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Arsenal vs Leeds: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Arsenal vs Leeds predicted formations

Arsenal host Leeds at Emirates Stadium on Saturday, October 10 (7:30 AM ET / 6:30 AM CT / 4:30 AM PT).

Arsenal go into this one without the injured Saliba (lower back) and the injured Tzolis (thigh), while Mosquera Ibarguen, White, Rice and Havertz are all carrying knocks that leave their involvement in doubt. Bukayo Saka, who has 3 goals in the league already this season, is the central figure in attack, with Declan Rice’s distribution — 7 chances created in 414 minutes — missed if he doesn’t make it. Leeds have their own gaps, with the injured Joseph (knee), the injured Rodon (thigh) and the injured Wilson (thigh) all unavailable, but Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who also has 3 goals this term, is fit to lead their line.

This should be a tighter contest than Arsenal’s recent scorelines suggest. Leeds have drawn 3 of their 5 league games and remain unbeaten, a discipline that should make goals hard to come by at the Emirates Stadium. Arsenal, with 12 points from 5 games and a +4 goal difference, carry the greater firepower through Saka, but with Rice and Havertz both touch-and-go, this looks more like a game settled by a single moment than a flurry of chances.

Arsenal vs Leeds: Best Bets & Predictions

Arsenal's firepower meets Leeds's unbeaten record in a tight one at the Emirates Stadium.

Arsenal to winTop pickArsenal have taken 12 points from 5 games (4 wins, 1 loss, +4 goal difference) compared with Leeds's 9 points from 2 wins and 3 draws.
Arsenal 1-0 LeedsA 1-0 scoreline suits a Saka-led Arsenal attack, with Saka already on 3 goals from 15 shots this season, in a game Leeds have shown they can keep tight.
Both Teams to Score: NoLeeds's most recent match finished 0-0 against Crystal Palace, and with Arsenal having lost just 1 of their opening five games, a shutout at one end feels more likely than goals at both.
Under 2.5 GoalsA 1-0 finish keeps this one Under two.5 goals, in line with a Leeds side that has drawn 3 of their 5 league games this season.
Bukayo Saka to scoreSaka has scored 3 goals from 15 shots and 9 shots on target already this season, making him Arsenal's clearest route to goal.
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Our approach: we weight each side's points total, goal difference and the output of their key attackers above raw reputation, and here that points to a narrow Arsenal win rather than an end-to-end shootout.

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Season Form & Standings

Arsenal have picked up 12 points from 5 games (4 wins, 1 loss) and a +4 goal difference, while Leeds sit on 9 points from the same 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) and an identical +4 goal difference.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Arsenal2540184+412
Leeds5523073+49
Team News Predicted

Arsenal vs Leeds Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
David Raya
R. Calafiori
Gabriel Magalhaes
E. Konsa
J. Timber
Bruno Guimaraes
D. Rice
C. Tzolis
M. Odegaard
B. Saka
K. Havertz

Leeds

3-5-2
J. Trafford
T. Muharemovic
N. Elvedi
J. Justin
G. Gudmundsson
A. Tanaka
E. Ampadu
A. Stach
J. Bogle
N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Bukayo Saka (Arsenal): 3 goals from 15 shots (9 on target) and 7 chances created in 418 minutes make him Arsenal’s most direct attacking threat.
    • Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal): Guimarães has scored once in just 124 minutes, the kind of set-piece contribution that adds to Arsenal’s aerial threat without needing to push him forward.
    • Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds): 3 goals from 11 shots (7 on target) in 421 minutes mark him out as Leeds’s main source of goals.

    Recent Form

    Arsenal: W W W W L

    • 2026-09-19: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (W, away)
    • 2026-09-06: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (W, home)
    • 2026-08-31: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
    • 2026-08-21: Arsenal 3-0 Coventry City (W, home)

    Arsenal arrive off the back of a 3-0 loss at Brighton, their only blemish in a run that had otherwise brought wins over Sunderland, Chelsea, Aston Villa and Coventry City.

    Leeds: W D D W D

    • 2026-09-20: Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace (D, home)
    • 2026-09-14: Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (W, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Leeds 1-1 Brentford (D, home)
    • 2026-08-22: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds (W, away)

    Leeds remain unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses from 5 games), including a 4-1 win over Newcastle and a 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace last time out.

    Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction

    Backing Arsenal 1-0 Leeds. Arsenal’s 12 points from 5 games gives them the platform, and Saka’s movement should be enough to create the single goal that wins it, even with Leeds dragging their 9 points from 2 wins and 3 draws into a stubborn away performance.