoth 4 – 3 Senators
Against the market
Mammoth 52% at the Canadian books
Watch in Canada
Sportsnet One, TVA Sports
Our NHL picks this season
49–33 on the winner
Strike rate
60%
Graded picks
82

Every pick is graded on its own preview once the game finishes, misses included. The full game-by-game record is on our NHL picks page.

How to watch in Canada

Detail
GameUtah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators
DateSaturday 7 November
Puck drop7:00pm ET / 5:00pm MT
VenueCanadian Tire Centre
RecordsUtah 10-6-1, Ottawa 10-6-1
In CanadaSportsnet One, TVA Sports

Regional listings can differ from the national one, and blackouts apply in parts of Canada. Our how to watch the NHL in Canada page sets out the options.

Mammoth vs Senators odds at Canadian sportsbooks

SportsbookMammothSenatorsPuck lineTotal
Mise-o-jeu provincial––Senators +1.5 (−250)6.5 (−105 / −110)
PlayAlberta provincial––Senators +1.5 (−244)–
TonyBet−119−106Senators +1.5 (−256)6.5 (−108 / −114)
theScore Bet−120+100Senators +1.5 (−265)6.5 (−105 / −115)
Fair win chance, bookmaker margin removed
Mammoth 52%Senators 48%

Prices from 4 Canadian sportsbooks, captured on 7 November. They are stored prices rather than live ones, and a line moves with every injury update, so check the current number before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than an open-market book. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

Our NHL odds page has every other game on the night.

Goalie matchup

Utah Mammoth
Karel Vejmelka Projected
6-5-0Record
.872Save %
3.31GAA
1Shutouts
Last 5 starts, save percentage
17 October v Oilers: 12 saves on 17, .706.706OIL22 October v Kraken: 20 saves on 24, .833.833KRA24 October v Lightning: 28 saves on 32, .906.906LIG27 October v Wild: 28 saves on 31, .903.903WIL1 November v Flyers: 15 saves on 20, .750.750FLY

Cossa started the last game, but Vejmelka has 11 of the 17 starts and has had 2 days’ rest.

Ottawa Senators
Samuel Ersson Projected
2-3-1Record
.880Save %
3.33GAA
0Shutouts
Last 5 starts, save percentage
6 October v Red Wings: 31 saves on 35, .886.886RED13 October v Blues: 19 saves on 26, .731.731BLU22 October v Sharks: 22 saves on 26, .846.846SHA31 October v Sharks: 22 saves on 23, .957.957SHA4 November v Sabres: 24 saves on 25, .960.960SAB

Ersson has started 5 of 17.

Starters are projected, never confirmed. Clubs name a goalie after the morning skate, so treat these as the likeliest call rather than the official one.

This is the swing. Ullmark was the best goaltender in either dressing room and he is unavailable, so Samuel Ersson takes a crease that has already been shared three ways. Karel Vejmelka is no certainty either, at .872 across 12 appearances, which is part of why Utah has conceded 59 goals in 17 games and why the total may end up the more interesting market here.

Team news

PlayerClubStatusLatest
John MarinoUtah MammothInjured Reserve, Upper BodyNo timetable
Kailer YamamotoUtah MammothDay to dayCheck the morning skate
Maveric LamoureuxUtah MammothInjured Reserve, ShoulderNo timetable
Nate SchmidtUtah MammothDay to dayCheck the morning skate
Andre BurakovskyOttawa SenatorsInjured Reserve, Lower BodyNo timetable
Linus UllmarkOttawa SenatorsInjured Reserve, Lower BodyNo timetable
Ridly GreigOttawa SenatorsOut, Lower BodyNo timetable
Warren FoegeleOttawa SenatorsInjured Reserve, KneeNo timetable
William EklundOttawa SenatorsInjured Reserve, AnkleNo timetable

Ottawa’s list is long. Ullmark, William Eklund, Warren Foegele and Andre Burakovsky are on injured reserve, and Ridly Greig misses a second straight game with a lower-body injury. Utah is without John Marino and Maveric Lamoureux, and Kailer Yamamoto is day to day.

