Nashville SC host Toronto FC at Nashville SC Stadium on Saturday, September 26 (8:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM PT).
There is no fresh team news of note for either side heading into this one at Geodis Park, with both managers able to pick from close to full strength. Nashville SC will lean heavily on Samuel Surridge, who has scored 16 goals this season, alongside Hany Mukhtar, whose 35 chances created underline his creative influence in behind him. Toronto FC’s threat is likely to run through Dániel Sallói and Joshua Sargent, who have scored 7 goals apiece for the visitors this campaign.
Nashville have made Geodis Park a difficult place to visit, and Toronto arrive off back-to-back away defeats, at St. Louis City SC and at Orlando City, without scoring in either. This shapes as a tight, cagey affair rather than a shootout, with Nashville’s control likely to matter more than Toronto’s ability to threaten in the final third.
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: Best Bets & Predictions
Can Toronto stop the East's runaway leaders in their tracks?
Our approach: Signal's model weighs Nashville's league-leading underlying numbers — a +32 goal difference and 57 points — against a Toronto side sitting 12th on 29 points, pointing to a controlled home win rather than an open, high-scoring contest.
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Season Form & Standings
Nashville SC sit first in the Eastern Conference with 57 points from 26 games, comfortably the league’s East pace-setters. Toronto FC sit 12th with 29 points, still in the thick of the Eastern Conference’s playoff scrap with games still to shape where they land.
Eastern Conference
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 21 | +32 | 57 |
| Toronto FC | 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 29 |
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Toronto FC
4-2-3-1Potential Match-Winners
- Samuel Surridge (Nashville SC): 16 goals from 49 shots this season, with 27 of those on target — Nashville’s most direct route to goal.
- Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): 11 goals and 35 chances created underline his all-round influence just behind Surridge.
- Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): 7 goals and 30 chances created make him Toronto’s most productive attacking outlet this season.
Recent Form
Nashville SC: W D L D W
- 2026-09-20: Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire (W, home)
- 2026-09-13: Inter Miami 2-2 Nashville SC (D, away)
- 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (L, away)
- 2026-09-05: NYCFC 0-0 Nashville SC (D, away)
- 2026-08-30: Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati (W, home)
Nashville’s form reads W D L D W across their last five matches. That run included a 3-0 win over Chicago Fire and a 4-0 win over FC Cincinnati, with the only defeat a 2-1 loss away to Toronto FC.
Toronto FC: D D W L L
- 2026-09-20: St. Louis City SC 3-1 Toronto FC (L, away)
- 2026-09-13: Orlando City 3-0 Toronto FC (L, away)
- 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (W, home)
- 2026-09-06: Toronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire (D, home)
- 2026-08-30: Toronto FC 1-1 NYCFC (D, home)
Toronto’s form reads D D W L L across their last five matches. The win was a 2-1 victory over Nashville themselves, either side of defeats — 3-1 away to St. Louis City SC and 3-0 away to Orlando City.
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction
Expect a controlled, low-scoring night at Geodis Park, with Nashville’s superior quality showing through in a 2-0 win that keeps them first in the East, while Toronto FC’s push from 12th continues to stall.