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Raptors vs Bucks: Prediction, Team News and an NBA Cup Night in Milwaukee

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction and picks

Toronto has lost three of its last four, the latest by 19 points in Denver on Wednesday. Friday’s trip to Milwaukee is its second NBA Cup group game, against a Bucks team that has won once all season.

Giannis Antetokounmpo now plays in Miami, and Milwaukee is 1-7. Tyler Herro leads the Bucks at 22.2 points a game.

Our best bet
Raptors to win
PickRaptors to win
Score predictionRaptors 116-108 Bucks
SpreadRaptors −7.5 (no bet: Barnes is questionable)
Prop to watchScottie Barnes points line 22.5
Watch in CanadaSportsnet, Sportsnet+
Prices from Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Friday 6 November. Check the team news before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
Our NBA picks this season
Winners 29-10
Spread picks
15-6 (18 passed)
In these clubs’ games
Raptors games 4-1 · Bucks games 1-0

Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.

How to watch Raptors vs Bucks in Canada

Tip-off
8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT, Friday 6 November 2026
Venue
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Watch in Canada
Sportsnet, Sportsnet+
Records
Toronto 4-4, Milwaukee 1-7
Rest
Toronto with 1 day off, Milwaukee with 1 day off

Sportsnet and Sportsnet+ have the game in Canada. Our how to watch the NBA in Canada page covers streaming and the rest of the week’s listings.

Raptors vs Bucks odds

SportsbookRaptorsBucksSpreadTotal
Bet99−260+210Bucks +7.5 (−115)O/U 231.5 (−110 / −110)
Mise-o-jeu provincial−278+232Bucks +7.5 (−120)O/U 231.5 (−105 / −111)
PlayAlberta provincial−250+209–O/U 231.5 (−106 / −111)
TonyBet−263+215Bucks +8.5 (−137)O/U 231.5 (−110 / −111)
theScore Bet−250+210Bucks +7.5 (−120)O/U 231.5 (−105 / −115)
Fair win chance, bookmaker margin removed
Raptors 70%Bucks 30%

Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Friday 6 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

How the line has moved

SportsbookRaptorsBucks
Bet99−260 → −260+210 → +210
Mise-o-jeu−312 → −278 ▲+256 → +232 ▼
PlayAlberta−278 → −250 ▲+227 → +209 ▼
TonyBet−303 → −263 ▲+240 → +215 ▼
theScore Bet−290 → −250 ▲+240 → +210 ▼

Moneyline at the first and latest stored capture (8:02 p.m. to 3:02 a.m. ET). ▲ the price lengthened, ▼ it shortened.

The spread and total in context

Tonight’s numbers: Bucks +7.5, total 231.5
Each game against the spreadEach game against the total
Raptors
3 of 8: won by 8 or more
4 of 8 over 231.5
Bucks
3 of 8: lost by 7 or fewer, or won
5 of 8 over 231.5

One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.

Home, road and rest

At homeOn the roadSecond of a back-to-backWith a day or more off
Raptors2-1 (+22.0)2-3 (-6.2)1-0 (+7.0)2-4 (-2.5)
Bucks1-3 (-14.0)0-4 (-10.5)0-1 (-11.0)1-5 (-12.5)

Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.

Projected starting fives

Toronto Raptors
StarterPTSREBASTToday
RJ Barrett20.96.03.9Available
Immanuel Quickley17.43.55.8Available
Scottie Barnes23.57.65.1Questionable
Ja’Kobe Walter11.43.82.5Available
Collin Murray-Boyles9.64.81.2Available
Milwaukee Bucks
StarterPTSREBASTToday
Myles Turner8.55.62.6Available
Kyle Kuzma9.56.23.0Available
Tyler Herro22.25.03.9Available
Jaime Jaquez Jr.16.86.62.8Available
Brayden Burries8.94.51.5Available

The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
TorontoKawhi LeonardOut, kneeRe-evaluation in one week, reported on 3 Nov
TorontoNate BittleOut, footNo timetable
TorontoScottie BarnesQuestionable, groinQuestionable on the league’s 5:30 a.m. ET report
MilwaukeeKam JonesOut, G LeagueOn G League duty on the league’s 5:15 a.m. ET report

Scottie Barnes is questionable with left groin soreness on the league’s report. Kawhi Leonard is still out with his left knee, and Nate Bittle (foot) is out too. Milwaukee’s report lists only players on G League duty.

Every other club’s absences are on our NBA injury report.