Our NHL injury report tracks every other club.

How they compare this season

This seasonUtah MammothOttawa Senators
Record10-6-110-6-1
Points21 9th of 3221 10th of 32
Goals for per game3.59 9th of 323.18 17th of 32
Goals against per game3.47 24th of 323.06 10th of 32
Power play38.3% 1st of 3212.1% 31st of 32
Penalty kill70.4% 26th of 3273.8% 23rd of 32

League rank out of 32 beside each figure. Green is a top-ten mark, red a bottom-ten one.

The two clubs are level on 21 points with identical 10-6-1 records. Special teams are where they separate, and they separate a long way.

Special teams

Mammoth power playMammoth power play: 38.3%, 1st of 3238.3% 1stSenators penalty killSenators penalty kill: 73.8%, 23rd of 3273.8% 23rdSenators power playSenators power play: 12.1%, 31st of 3212.1% 31stMammoth penalty killMammoth penalty kill: 70.4%, 26th of 3270.4% 26th

Each power play set against the kill it will face, with the league rank beside the figure. A top power play against a bottom kill is the single most reliable edge in a hockey preview.

Players to watch

Clayton Keller
4Goals
18Assists
22Points
42Shots
Points in his last 5
27 October v Wild: 0G 0A, 3 shots0MIN29 October v Penguins: 0G 1A, 3 shots1PIT1 November v Flyers: 0G 2A, 4 shots2PHI3 November v Maple Leafs: 0G 3A, 5 shots3TOR5 November v Canadiens: 0G 1A, 1 shots1MTL
Logan Cooley
11Goals
10Assists
21Points
29Shots
Points in his last 5
27 October v Wild: 1G 0A, 3 shots1MIN29 October v Penguins: 3G 0A, 5 shots3PIT1 November v Flyers: 1G 1A, 2 shots2PHI3 November v Maple Leafs: 0G 0A, 3 shots0TOR5 November v Canadiens: 3G 1A, 3 shots4MTL
Tim Stützle
9Goals
13Assists
22Points
39Shots
Points in his last 5
27 October v Golden Knights: 0G 0A, 1 shots0VGK29 October v Kings: 0G 3A, 1 shots3LAK31 October v Sharks: 1G 1A, 7 shots2SJS1 November v Ducks: 0G 0A, 1 shots0ANA4 November v Sabres: 0G 1A, 5 shots1BUF
Drake Batherson
9Goals
9Assists
18Points
39Shots
Points in his last 5
27 October v Golden Knights: 0G 1A, 1 shots1VGK29 October v Kings: 1G 2A, 3 shots3LAK31 October v Sharks: 1G 0A, 4 shots1SJS1 November v Ducks: 0G 1A, 1 shots1ANA4 November v Sabres: 0G 0A, 2 shots0BUF

Season totals, then points in each of the last five games. The goals, assists and shots behind each bar are in its label.

Clayton Keller has seven assists in his last five games without scoring in any of them. Logan Cooley scored three times in Montreal on Thursday, two of them on the power play, and is up to 11 goals. Tim Stützle has 9 goals and 13 assists for Ottawa.

Recent meetings

DateResultVenueWon
7 January 2026Senators 1 – 3 MammothUtahMammoth
9 November 2025Mammoth 2 – 4 SenatorsOttawaSenators
26 January 2025Mammoth 1 – 3 SenatorsOttawaSenators
22 October 2024Senators 4 – 0 MammothUtahSenators

The most recent meetings between the two clubs. All time the Senators lead 3–1 from 4 meetings.

These two have met only four times since Utah joined the league in 2024, and Ottawa has won three of them, though Utah took the most recent, 3-1 at home in January. Only one was settled by more than two goals.

