Denver and Indiana take a regular-season game to Mexico City on Saturday. The Pacers are the designated home team at Arena CDMX, but they are 0-4 in their own building and 3-6 overall.
Three Canadians are involved. Jamal Murray leads Denver at 25.4 points a game, and the Nembhard brothers, both born in Aurora, Ontario, are on opposite sides: Ryan with the Nuggets, Andrew with the Pacers.
Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.
How to watch Nuggets vs Pacers in Canada
We hadn’t seen a Canadian TV listing for this game when the page went up. Our how to watch the NBA in Canada page sets out the ways to watch and stream.
Nuggets vs Pacers odds
| Sportsbook | Nuggets | Pacers | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | −280 | +225 | Pacers +7.5 (−115) | O/U 229 (−110 / −110) |
| Mise-o-jeu provincial | −263 | +220 | Pacers +7.5 (−105) | O/U 229.5 (−102 / −112) |
| PlayAlberta provincial | −238 | +198 | – | O/U 229 (−108 / −108) |
| TonyBet | −278 | +230 | Pacers +6.5 (+100) | O/U 228.5 (−115 / −106) |
| theScore Bet | −275 | +225 | Pacers +7.5 (−115) | O/U 229.5 (−105 / −115) |
Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Saturday 7 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
The spread and total in context
| Each game against the spread | Each game against the total | |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | 2 of 7: won by 8 or more | 4 of 7 over 229 |
| Pacers | 5 of 9: lost by 7 or fewer, or won | 3 of 9 over 229 |
One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.
Home, road and rest
| At home | On the road | Second of a back-to-back | With a day or more off | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | 2-2 (-0.8) | 2-1 (+2.7) | – | 4-2 (+2.8) |
| Pacers | 0-4 (-8.2) | 3-2 (+1.2) | 0-2 (-6.0) | 2-4 (-3.0) |
Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.
Projected starting fives
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon | 12.3 | 5.3 | 2.4 | Available |
| Nikola Jokic | 23.4 | 9.7 | 9.3 | Available |
| Cameron Johnson | 9.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | Available |
| Jamal Murray | 25.4 | 5.4 | 5.9 | Available |
| Christian Braun | 14.6 | 3.9 | 2.3 | Available |
| Starter | PTS | REB | AST | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 21.2 | 7.1 | 3.8 | Available |
| Ivica Zubac | 7.0 | 7.8 | 1.5 | Available |
| Andrew Nembhard | 19.0 | 2.1 | 6.9 | Available |
| Aaron Nesmith | 12.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | Available |
| Braden Smith | 5.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | Available |
The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.
Team news
| Club | Player | Status | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Julian Strawther | Out, knee | Re-evaluation in six weeks, reported on 16 Oct |
| Denver | DeMar DeRozan | Probable, back | Probable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Indiana | Ben Sheppard | Out, knee | No timetable |
| Indiana | Johnny Furphy | Out, knee | No timetable |
| Indiana | T.J. McConnell | Questionable, hamstring | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
| Indiana | Tyrese Haliburton | Out, hamstring | No timetable |
| Indiana | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Questionable, calf | Questionable on the league’s 5:45 a.m. ET report |
Indiana is still without Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring), who was ruled out for at least two weeks on 28 October, and Ben Sheppard, who had surgery on a torn meniscus. The league’s report lists T.J. McConnell (hamstring) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (calf) as questionable. For Denver, DeMar DeRozan (back spasms) is probable and Julian Strawther (knee) is out.
Every other club’s absences are on our NBA injury report.
How the Nuggets and Pacers compare this season
League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (7 and 9 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.
Denver scores 114.7 points per 100 possessions, sixth in the league, and shoots an effective 56.1 per cent, fourth. Its defence is the worry at 25th. Indiana is 28th on the offensive glass and 22nd from three.
Murray against Andrew Nembhard is the guard duel to watch. Murray is making 50.9 per cent of his threes. Nembhard averages 6.9 assists with Haliburton out and has scored 18 or more in four of his last five.
Results so far
One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.
Murray v Siakam
| 25.4 | Points | 21.2 | ||
| 5.4 | Rebounds | 7.1 | ||
| 5.9 | Assists | 3.8 | ||
| 2.9 | Turnovers | 2.6 | ||
| 1.1 | Steals | 1.0 | ||
| 26.3 | Usage % | 27.9 | ||
| 65.1 | True shooting % | 57.6 | ||
| 50.9 | Three-point % | 30.3 | ||
| 4.1 | Threes made | 1.2 | ||
| 6.7 | Free throws tried | 5.2 | ||
| +30 | Plus-minus, season | -12 |
Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.
