Miami ends a western trip in Sacramento on Sunday, after a 120-100 loss in San Francisco on Thursday. The Kings were 1-7 before Friday’s game with San Antonio and have the second-worst net rating in the league.
Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 28.2 points and 12.5 rebounds for the Heat. Darius Acuff Jr. leads Sacramento at 25.6.
Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.
How to watch Heat vs Kings in Canada
Canadian TV had not picked this one up when we wrote the preview. The how to watch the NBA in Canada guide walks through League Pass and the apps.
Heat vs Kings odds
| Sportsbook | Heat | Kings | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | −350 | +275 | Kings +8.5 (−110) | O/U 238.5 (−105 / −115) |
| Mise-o-jeu provincial | −333 | +275 | Kings +8.5 (−108) | O/U 238.5 (−108 / −108) |
| PlayAlberta provincial | −303 | +250 | – | O/U 238.5 (−108 / −108) |
| TonyBet | −345 | +280 | Kings +8.5 (−111) | O/U 238.5 (−108 / −114) |
| theScore Bet | −340 | +270 | Kings +8.5 (−115) | O/U 238.5 (−105 / −115) |
Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Sunday 8 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
The spread and total in context
| Each game against the spread | Each game against the total | |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | 2 of 9: won by 9 or more | 4 of 9 over 238.5 |
| Kings | 2 of 9: lost by 8 or fewer, or won | 3 of 9 over 238.5 |
One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.
Home, road and rest
| At home | On the road | Second of a back-to-back | With a day or more off | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 1-3 (-6.5) | 2-3 (-6.6) | 0-2 (-12.5) | 3-3 (-1.5) |
| Kings | 0-4 (-11.8) | 1-4 (-16.0) | – | 1-7 (-12.8) |
Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.
Projected starting fives
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 27.3 | 12.7 | 5.6 | Available |
| Andrew Wiggins | 8.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 | Available |
| Bam Adebayo | 18.6 | 8.4 | 3.1 | Available |
| Davion Mitchell | 16.1 | 1.6 | 8.2 | Available |
| Klay Thompson | 13.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | Available |
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 22.1 | 3.2 | 2.7 | Available |
| Domantas Sabonis | 15.3 | 14.6 | 6.0 | Available |
| Leaky Black | 5.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 | Available |
| Precious Achiuwa | 10.8 | 5.9 | 1.1 | Available |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 25.2 | 3.7 | 7.1 | Available |
The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.
Team news
| Club | Player | Status | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | Ben Simmons | Out, achilles | No timetable |
| Sacramento | Keegan Murray | Questionable, ankle | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Sacramento | Maxime Raynaud | Out, knee | No timetable |
Sacramento is without Maxime Raynaud (knee) and Ben Simmons, who had surgery on a torn right Achilles, and the league’s report lists Keegan Murray (ankle) as questionable. The only Miami names on the report are Tre Donaldson and Vladislav Goldin, both on G League duty.
To see who else is missing around the NBA, use our NBA injury report.
How the Heat and Kings compare this season
League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (9 and 9 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.
Both defences are in the bottom three. Opponents shoot an effective 58.0 per cent against Miami, the worst mark in the league, and 57.7 against Sacramento.
Antetokounmpo at the rim against a Kings front line without Raynaud is the mismatch. He gets to the free-throw line 9.5 times a game, and Domantas Sabonis will carry most of the defensive load inside.
Results so far
One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.
Antetokounmpo v Jr.
| 27.3 | Points | 25.2 | ||
| 12.7 | Rebounds | 3.7 | ||
| 5.6 | Assists | 7.1 | ||
| 3.4 | Turnovers | 3.4 | ||
| 0.9 | Steals | 0.9 | ||
| 32.4 | Usage % | 32.5 | ||
| 60.7 | True shooting % | 50.2 | ||
| 20.8 | Three-point % | 31.0 | ||
| 0.6 | Threes made | 3.0 | ||
| 9.2 | Free throws tried | 4.3 | ||
| -48 | Plus-minus, season | -80 |
Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.
