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Thunder vs Grizzlies: Prediction, Team News and SGA v Ty Jerome

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction and picks

Two 6-2 teams open their NBA Cup groups in Memphis. The Grizzlies have the better numbers so far, and the Thunder are without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 42 and 43 in two of his last five games. Memphis answers with Ty Jerome. He averages 27.4 points on a 62.6 true shooting mark.

Our best bet
Grizzlies to win
PickGrizzlies to win
Score predictionGrizzlies 114-110 Thunder
SpreadGrizzlies +3.5 (the safer way to back them)
Prop to watchShai Gilgeous-Alexander points line 32.5
Watch in CanadaNo Canadian TV listed (NBA League Pass)
Prices from Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Friday 6 November. Check the team news before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).
Our NBA picks this season
Winners 29-10
Spread picks
15-6 (18 passed)
In these clubs’ games
Thunder games 2-2 · Grizzlies games 1-1

Every pick is graded on its own page the morning after the game, wins and losses alike.

How to watch Thunder vs Grizzlies in Canada

Tip-off
8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT, Friday 6 November 2026
Venue
FedExForum, Memphis
Watch in Canada
No Canadian TV listed (NBA League Pass)
Records
Oklahoma City 6-2, Memphis 6-2
Rest
Oklahoma City with 1 day off, then a back-to-back, Memphis with 1 day off

Canadian broadcast details for this one were still to come at the time of writing. Check our how to watch the NBA in Canada page before tip-off.

Thunder vs Grizzlies odds

SportsbookThunderGrizzliesSpreadTotal
Bet99−150+130Grizzlies +3.5 (−115)O/U 225.5 (−115 / −105)
Mise-o-jeu provincial−164+143Grizzlies +3.5 (−108)O/U 225.5 (−108 / −108)
PlayAlberta provincial−149+128–O/U 225.5 (−108 / −108)
TonyBet−154+130–O/U 225.5 (−115 / −106)
theScore Bet−150+130Grizzlies +3.5 (−115)O/U 225.5 (−110 / −110)
Fair win chance, bookmaker margin removed
Thunder 59%Grizzlies 41%

Prices from 5 Canadian sportsbooks, captured at 3:02 a.m. ET on Friday 6 November. They are stored prices, not live ones, and lines move with every injury update, so check before you bet. Availability varies by province: Mise-o-jeu and PlayAlberta are provincial platforms rather than open-market books, and the private sportsbooks operate where they hold a licence. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

How the line has moved

SportsbookThunderGrizzlies
Bet99−150 → −150+130 → +130
Mise-o-jeu−172 → −164 ▲+151 → +143 ▼
PlayAlberta−167 → −149 ▲+143 → +128 ▼
TonyBet−175 → −154 ▲+141 → +130 ▼
theScore Bet−165 → −150 ▲+140 → +130 ▼

Moneyline at the first and latest stored capture (8:02 p.m. to 3:02 a.m. ET). ▲ the price lengthened, ▼ it shortened.

The spread and total in context

Tonight’s numbers: Grizzlies +3.5, total 225.5
Each game against the spreadEach game against the total
Thunder
6 of 8: won by 4 or more
3 of 8 over 225.5
Grizzlies
7 of 8: lost by 3 or fewer, or won
5 of 8 over 225.5

One dot per game this season, from final scores; hover or tap a dot for the result. These are tonight’s numbers applied to past results, not the lines those games were played at.

Home, road and rest

At homeOn the roadSecond of a back-to-backWith a day or more off
Thunder4-0 (+9.5)2-2 (-7.0)1-0 (+11.0)4-2 (-2.2)
Grizzlies2-2 (+11.5)4-0 (+10.0)1-0 (+5.0)4-2 (+10.2)

Record and average winning margin in brackets, this season.

Projected starting fives

Oklahoma City Thunder
StarterPTSREBASTToday
Kenrich Williams6.93.50.9Available
Isaiah Hartenstein8.110.12.5Available
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander30.14.24.5Available
Ajay Mitchell17.84.03.5Available
Aday Mara6.85.51.2Available
Memphis Grizzlies
StarterPTSREBASTToday
Ty Jerome27.43.65.3Available
Zach Edey7.48.11.0Available
Cedric Coward14.38.72.7Available
Cameron Boozer16.59.85.4Available
Jaylen Wells11.13.41.5Available

The five who started each club’s last game, with season averages. Starting lineups are not announced until shortly before tip-off, so treat these as likely, not confirmed.