How the Raptors and Bucks compare this season

● Toronto Raptors   ● Milwaukee Bucks  ·  left is better
1st30thNet ratingToronto Raptors: +4.2, 12th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: -11.8, 28th of 30Raptors +4.2 (12th) · Bucks -11.8 (28th)Offensive ratingToronto Raptors: 112.6, 10th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 105.5, 23rd of 30Raptors 112.6 (10th) · Bucks 105.5 (23rd)Defensive ratingToronto Raptors: 108.4, 13th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 117.3, 27th of 30Raptors 108.4 (13th) · Bucks 117.3 (27th)Effective FG%Toronto Raptors: 52.2, 20th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 51.2, 25th of 30Raptors 52.2 (20th) · Bucks 51.2 (25th)Three-point %Toronto Raptors: 31.9, 25th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 34.3, 18th of 30Raptors 31.9 (25th) · Bucks 34.3 (18th)Turnover %Toronto Raptors: 12.0, 4th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 13.9, 16th of 30Raptors 12.0 (4th) · Bucks 13.9 (16th)Offensive rebound %Toronto Raptors: 32.0, 1st of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 29.5, 10th of 30Raptors 32.0 (1st) · Bucks 29.5 (10th)Opponent effective FG%Toronto Raptors: 55.0, 24th of 30Milwaukee Bucks: 54.1, 18th of 30Raptors 55.0 (24th) · Bucks 54.1 (18th)

League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (8 and 8 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.

Toronto wins the possession battle most nights. It ranks second in offensive rebounding and fourth in turnover rate, so it gets more shots up than most teams. Milwaukee’s defence is 27th, and its net rating of −11.8 is 28th.

Toronto’s shooting decides how comfortable this gets. The Raptors make 31.9 per cent of their threes, 25th in the league, and the Bucks let opponents shoot an effective 54.1 per cent.

Results so far

Toronto Raptors4-4 · average margin +4.4
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40+50−50021 Oct: beat the Bulls 135-92 (home)+43v CHI21 Oct23 Oct: beat the Wizards 112-102 (away)+10@ WAS23 Oct25 Oct: lost to the Timberwolves 94-117 (away)−23@ MIN25 Oct28 Oct: beat the Magic 129-99 (home)+30v ORL28 Oct30 Oct: lost to the Magic 114-121 (home)−7v ORL30 Oct1 Nov: lost to the Lakers 125-131 (away)−6@ LAL1 Nov2 Nov: beat the Clippers 125-118 (away)+7@ LAC2 Nov4 Nov: lost to the Nuggets 109-128 (away)−19@ DEN4 Nov
Milwaukee Bucks1-7 · average margin -12.2
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40+50−50021 Oct: lost to the Wizards 116-128 (away)−12@ WAS21 Oct23 Oct: lost to the Bulls 125-132 (home)−7v CHI23 Oct24 Oct: lost to the 76ers 116-127 (away)−11@ PHI24 Oct26 Oct: beat the Pacers 110-102 (home)+8v IND26 Oct28 Oct: lost to the Rockets 100-132 (home)−32v HOU28 Oct31 Oct: lost to the Cavaliers 111-136 (home)−25v CLE31 Oct2 Nov: lost to the Timberwolves 100-112 (away)−12@ MIN2 Nov4 Nov: lost to the Celtics 102-109 (away)−7@ BOS4 Nov

One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.

Barnes v Herro

Scottie Barnes
Raptors · 33.4 min · 8 games
Tyler Herro
Bucks · 30.6 min · 8 games
23.5
Points
22.2
7.6
Rebounds
5.0
5.1
Assists
3.9
3.9
Turnovers
2.1
2.2
Steals
1.0
31.7
Usage %
27.8
52.2
True shooting %
58.8
15.4
Three-point %
42.6
0.5
Threes made
3.6
6.2
Free throws tried
3.5
+4
Plus-minus, season
-68
Points in the recent meetings (DNP: did not play, or was not with the club then)
Scottie Barnes: 17 points, 24 Oct 202517DNP24 Oct 25Scottie Barnes: 23 points, 4 Nov 202523DNP4 Nov 25Scottie Barnes: 24 points, 18 Dec 202524DNP18 Dec 25DNPDNP22 Feb 26

Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.

Barnes carries more of the load, with a 31.7 usage rate to Herro’s 27.8, and more rebounds and assists. Herro is the cleaner shooter. He makes 42.6 per cent of his threes, and Barnes has made 15.4 per cent of his.

Players to watch

Scottie Barnes16th in the NBA in points
Toronto Raptors
23.5PTS
7.6REB
5.1AST
52.2TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Scottie Barnes: 28 points28Scottie Barnes: 41 points41Scottie Barnes: 29 points29Scottie Barnes: 22 points22Scottie Barnes: 17 points17
RJ Barrett37th in the NBA in points
Toronto Raptors
20.9PTS
6.0REB
3.9AST
55.1TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
RJ Barrett: 25 points25RJ Barrett: 9 points9RJ Barrett: 22 points22RJ Barrett: 26 points26RJ Barrett: 22 points22
Tyler Herro25th in the NBA in points
Milwaukee Bucks
22.2PTS
5.0REB
3.9AST
58.8TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Tyler Herro: 23 points23Tyler Herro: 23 points23Tyler Herro: 15 points15Tyler Herro: 21 points21Tyler Herro: 25 points25
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Milwaukee Bucks
16.8PTS
6.6REB
2.8AST
58.5TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 8 points8Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 19 points19Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 8 points8Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 19 points19Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 18 points18

Barnes and RJ Barrett have each scored 22 or more in four of their last five, and Barnes had 41 in one of them. Herro has been between 15 and 25 in all five of his. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has swung between 8 and 19.