Players to watch
Antetokounmpo had 20 points and 14 rebounds at Golden State, after four straight games of 24 or more. Bam Adebayo had 35 against the Clippers on Wednesday. Acuff has had 34 and 38 in his last five.
Heat vs Kings player props
TonyBet over −120 · TonyBet under −110
Across his last 9 games he averages 27.3 points, clearing 29.5 in 4 of them.
| Player | Market | Line | Best over | Best under | Over in his games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo Heat | Points | 29.5 | −120 TonyBet | −110 TonyBet | 4/9 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo Heat | Rebounds | 11.5 | −135 TonyBet | +102 TonyBet | 7/9 |
| Bam Adebayo Heat | Points | 19.5 | −112 TonyBet | −115 Bet99 | 4/9 |
| Bam Adebayo Heat | Rebounds | 9.5 | −118 TonyBet | +110 Bet99 | 2/9 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. Kings | Points | 24.5 | −110 Bet99 | −120 Bet99 | 4/9 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. Kings | Rebounds | 3.5 | −120 Bet99 | −110 Bet99 | 3/9 |
| Zach LaVine Kings | Points | 20.5 | −122 TonyBet | −108 TonyBet | 7/9 |
| Zach LaVine Kings | Rebounds | 2.5 | −147 TonyBet | +110 TonyBet | 7/9 |
The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.
Recent Heat vs Kings meetings
| Date | Result | Winner | Top scorers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Heat 130, Kings 117 | Heat by 13 | Bam Adebayo 25 (Heat) · DeMar DeRozan 23 (Kings) |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Kings 127, Heat 111 | Kings by 16 | Jaime Jaquez Jr. 27 (Heat) · Zach LaVine 42 (Kings) |
The teams split last season’s two meetings. Zach LaVine scored 42 for the Kings in Miami in December.
How the last meeting unfolded
The biggest leads that night: 2 for the Kings, 17 for the Heat.
Where they shoot from
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 27% of shots | 64.7% | |
| Paint | 19% of shots | 55.6% | |
| Mid-range | 11% of shots | 38.4% | |
| Corner three | 11% of shots | 36.7% | |
| Above-break three | 31% of shots | 32.0% |
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 24% of shots | 64.6% | |
| Paint | 24% of shots | 46.3% | |
| Mid-range | 11% of shots | 41.2% | |
| Corner three | 8% of shots | 30.0% | |
| Above-break three | 31% of shots | 34.9% |
Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.
The three-point gap shows here: Heat hit 32.0 per cent above the break, Kings 34.9.
Canadians in Heat vs Kings
| Canadian | Club |
|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins | MIA |
Every Canadian in the league, with this season’s numbers, is on our Canadians in the NBA page.
Score prediction
Heat 118-109 Kings. Sacramento has lost all four home games, the latest 124-109 to San Antonio on Friday. Miami’s defence is too loose for a blowout, so we expect the Heat by about nine.
Heat vs Kings prediction
Miami beat the Clippers 117-116 on Wednesday before losing by 20 at Golden State, and its offence ranks 14th to Sacramento’s 26th.
Acuff is the one Kings player who can swing it, and a rookie who has scored 34 and 38 in his last five games can make this close on his own if a Miami defence that gave up 138 to the Lakers on 2 November does not tighten up.
Our pick: the Heat to win.
What would change it: if Antetokounmpo sat, we would switch to Sacramento.
All 30 clubs are ranked in our NBA power rankings, refreshed weekly. Sunday’s other NBA games are on the NBA games tonight board.
Frequently asked questions
Tip-off is 9:00pm ET / 6:00pm PT on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento.
No Canadian channel had it listed when we checked. Use NBA League Pass.
He had no injury listed when we checked, and he played 31 minutes at Golden State on Thursday. The league’s report does not list him for Sunday.
Andrew Wiggins, the Heat forward born in Toronto, Ontario.
Heat 118-109. We back Miami to win in Sacramento.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.