San Francisco score 3.9 touchdowns a game and convert 84.6% in the red zone, both the best figures in the NFL. Dallas concede 48.3% on third down, the worst. Our 49ers vs Cowboys prediction is the league’s best offense against its most generous defense.
The San Francisco 49ers are 7-1 at +79. The Dallas Cowboys are 4-5 and have conceded 236 points in nine games.
49ers vs Cowboys: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
49ers vs Cowboys: 2026 form so far
The best offense in football against a defense that cannot get off the field. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
49ers attack against the Cowboys defense
| Per game | 49ers offense | Cowboys allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 241.5 | 225.2 |
| Rushing yards | 135.2 | 147.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 5.0 |
| Passer rating | 109.8 | 99.1 |
| Touchdowns | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 84.6% | 67.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.0 | 1.9 |
Cowboys attack against the 49ers defense
| Per game | Cowboys offense | 49ers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 256.9 | 211.0 |
| Rushing yards | 103.6 | 80.9 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Passer rating | 95.3 | 88.7 |
| Touchdowns | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Third-down conversion | 45.3% | 40.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 71.4% | 48.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.6 | 1.9 |
Dallas concede 48.3% on third down, the highest rate in the NFL, and 147 rushing yards a game, which is 31st.
San Francisco 49ers 7-1 · average margin +9.9
Dallas Cowboys 4-5 · average margin +1.1
49ers vs Cowboys quarterback matchup
Brock Purdy completed 17 of 25 for 232 yards and two touchdowns at 107.4 in a 38-17 win. Dak Prescott went 21 of 34 for 335 and two scores at 114.2.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | Brock Purdy | 17/25, 232 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 107.4 rtg | 163/236, 1980 yds, 17 TD, 5 INT, 109.8 rtg (8 games) |
| Cowboys | Dak Prescott | 21/34, 335 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 114.2 rtg | 218/336, 2381 yds, 16 TD, 5 INT, 95.3 rtg (9 games) |
49ers vs Cowboys injury report and team news
San Francisco score 3.9 touchdowns a game and convert 84.6% in the red zone, both the best in the NFL.
Dallas concede 48.3% on third down, the worst rate in the league.
San Francisco concede 3.33 yards a carry and 81 rushing yards a game, the best figures in the NFL.
The best offense in football against the most generous third down
San Francisco are 7-1 and the offense is historically efficient: 3.9 touchdowns a game, 84.6% in the red zone and 51.7% on third down are first, first and second in the NFL.
The defense is no weaker. Opponents run at 3.33 a carry for 81 yards a game, both the best marks in the league, and score 1.9 touchdowns.
Dallas can score — 3.1 touchdowns a game and 71.4% in the red zone, third — and Dak Prescott threw for 335 last week. What they cannot do is stop anyone: 48.3% on third down and 147 rushing yards conceded are 32nd and 31st.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- Brock Purdy (SF, QB): Rates 109.8 in an offense converting 84.6% in the red zone.
- George Kittle (SF, TE): A primary target in the league’s most efficient offense.
- Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): 335 yards and two touchdowns at 114.2 last week.
- CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): Led Dallas receivers in the win over Indianapolis.
How to watch 49ers vs Cowboys
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at AT&T Stadium, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. FOX has the broadcast.
| Detail | 49ers vs Cowboys |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
49ers vs Cowboys prediction and score projection
San Francisco win 34-24. Dallas will score, because they always do, and 48.3% conceded on third down against the most efficient offense in football is not survivable.
The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | You are here |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see our pick record and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. Individual lines are covered in prop markets for this game.
49ers vs Cowboys FAQ
San Francisco. The 49ers are 7-1 at +79 and Dallas 4-5 at +10. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at AT&T Stadium, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT.
San Francisco, at 84.6% — the best conversion rate in the NFL.
Third down. They concede 48.3%, the worst rate in the league, and 147 rushing yards a game.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change