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
Oklahoma CityCason WallaceOut, shoulderNo timetable
Oklahoma CityChet HolmgrenOut, kneeNo timetable
Oklahoma CityJalen WilliamsOut, legNo timetable
Oklahoma CityJaylin WilliamsOut, backOut for this game (5 Nov)
Oklahoma CityNikola TopicOut, backWeek to week
Oklahoma CityThomas SorberOut, kneeWeek to week
MemphisIsaiah StewartOut, kneeOut for this game (5 Nov)
MemphisScotty Pippen Jr.Out, backOut for this game (5 Nov)

Oklahoma City lists six players out, with Jaylin Williams, Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber joining the three above. Memphis is without Isaiah Stewart, who has a bone bruise in his right knee after leaving Wednesday’s loss to Indiana, and Scotty Pippen Jr. is out too.

The NBA injury report covers the rest of the league.

How the Thunder and Grizzlies compare this season

● Oklahoma City Thunder   ● Memphis Grizzlies  ·  left is better
1st30thNet ratingOklahoma City Thunder: +1.2, 16th of 30Memphis Grizzlies: +10.3, 3rd of 30Thunder +1.2 (16th) · Grizzlies +10.3 (3rd)Offensive ratingOklahoma City Thunder: 108.4, 19th of 30Memphis Grizzlies: 115.7, 4th of 30Thunder 108.4 (19th) · Grizzlies 115.7 (4th)Defensive ratingOklahoma City Thunder: 107.2, 8th of 30Memphis Grizzlies: 105.4, 6th of 30Thunder 107.2 (8th) · Grizzlies 105.4 (6th)Effective FG%Oklahoma City Thunder: 50.0, 27th of 30Memphis Grizzlies: 56.0, 5th of 30Thunder 50.0 (27th) · Grizzlies 56.0 (5th)Three-point %Oklahoma City Thunder: 33.3, 20th of 30Memphis Grizzlies: 40.0, 1st of 30Thunder 33.3 (20th) · Grizzlies 40.0 (1st)Turnover %Oklahoma City Thunder: 11.6, 3rd of 30Memphis Grizzlies: 14.0, 19th of 30Thunder 11.6 (3rd) · Grizzlies 14.0 (19th)Offensive rebound %Oklahoma City Thunder: 27.5, 15th of 30Memphis Grizzlies: 29.6, 9th of 30Thunder 27.5 (15th) · Grizzlies 29.6 (9th)Opponent effective FG%Oklahoma City Thunder: 51.7, 10th of 30Memphis Grizzlies: 50.4, 6th of 30Thunder 51.7 (10th) · Grizzlies 50.4 (6th)

League rank out of 30 on this season’s box scores (8 and 8 games). Ratings are points per 100 possessions, estimated from the box score.

Memphis has the third-best net rating in the league, +10.3, and makes 40.0 per cent of its threes, the best mark of any team, while Oklahoma City’s defence is still eighth even though its offence, without so many of its regulars, has slipped to 19th.

Jerome against a short-handed Thunder backcourt is where this turns. Wallace is one of their best perimeter defenders, and without him the job of slowing Memphis’ top scorer falls to someone else.

