Belgium vs Egypt kicks off on Monday, June 15 at 3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT at Lumen Field in Seattle, a Group G opener that pits one of Europe’s deepest squads against an Egypt side built around Mohamed Salah.
Our Belgium vs Egypt prediction starts with the gap in attacking firepower. Belgium arrive with Kevin De Bruyne, Jérémy Doku and a settled spine, while Egypt lean heavily on Salah to carry the load against a stronger opponent. Both nations want a fast start in a group that also holds Iran and New Zealand.
bet365 prices Belgium at -150 to win, with Egypt out at +400 and the draw at +280. That line reads as a clear favorite who still has to break down a disciplined African side, and you can track the full market on the World Cup 2026 hub and our World Cup outright odds page.
Belgium vs Egypt: Best Bets & Predictions
Our approach to this opener leans on Belgium’s edge in quality without overpaying for a blowout.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium to Win | -150 @ bet365 (60%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Belgium carry far more attacking depth, and the market makes them a heavy favorite at -150. |
| Correct Score: Belgium 1-0 | +700 @ bet365 (13%) | ⭐⭐ | Egypt defend deep and stay compact, so a single goal often settles these mismatches. |
| Jérémy Doku to Score Anytime | Check bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Doku scored five goals and added five assists in 29 Premier League games for Manchester City this season. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | +100 @ bet365 (50%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Opening group games tend to be cagey, and Egypt will sit deep to protect the result. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | -106 @ bet365 (51%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Thibaut Courtois anchors a back line that should keep a limited Egypt attack quiet. |
Our approach: Start with Belgium to win, then add the Doku anytime scorer for a little more value through bet365.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
The prediction markets line up neatly with the sportsbooks on this one. Polymarket traders have Belgium as the firm favorite, pricing a Belgium win well clear of the draw, with Egypt a distant third. The shape of the market points to a comfortable Belgium edge rather than a coin flip.
Kalshi tells a similar story across its World Cup coverage, leaning toward Belgium and giving them the strongest path out of Group G. We will reflect any later pricing here if Kalshi or Polymarket reprices the fixture closer to kick-off.
Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Group G — 2026 FIFA World Cup
The table below reflects the December draw, not a played group, so every team starts on zero. Belgium are the seeds and the favorites to top the group ahead of Egypt, Iran and New Zealand.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Egypt | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iran | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| New Zealand | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Jérémy Doku (Belgium): The winger scored five goals and laid on five assists in 29 Premier League appearances for Manchester City this season, giving Belgium a direct runner to stretch Egypt’s defense.
- Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium): Now at Napoli, he managed five goals and two assists across 18 Serie A games this season and remains Belgium’s chief creator from midfield.
- Mohamed Salah (Egypt): Egypt’s talisman shared the Premier League Golden Boot with 23 goals and added 13 assists for Liverpool this season, and he is the one player who can swing this game on his own.
- Omar Marmoush (Egypt): The Manchester City forward chipped in three goals and three assists in 21 Premier League outings this season, offering Egypt a second pace threat alongside Salah.
Head-to-Head
Egypt hold the upper hand in this rivalry, winning three of the four meetings, including a 2-1 friendly success in 2022. All four games have been friendlies, so there is no competitive history to read into here.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2022 | Egypt 2-1 Belgium | Friendly |
| Jun 6, 2018 | Belgium 3-0 Egypt | Friendly |
| Feb 9, 2005 | Egypt 4-0 Belgium | Friendly |
| Mar 30, 1999 | Belgium 0-1 Egypt | Friendly |
Form Coming Into the Tournament
Belgium reached the finals through European qualifying and arrive with most of their first-choice spine intact. De Bruyne, Doku and Romelu Lukaku give the side a familiar attacking shape, and the squad blends experienced heads with younger legs across the pitch.
Egypt qualified comfortably from African qualifying, anchored by Salah’s goals and a settled defensive group. The Pharaohs are back at a World Cup with a clear plan: stay compact, frustrate stronger opponents, and let Salah punish any opening. They will fancy their chances of springing a surprise in a winnable group.
Belgium vs Egypt Prediction
Belgium have the better players in almost every area, and an opening group game against a side likely to sit deep points to a controlled win rather than a goal rush. We will take Belgium to win at -150 with bet365 as the anchor, with the Doku anytime scorer as a value add. For more of our weekend picks, see our soccer predictions, and you can compare this one with our Mexico vs South Africa preview for the tournament opener. Kick-off is Monday, June 15 at 3:00 PM ET at Lumen Field in Seattle.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER