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Liverpool vs Manchester City: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Liverpool vs Manchester City predicted formations

Liverpool host Manchester City at Anfield on Sunday, October 11 (11:30 AM ET / 10:30 AM CT / 8:30 AM PT).

Liverpool’s team news is dominated by absences: the sidelined Hugo Ekitike, Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni and Federico Chiesa are all out, while Alexander Isak and Cody Gakpo carry thigh and ankle doubts into kick-off. Isak, if passed fit, arrives with four goals and seven shots on target from his minutes so far, and Dominik Szoboszlai has driven the midfield with one goal and eleven chances created. Manchester City have no such concerns, with Erling Haaland leading their attack on five goals from twenty shots and Mathis Cherki offering a second outlet with three goals and twelve chances created.

Liverpool’s three draws this season point to matches they’ve shared rather than lost, and they’ll need an edge at Anfield against a City side that hasn’t dropped a point yet. Manchester City arrive at full strength, with Haaland leading the line and Cherki supplying chances from midfield, and that depth of quality tends to find a way through at the top end of matches. This has the feel of a contest with goals in it rather than a stalemate, and the visitors look the side most likely to make the moments count.

Liverpool vs Manchester City: Best Bets & Predictions

Erling Haaland and Manchester City arrive at Anfield full of running against a Liverpool side still searching for control.

Manchester City to winTop pickManchester City have taken 15 points from five games and arrive with no fitness concerns, a clear edge on a Liverpool side missing four first-team players.
Liverpool 1-2 Manchester CityErling Haaland already has 5 goals and Mathis Cherki has added 3 more with 12 chances created, enough edge to beat a Liverpool side whose own threat runs through Dominik Szoboszlai's 11 chances created.
Both Teams to Score – YesLiverpool have scored in four of their five league matches this season, missing out only in the goalless draw with Fulham. Manchester City have scored in every game too, led by Erling Haaland's 5 goals from 20 shots.
Over 2.5 GoalsFour of Liverpool's five league matches have produced goals at both ends, and Manchester City have been even more prolific, scoring five goals in a single game against Sunderland alone.
Erling Haaland to score anytimeHaaland has 5 goals from 20 shots already this season, including 10 on target, making him City's most reliable source of goals.
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Our approach: we weigh underlying numbers — shots, chances created and goal involvements — against league form and squad availability to land on a single projected scoreline and the bets that follow from it.

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Season Form & Standings

Liverpool have taken 9 points from 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and sit on a +3 goal difference. Manchester City have a perfect record, 5 wins from 5 games for 15 points and a +8 goal difference.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Manchester City15500135+815
Liverpool6523074+39
Team News Predicted

Liverpool vs Manchester City Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
Alisson Becker
M. Kerkez
V. van Dijk
J. Jacquet
R. Araujo
A. Mac Allister
D. Szoboszlai
B. Barcola
F. Wirtz
C. Gakpo
A. Isak

Manchester City

4-2-3-1
G. Donnarumma
J. Gvardiol
M. Guehi
Ruben Dias
Matheus Nunes
E. Anderson
E. Fernandez
A. Semenyo
R. Cherki
I. Ndiaye
E. Haaland
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool): The defensive midfielder has 1 goal and 11 chances created from 441 minutes, driving Liverpool’s build-up from deep.
    • Erling Haaland (Manchester City): The striker has scored 5 goals from 20 shots, with 10 on target, the clearest individual threat on the pitch.
    • Mathis Cherki (Manchester City): The attacking midfielder has 3 goals and 12 chances created in 305 minutes, offering a second scoring and creative outlet behind Haaland.

    Recent Form

    Liverpool: D D W D W

    • 2026-09-20: Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool (W, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Liverpool 0-0 Fulham (D, home)
    • 2026-09-04: Ipswich Town 0-2 Liverpool (W, away)
    • 2026-08-29: Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest (D, home)
    • 2026-08-23: Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool (D, away)

    Liverpool’s form reads D D W D W across their last five matches, a run that includes a 0-1 win away to Bournemouth and a 0-0 draw at home to Fulham.

    Manchester City: W W W W W

    • 2026-09-20: Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City (W, away)
    • 2026-09-05: Manchester City 1-0 Coventry City (W, home)
    • 2026-08-28: Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City (W, away)
    • 2026-08-23: Manchester City 2-1 Bournemouth (W, home)

    Manchester City’s form reads W W W W W, five wins from five, capped by a 5-3 win over Sunderland and a 1-0 derby win away to Manchester United.

    Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction

    Manchester City have taken 15 points from 5 games this season against Liverpool’s 9, and that gap lines up with the underlying numbers too. Expect a tight opening before City’s quality shows, Erling Haaland and Mathis Cherki combining for the decisive moments, with Liverpool getting a goal back but not enough. Signal’s call: Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City.