Kansas City runs for 5.27 yards a carry, the best average in the NFL, and has conceded nine touchdowns in six games. Our Chiefs vs Broncos prediction takes the Chiefs to altitude.
The Denver Broncos are 5-2 with 21 sacks and allow a 74.2 opponent passer rating. The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 at +40, and Denver is +3.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Kansas City ChiefsWin prob36%
Denver BroncosWin prob64%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Chiefs vs Broncos: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Chiefs vs Broncos: 2026 form so far
Two of the best defences in the league, and a 37-point gap in differential. The columns put each team’s output next to what the other has conceded to date.
Chiefs attack against the Broncos defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 239.0 | 215.7 |
| Rushing yards | 141.5 | 133.3 |
| Yards per carry | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Passer rating | 95.3 | 74.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.4% | 42.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 56.5% | 45.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 3.0 |
Broncos attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Broncos offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 175.1 | 223.8 |
| Rushing yards | 94.9 | 99.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 80.7 | 77.1 |
| Touchdowns | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 31.1% | 41.9% |
| Red-zone conversion | 60.0% | 26.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Denver converts 31.1% on third down, second-lowest in the NFL. Its defence has carried a 5-2 record on a +3 differential.
Chiefs vs Broncos quarterback matchup
Patrick Mahomes has nine touchdown passes to four interceptions at 95.3. Bo Nix has seven to three at 80.7 and threw for 222 yards last week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 19/33, 165 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 58.3 rtg | 124/191, 1474 yds, 9 TD, 4 INT, 95.3 rtg (6 games) |
| Broncos | Bo Nix | 15/29, 222 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 88.6 rtg | 129/218, 1271 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT, 80.7 rtg (7 games) |
Chiefs vs Broncos injury report and team news
Kansas City runs for 5.27 yards a carry, the highest average in the NFL.
Kansas City has conceded nine touchdowns in six games, second only to Minnesota.
Denver has 21 sacks, a figure only four other teams match, and allows a 74.2 opponent rating.
Kansas City ChiefsDenver BroncosTwo defences, and only one offence
Kansas City has conceded nine touchdowns and holds opponents to 26.7% in the red zone. Only Minnesota is better on either.
Denver is close behind — a 74.2 opponent rating, third-best in the league, and 21 sacks.
The gap is at the other end. Kansas City runs for 5.27 a carry and has scored 143 points; Denver converts 31.1% on third down and has been outscored on the season despite being 5-2.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 1,474 yards and nine scores at a 95.3 rating.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): Fronts the best rushing average going, at 5.27.
- Bo Nix (DEN, QB): Seven touchdown passes at an 80.7 rating.
- RJ Harvey (DEN, RB): Splits a backfield at 3.84 a carry.
How to watch Chiefs vs Broncos in Canada
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. Which Sunday afternoon game CTV shows depends on where you are watching, so check locally. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Broncos |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Broncos prediction and score projection
Our Chiefs vs Broncos prediction is Kansas City by 27-24. This is the one game this week where our call and the model part company, and altitude is the reason to doubt us.
Signal’s live probability for this game updates through to kickoff.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | You are here |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
Our NFL hub carries the full card, and Signal rates every Week 8 game on the same model. This is an AFC game, so the AFC Championship odds are the ones that shift on it. The NFC Championship odds sit alongside them.
Chiefs vs Broncos FAQ
Denver — our Signal model has the Broncos favoured at altitude, and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Our own prediction disagrees: Kansas City is +40 on differential to Denver’s +3, and we have it Chiefs 27-24.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 1, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT, at Empower Field at Mile High.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Kansas City, at 5.27 yards a carry — the highest average in the NFL.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change