Results so far

Oklahoma City Thunder6-2 · average margin +1.2
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40020 Oct: beat the Spurs 116-104 (away)+12@ SAS20 Oct22 Oct: beat the Nuggets 96-84 (home)+12v DEN22 Oct25 Oct: beat the Clippers 108-101 (home)+7v LAC25 Oct26 Oct: beat the Suns 125-114 (home)+11v PHX26 Oct28 Oct: lost to the Mavericks 96-120 (away)−24@ DAL28 Oct31 Oct: lost to the Rockets 98-119 (away)−21@ HOU31 Oct2 Nov: beat the Cavaliers 117-112 (away)+5@ CLE2 Nov4 Nov: beat the Cavaliers 124-116 (home)+8v CLE4 Nov
Memphis Grizzlies6-2 · average margin +10.8
+10−10+20−20+30−30+40−40021 Oct: beat the Jazz 123-103 (home)+20v UTA21 Oct23 Oct: beat the Warriors 111-108 (away)+3@ GSW23 Oct25 Oct: beat the Kings 123-112 (away)+11@ SAC25 Oct26 Oct: beat the Jazz 110-105 (away)+5@ UTA26 Oct29 Oct: beat the Trail Blazers 124-103 (away)+21@ POR29 Oct31 Oct: beat the Kings 136-105 (home)+31v SAC31 Oct2 Nov: lost to the Pelicans 134-135 (home)−1v NOP2 Nov4 Nov: lost to the Pacers 103-107 (home)−4v IND4 Nov

One bar per game this season, oldest first. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by the margin on the scale at the left. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score.

Gilgeous-Alexander v Jerome

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder · 33.8 min · 8 games
Ty Jerome
Grizzlies · 30.9 min · 7 games
30.1
Points
27.4
4.2
Rebounds
3.6
4.5
Assists
5.3
2.0
Turnovers
2.4
1.1
Steals
1.0
36.2
Usage %
32.2
55.8
True shooting %
62.6
35.6
Three-point %
37.5
2.6
Threes made
2.6
7.4
Free throws tried
6.6
+38
Plus-minus, season
+77
Points in the recent meetings (DNP: did not play, or was not with the club then)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 35 points, 9 Nov 202535DNP9 Nov 25Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31 points, 22 Dec 202531DNP22 Dec 25DNPDNP9 Jan 26

Season figures from this season’s box scores. Usage is the share of team possessions a player uses while on court, estimated from the box score. The brighter bar is the better number.

Players to watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander3rd in the NBA in points
Oklahoma City Thunder
30.1PTS
4.2REB
4.5AST
55.8TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 26 points26Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 21 points21Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 26 points26Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 43 points43Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 42 points42
Ajay Mitchell
Oklahoma City Thunder
17.8PTS
4.0REB
3.5AST
57.6TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Ajay Mitchell: 30 points30Ajay Mitchell: 29 points29Ajay Mitchell: 6 points6Ajay Mitchell: 20 points20Ajay Mitchell: 23 points23
Ty Jerome7th in the NBA in points
Memphis Grizzlies
27.4PTS
3.6REB
5.3AST
62.6TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Ty Jerome: 31 points31Ty Jerome: 15 points15Ty Jerome: 10 points10Ty Jerome: 40 points40Ty Jerome: 23 points23
Cameron Boozer
Memphis Grizzlies
16.5PTS
9.8REB
5.4AST
52.4TS%
Points, last 5 games (dashed: season average)
Cameron Boozer: 13 points13Cameron Boozer: 18 points18Cameron Boozer: 27 points27Cameron Boozer: 18 points18Cameron Boozer: 10 points10

Gilgeous-Alexander’s last five run from 21 to 43. Jerome’s run from 10 to 40, and rookie Cameron Boozer is averaging 16.5 points and 9.8 rebounds.

Thunder vs Grizzlies player props

Oklahoma City Thunder · points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: points line 32.5

Bet99 over −110 · Bet99 under −120 · TonyBet over −103 · TonyBet under −128

Last 8 games: over 32.5 in 3 (green bars clear the line)
32 points against a line of 32.53217 points against a line of 32.51734 points against a line of 32.53426 points against a line of 32.52621 points against a line of 32.52126 points against a line of 32.52643 points against a line of 32.54342 points against a line of 32.542line 32.5

Bet99 and TonyBet set Gilgeous-Alexander at 32.5 points. He has cleared it in three of his last eight games and averages 30.1 across them.