Results so far

Utah Mammoth10-6-1 · goal difference +2
+1−1+2−2+3−3+4−4+5−5+6−61 October: beat the Blackhawks 6-0 (home)v CHI3 October: beat the Blue Jackets 4-1 (away)@ CBJ4 October: lost to the Rangers 2-4 (away)@ NYR6 October: beat the Devils 5-3 (away)@ NJD8 October: lost to the Bruins 1-6 (away)@ BOS10 October: beat the Sabres 4-1 (away)@ BUF13 October: beat the Maple Leafs 5-4 (home)v TOR15 October: beat the Oilers 4-2 (away)@ EDM17 October: lost to the Oilers 2-6 (home)v EDM19 October: beat the Penguins 5-4 (home)v PIT22 October: lost to the Kraken 3-5 (away)@ SEA24 October: beat the Lightning 5-4 (home) in OT/SOv TBL27 October: lost to the Wild 1-3 (home)v MIN29 October: beat the Penguins 4-3 (away) in OT/SO@ PIT1 November: lost to the Flyers 3-6 (away)@ PHI3 November: beat the Maple Leafs 3-2 (away)@ TOR5 November: lost to the Canadiens 4-5 (away) in OT/SO@ MTL
Ottawa Senators10-6-1 · goal difference +2
+1−1+2−2+3−3+4−4+5−5+6−63 October: beat the Maple Leafs 3-2 (away)@ TOR5 October: beat the Bruins 4-1 (away)@ BOS6 October: lost to the Red Wings 3-5 (away)@ DET8 October: beat the Flyers 2-1 (home)v PHI10 October: beat the Predators 3-2 (home) in OT/SOv NSH12 October: beat the Devils 4-1 (away)@ NJD13 October: lost to the Blues 2-7 (home)v STL15 October: beat the Islanders 2-1 (home) in OT/SOv NYI17 October: lost to the Flyers 1-3 (away)@ PHI21 October: beat the Panthers 5-1 (home)v FLA22 October: lost to the Sharks 2-6 (home)v SJS24 October: beat the Rangers 7-4 (home)v NYR27 October: lost to the Golden Knights 1-4 (away)@ VGK29 October: lost to the Kings 5-6 (away) in OT/SO@ LAK31 October: beat the Sharks 5-1 (away)@ SJS1 November: lost to the Ducks 3-6 (away)@ ANA4 November: beat the Sabres 2-1 (away)@ BUF

One bar per game this season, oldest first. Above the line is a win, below is a defeat, and amber is a defeat past regulation. “v” is home and “@” is away, and each bar carries the score.

Score prediction

Ottawa is at home and has had two days off against a Utah side playing its fifth straight game away from home. That points to a close game rather than a comfortable one either way.

Mammoth vs Senators prediction

The power-play gap is the largest single edge on Saturday’s card. Utah converts more of its power plays than any club in the league, and Ottawa concedes on the kill more often than all but nine.

Ullmark’s absence removes the one advantage Ottawa had in this matchup. A .945 save percentage covers a lot of defensive problems, and neither goaltender left is providing that.

Our pick: Utah to win. Mammoth 4–3 Senators. What would change it: if Ottawa confirmed Ullmark fit. He is on injured reserve as we write, so that is not in prospect, but it is the one change that would move us off Utah.

We put all 32 in order every week in the NHL power rankings, and the rest of Saturday’s card is on the NHL schedule. Scorer, shot and save markets for this one live on the NHL player props page.

Is Linus Ullmark playing against Utah?

No. Ullmark is on injured reserve with a lower-body injury. Samuel Ersson is the likely starter in his place, though clubs confirm a goalie after the morning skate.

What channel is Mammoth vs Senators on in Canada?

Sportsnet One has it, with French-language coverage on TVA Sports. Puck drop is 7:00pm ET / 5:00pm MT on Saturday 7 November.

Who has won more Mammoth vs Senators games?

Ottawa, three wins to one. The clubs have met only four times, because Utah entered the league in 2024.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.