Raptors vs Bucks player props

Toronto Raptors · points
Scottie Barnes: points line 22.5

TonyBet over −112 · TonyBet under −118

Last 8 games: over 22.5 in 5 (green bars clear the line)
23 points against a line of 22.52328 points against a line of 22.5280 points against a line of 22.5028 points against a line of 22.52841 points against a line of 22.54129 points against a line of 22.52922 points against a line of 22.52217 points against a line of 22.517line 22.5

TonyBet sets Barnes at 22.5 points. He has cleared it in five of his last eight, but he is questionable, so wait for Toronto’s late update before backing anything on him.

PlayerMarketLineBest overBest underOver in his games
Scottie Barnes
Raptors
Points22.5−112 TonyBet−118 TonyBet
5/8
Scottie Barnes
Raptors
Rebounds7.5−150 Bet99+110 Bet99
2/8
RJ Barrett
Raptors
Points23.5−120 Bet99−110 Bet99
2/8
RJ Barrett
Raptors
Rebounds5.5−141 TonyBet+106 TonyBet
4/8
Tyler Herro
Bucks
Points21.5−120 Bet99−110 Bet99
5/8
Tyler Herro
Bucks
Rebounds4.5+102 TonyBet−115 Bet99
5/8
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Bucks
Points14.5−105 TonyBet−105 Bet99
6/8
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Bucks
Rebounds5.5−105 Bet99−120 TonyBet
6/8

The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.

Recent Raptors vs Bucks meetings

Raptors 3, Bucks 1 in the last 4 meetings
DateResultWinnerTop scorers
22 Feb 2026Raptors 122, Bucks 94Raptors by 28Immanuel Quickley 32 (Raptors) · Kevin Porter Jr. 21 (Bucks)
18 Dec 2025Raptors 111, Bucks 105Raptors by 6Brandon Ingram 29 (Raptors) · Bobby Portis 24 (Bucks)
4 Nov 2025Bucks 100, Raptors 128Raptors by 28RJ Barrett 23 (Raptors) · Giannis Antetokounmpo 22 (Bucks)
24 Oct 2025Bucks 122, Raptors 116Bucks by 6Brandon Ingram 29 (Raptors) · Giannis Antetokounmpo 31 (Bucks)

Toronto won three of the four meetings last season, two of them in Milwaukee. Antetokounmpo was still a Buck then.

How the last meeting unfolded

Raptors 122, Bucks 94 · 22 February 2026
Bucks aheadRaptors aheadQ1Q2Q3Q4

The February game in Milwaukee was over early. The Raptors led by as many as 31 and won 122-94, with Immanuel Quickley scoring 32.

Where they shoot from

Toronto Raptors
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
26% of shots67.0%
Paint
21% of shots41.8%
Mid-range
11% of shots48.2%
Corner three
7% of shots29.1%
Above-break three
29% of shots32.1%
Milwaukee Bucks
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
28% of shots63.8%
Paint
15% of shots36.3%
Mid-range
6% of shots31.2%
Corner three
8% of shots30.6%
Above-break three
35% of shots35.7%

Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.

Toronto lives at the rim. A quarter of its shots come from there, and it makes 67.0 per cent of them. Milwaukee takes 35 per cent of its shots from above the break and makes 35.7 per cent.

Canadians in Raptors vs Bucks

CanadianClub
RJ BarrettTOR

Every Canadian in the league, with this season’s numbers, is on our Canadians in the NBA page.

Score prediction

Raptors 116-108 Bucks. Milwaukee has lost seven of eight. Toronto has been patchy on the road, so we expect a win by about eight rather than a rout.

Raptors vs Bucks prediction

The Bucks are 1-3 at home and have lost those games by 14.0 on average. Toronto’s net rating is 16 points per 100 possessions better than theirs.

The Canadian books make Toronto about a 70 per cent chance and set the spread at 7.5 points. That is our margin too, so the bet is the Raptors to win, not to cover.

Our pick: the Raptors to win. The spread is −7.5, right on our margin, and with Barnes questionable we pass on it.

What would change it: if Barnes were ruled out, we would drop the pick. Herro missing would make it a stronger one.

Our NBA power rankings put all 30 clubs in order each week, and the NBA games tonight board covers Friday’s other NBA Cup games.

Frequently asked questions

What time is Raptors vs Bucks?

Tip-off is 8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT on Friday 6 November 2026 at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee.

Where can I watch Raptors vs Bucks in Canada?

Sportsnet has it in Canada, with streaming on Sportsnet+.

Is Kawhi Leonard playing against the Bucks?

No. He is listed out with a left knee injury.

Is Scottie Barnes playing against the Bucks?

He is questionable on the league’s report with left groin soreness. Toronto will confirm his status closer to tip-off.

Is Raptors vs Bucks an NBA Cup game?

Yes. It is an East Group A game. Toronto lost its first group game, and this is Milwaukee’s first.

What is our Raptors vs Bucks prediction?

Raptors 116-108. We back Toronto to win in Milwaukee.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.