Players to watch
Murray has gone 19, 23, 39, 35 and 14 in his last five, so Wednesday’s 14 against Toronto was his quietest. Nikola Jokic is averaging 9.3 assists. Pascal Siakam has been between 13 and 26.
Nuggets vs Pacers player props
Bet99 over −110 · Bet99 under −120
He has gone over 23.5 points in 3 of his last 7 games, averaging 25.4 across them.
| Player | Market | Line | Best over | Best under | Over in his games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray Nuggets | Points | 23.5 | −110 Bet99 | −120 Bet99 | 3/7 |
| Jamal Murray Nuggets | Rebounds | 4.5 | +115 Bet99 | −122 TonyBet | 5/7 |
| Nikola Jokic Nuggets | Points | 26.5 | −105 Bet99 | −125 Bet99 | 2/7 |
| Nikola Jokic Nuggets | Rebounds | 12.5 | +105 Bet99 | −140 Bet99 | 2/7 |
| Pascal Siakam Pacers | Points | 21.5 | −110 Bet99 | −120 Bet99 | 3/8 |
| Pascal Siakam Pacers | Rebounds | 6.5 | −105 Bet99 | −110 TonyBet | 4/8 |
| Andrew Nembhard Pacers | Points | 16.5 | −106 TonyBet | −115 Bet99 | 5/7 |
| Andrew Nembhard Pacers | Rebounds | 2.5 | −130 Bet99 | +117 TonyBet | 2/7 |
The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.
Recent Nuggets vs Pacers meetings
| Date | Result | Winner | Top scorers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Nuggets 135, Pacers 120 | Nuggets by 15 | Jamal Murray 52 (Nuggets) · Pascal Siakam 23 (Pacers) |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Pacers 100, Nuggets 117 | Nuggets by 17 | Nikola Jokic 32 (Nuggets) · Aaron Nesmith 25 (Pacers) |
Denver won both meetings last season. Murray scored 52 in the 135-120 win in Indianapolis on 3 December.
How the last meeting unfolded
In that game the Pacers led by as many as 5 and the Nuggets by as many as 29.
Where they shoot from
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 27% of shots | 67.5% | |
| Paint | 19% of shots | 53.6% | |
| Mid-range | 14% of shots | 38.6% | |
| Corner three | 9% of shots | 38.9% | |
| Above-break three | 27% of shots | 35.3% |
| Zone | Share | FG% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 28% of shots | 68.2% | |
| Paint | 20% of shots | 50.6% | |
| Mid-range | 9% of shots | 33.3% | |
| Corner three | 11% of shots | 37.5% | |
| Above-break three | 29% of shots | 31.6% |
Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.
From above the break, Nuggets make 35.3 per cent and Pacers 31.6. At the rim it is 67.5 against 68.2.
Canadians in Nuggets vs Pacers
| Canadian | Club |
|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | DEN |
| Ryan Nembhard | DEN |
| Andrew Nembhard | IND |
Every Canadian in the league, with this season’s numbers, is on our Canadians in the NBA page.
Score prediction
Nuggets 118-110 Pacers. Indiana lost four straight before winning in Memphis on Wednesday, and a neutral floor takes away what home edge it had. We expect Denver by about eight.
Nuggets vs Pacers prediction
The Nuggets are 2-1 on the road and have the better offence by a distance: 114.7 points per 100 possessions to Indiana’s 107.6. The Canadian books make Denver about a 70 per cent chance.
The risk for Denver is its defence, which ranks 25th, and an Indiana team that has just won in Memphis could keep this close if Siakam and Andrew Nembhard both have big nights and the Nuggets go cold from outside after two days off.
Our pick: the Nuggets to win.
What would change it: if Jokic or Murray were ruled out, we would call it a coin flip and drop the pick.
Our NBA power rankings put all 30 clubs in order each week, and the NBA games tonight board covers Saturday’s other NBA games.
Frequently asked questions
Tip-off is 5:00pm ET on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Arena CDMX, Mexico City.
No Canadian broadcaster had it listed when we checked, so NBA League Pass is the way to watch.
At Arena CDMX in Mexico City, with Indiana as the home team.
Jamal Murray, born in Kitchener, and Ryan Nembhard for Denver, and Andrew Nembhard for Indiana. The Nembhard brothers were both born in Aurora, Ontario.
Nuggets 118-110. We back Denver to win in Mexico City.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.