PlayerMarketLineBest overBest underOver in his games
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder
Points32.5−103 TonyBet−120 Bet99
3/8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Thunder
Rebounds4.5+115 Bet99−119 TonyBet
3/8
Ajay Mitchell
Thunder
Points18.5−115 Bet99−104 TonyBet
4/8
Ajay Mitchell
Thunder
Rebounds4.5+112 TonyBet−149 TonyBet
4/8
Ty Jerome
Grizzlies
Points22.5−120 Bet99−110 Bet99
5/7
Ty Jerome
Grizzlies
Rebounds3.5+115 Bet99−122 TonyBet
4/7
Cameron Boozer
Grizzlies
Points16.5−109 TonyBet−110 Bet99
4/8
Cameron Boozer
Grizzlies
Rebounds8.5−145 Bet99+110 Bet99
6/8

The main line at Canadian books and the best over and under price on it. The last column counts this season’s games in which he went over that line. Prices are stored captures and move before tip-off.

Recent Thunder vs Grizzlies meetings

Thunder 3, Grizzlies 0 in the last 3 meetings
DateResultWinnerTop scorers
9 Jan 2026Thunder 117, Grizzlies 116Thunder by 1Jalen Williams 26 (Thunder) · Jaren Jackson Jr. 23 (Grizzlies)
22 Dec 2025Grizzlies 103, Thunder 119Thunder by 16Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31 (Thunder) · Cedric Coward 16 (Grizzlies)
9 Nov 2025Thunder 114, Grizzlies 100Thunder by 14Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35 (Thunder) · Jaren Jackson Jr. 17 (Grizzlies)

Oklahoma City won all three meetings last season. The closest was a 117-116 win in Memphis in January.

How the last meeting unfolded

Thunder 117, Grizzlies 116 · 9 January 2026
Grizzlies aheadThunder aheadQ1Q2Q3Q4

In that game the Grizzlies led by as many as 21 and the Thunder by as many as 5.

Where they shoot from

Oklahoma City Thunder
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
29% of shots60.7%
Paint
20% of shots38.9%
Mid-range
12% of shots41.1%
Corner three
6% of shots18.2%
Above-break three
27% of shots36.2%
Memphis Grizzlies
ZoneShareFG%
At the rim
23% of shots63.9%
Paint
26% of shots44.8%
Mid-range
6% of shots44.7%
Corner three
10% of shots41.4%
Above-break three
33% of shots39.0%

Every shot this season, by zone. Zones are calculated from the play-by-play coordinates, not official NBA shot zones.

From above the break, Thunder make 36.2 per cent and Grizzlies 39.0. At the rim it is 60.7 against 63.9.

Canadians in Thunder vs Grizzlies

CanadianClub
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC
Zach EdeyMEM
Olivier-Maxence ProsperMEM

Every Canadian in the league, with this season’s numbers, is on our Canadians in the NBA page.

Score prediction

Grizzlies 114-110 Thunder. The Thunder’s absences and Memphis’ shooting point to a Grizzlies win, but Gilgeous-Alexander keeps games close. We expect a margin of about four.

Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction

Oklahoma City is 2-2 away from home and has lost those games by 7.0 on average. All six of its absentees would normally be in the rotation.

The case for Memphis is the gap in net rating, +10.3 against +1.2. The Canadian books disagree and make Oklahoma City about a 59 per cent chance, and home court has not helped the Grizzlies much: they are 2-2 there.

Our pick: the Grizzlies to win. The books make them 3.5-point underdogs at home, so +3.5 is the cautious way to back them.

What would change it: if Jerome were ruled out, we would switch to the Thunder. Stewart was already in doubt when we made the pick.

For how both measure up across the league, see the NBA power rankings. You’ll find Friday’s other NBA Cup games on our NBA games tonight page.

Frequently asked questions

What time is Thunder vs Grizzlies?

Tip-off is 8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT on Friday 6 November 2026 at FedExForum, Memphis.

Where can I watch Thunder vs Grizzlies in Canada?

There was no Canadian TV listing for it when we checked, so NBA League Pass is the way to watch.

Is Chet Holmgren playing against the Grizzlies?

No. He is listed out after a biological treatment on his knee.

Which Canadians play in Thunder vs Grizzlies?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, born in Toronto, and Memphis centre Zach Edey, from Toronto. Olivier-Maxence Prosper of Montreal is also on the Grizzlies roster.

What is our Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction?

Grizzlies 114-110. We back Memphis to win at home.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.