Haiti host the United States in the first leg of their Concacaf Nations League quarter-final on Saturday, November 14 at 4:30 PM ET / 1:30 PM PT, with Haiti’s home leg switched to Inter Miami’s Nu Stadium over security concerns at home — effectively handing Mauricio Pochettino’s side a home game.
Our Haiti vs USA prediction sides firmly with the Americans, three-time Nations League winners chasing a fourth, who come into the competition at the quarter-final stage and bring a World Cup squad to a two-legged tie. Haiti will look to carry something into the return in Cincinnati on November 18, but they face a US attack that has racked up 12 goals across four straight autumn wins. The game is free to watch on the official Concacaf YouTube channel.
Haiti vs USA: Best Bets & Predictions
The United States have the quality and the Miami crowd to take a firm grip on the tie in the first leg.
<b>Our approach:</b> back the United States to win the first leg, built out with a Balogun goal and unders on the total, with a 2-0 as the lead scoreline.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
Form & What’s at Stake
This is a two-legged quarter-final settled on aggregate, and the reward is real: the winner reaches the 2027 Concacaf Nations League Finals in March and secures a 2027 Gold Cup berth. The United States arrive as three-time champions and heavy favourites, though without a competitive match since the summer. Haiti came through as group runners-up — edging the Dominican Republic on goal difference — and turn up fresh from their second-ever World Cup. A few of their key men will be familiar from MLS, with Philadelphia’s Danley Jean-Jacques and Atlanta’s Fafà Picault in the squad.
Haiti vs USA Predicted Lineups
USA (predicted first-choice XI): Freese; Freeman, Richards, Ream, Robinson; Adams, McKennie, Tillman; Dest, Balogun, Pulisic. Pochettino rotated heavily through the autumn friendlies and has called up several uncapped players, so the exact XI is hard to pin down — but a competitive quarter-final should see him return to this senior core. We’ll update it once the team is confirmed.
Haiti (predicted XI): Duverger; Arcus, Delcroix, Duverne, Lacroix; Sainté, Jean-Jacques; Deedson, Providence, Picault; Isidor. Haiti held their shape through the group stage and will likely sit deep and counter through Isidor and Providence.
Potential Match-Winners
- Folarin Balogun (USA): Led the line at the World Cup with three goals and five shots on target in five games, and is the clearest route to a US opener if he keeps his place.
- Malik Tillman (USA): Chipped in two goals, an assist and two big chances created over the summer as the side’s most dangerous link between midfield and attack.
- Wilson Isidor (Haiti): Haiti’s standout of the group stage with three goals and two assists in four matches, and their best hope of carrying a threat into the return leg.
- Ruben Providence (Haiti): Created a team-high three big chances in the group, and Haiti’s counters will run through his link play.
Recent Form
USA: W W W W
- Oct 7: USA 1-0 Canada (W)
- Oct 4: USA 3-0 Mexico (W)
- Sep 30: USA 4-2 Chile (W)
- Sep 26: USA 4-1 Peru (W)
The United States come in on a four-match winning run from their autumn friendlies, scoring 12 and conceding three, with the 3-0 against Mexico the standout. The caveat is the setting: those were friendlies, often with a rotated and youthful side, and this is their first competitive match since a World Cup round-of-16 exit to Belgium. How that experimental edge holds up under knockout pressure is the question.
Haiti: W W W L
- Oct 4: Costa Rica 2-0 Haiti (L)
- Oct 1: Dominican Republic 1-4 Haiti (W)
- Sep 27: Haiti 2-0 Costa Rica (W)
- Sep 24: Haiti 3-2 Trinidad and Tobago (W)
Haiti scored at least twice in each of their three group wins, the 4-1 in the Dominican Republic the pick of them. The 2-0 loss in Costa Rica is the warning sign: against organised, higher-ranked opposition the goals dried up — the exact challenge in front of them here.
Haiti vs USA Prediction
The United States have too much quality across the pitch, and a de facto home game in Miami should let them shake off the rust and take a lead to Cincinnati. Haiti will be organised and carry a threat through Isidor, but keeping the US out across 180 minutes is a tall order. The lean is a controlled first-leg win: USA to win with bet365, with Balogun to open the scoring. Kick-off is 4:30 PM ET at Inter Miami’s Nu Stadium.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly.
19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).