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Texans vs Browns Prediction, Picks & Odds

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns prediction, picks and odds for Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season

C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week. Cleveland convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst rate in the NFL. Our Texans vs Browns prediction is a passing offense against a scoring problem.

The Houston Texans are 3-5 but at +17, and the Cleveland Browns 5-4 at -35. Only one of those records matches the point difference behind it.

Week 10 · Editorial pick

Texans vs Browns: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Texans AT Browns

Our props

Player propC.J. Stroud 270+ passing yardsHouston average 269 passing yards a game, third in the NFL, and Stroud threw 384 last week.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propCleveland under 2 touchdownsCleveland score 1.7 a game, 29th, and convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst in the NFL.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Texans vs Browns: 2026 form so far

A 3-5 team outscoring its record against a 5-4 team being outscored by 35. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.

Texans attack against the Browns defense

Per gameTexans offenseBrowns allow
Passing yards269.4201.0
Rushing yards87.1130.6
Yards per carry3.64.7
Passer rating104.184.6
Touchdowns2.82.2
Third-down conversion39.8%39.4%
Red-zone conversion62.1%46.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.02.9

Browns attack against the Texans defense

Per gameBrowns offenseTexans allow
Passing yards210.4235.6
Rushing yards97.3103.0
Yards per carry3.83.9
Passer rating93.795.3
Touchdowns1.72.6
Third-down conversion34.2%38.7%
Red-zone conversion39.1%66.7%
Sacks conceded / recorded4.23.6

Cleveland convert 39.1% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL, and run for 97 yards a game.

Houston Texans 3-5 · average margin +2.1

+10−10+20−20Week 1: lost to the Bills 31-36 (home)vBUF1Week 2: lost to the Bengals 6-20 (home)vCIN2Week 3: lost to the Colts 17-19 (away)@IND3Week 4: lost to the Cowboys 30-34 (home)vDAL4Week 5: beat the Titans 26-3 (away)@TEN5Week 6: beat the Jaguars 34-31 (away)@JAC6Week 7: lost to the Giants 21-27 (home)vNYG7Week 9: beat the Chargers 44-22 (away)@LAC9

Cleveland Browns 5-4 · average margin -3.9

+10−10+20−20Week 1: lost to the Jaguars 10-34 (away)@JAC1Week 2: beat the Buccaneers 23-19 (away)@TB2Week 3: beat the Panthers 21-18 (home)vCAR3Week 4: beat the Steelers 27-24 (home)vPIT4Week 5: lost to the Jets 12-17 (away)@NYJ5Week 6: beat the Ravens 13-10 (home)vBAL6Week 7: beat the Titans 27-24 (away)@TEN7Week 8: lost to the Steelers 6-27 (away)@PIT8Week 9: lost to the Saints 22-23 (away)@NO9
One bar per game this season, in week order. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by margin. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score. Bye weeks are left blank, so a gap in a run of form is visible rather than hidden.

Texans vs Browns quarterback matchup

C.J. Stroud completed 21 of 35 for 384 yards and five touchdowns at 125.5 in a 44-22 win. Shedeur Sanders went 19 of 31 for 297 and two scores at 114.6.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
TexansC.J. Stroud21/35, 384 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT, 125.5 rtg181/282, 2251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT, 104.8 rtg (8 games)
BrownsShedeur Sanders19/31, 297 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 114.6 rtg22/34, 299 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 112.3 rtg (3 games)
Last game is Week 9. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Texans vs Browns injury report and team news

C.J. Stroud threw five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week.

Cleveland convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst rate in the NFL.

Houston are 3-5 but +17; Cleveland are 5-4 but -35.

The third-best passing offense against the worst red zone in football

Houston throw for 269 yards a game, third in the NFL, and Stroud rates 104.1 on the season. Last week he had 384 and five scores in a 44-22 win.

What Houston do not do is run it: 87 yards a game at 3.57 a carry are 29th and 30th. Cleveland’s defense is built for exactly that, conceding 4.72 a carry but only 201 through the air.

Cleveland’s own problem is the 20-yard line. They convert 39.1% of red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the league, which is how a team with the sixth-best pass defense is at -35.

Houston TexansCleveland Browns

Their own numbers

Touchdowns per gameHouston Texans: 2.8, 14th of 32Cleveland Browns: 1.7, 29th of 3214th2.81.729thPassing yards per gameHouston Texans: 269, 3rd of 32Cleveland Browns: 210, 20th of 323rd26921020thRushing yards per gameHouston Texans: 87, 29th of 32Cleveland Browns: 97, 25th of 3229th879725thYards per carryHouston Texans: 3.57, 30th of 32Cleveland Browns: 3.76, 26th of 3230th3.573.7626thThird-down conversionHouston Texans: 39.8%, 14th of 32Cleveland Browns: 34.2%, 29th of 3214th39.8%34.2%29thRed-zone conversionHouston Texans: 62.1%, 13th of 32Cleveland Browns: 39.1%, 32nd of 3213th62.1%39.1%32ndSacks per gameHouston Texans: 3.6, 1st of 32Cleveland Browns: 2.9, 6th of 321st3.62.96thInterceptions per gameHouston Texans: 0.5, 24th of 32Cleveland Browns: 0.7, 18th of 3224th0.50.718th
Each club’s own production, per game this season. The small grey number is the league rank out of 32.

What opponents have managed against them

Touchdowns per gameHouston Texans: 2.6, 15th of 32Cleveland Browns: 2.2, 9th of 3215th2.62.29thPassing yards per gameHouston Texans: 236, 27th of 32Cleveland Browns: 201, 6th of 3227th2362016thRushing yards per gameHouston Texans: 103, 13th of 32Cleveland Browns: 131, 27th of 3213th10313127thYards per carryHouston Texans: 3.94, 12th of 32Cleveland Browns: 4.72, 28th of 3212th3.944.7228thThird-down conversionHouston Texans: 38.7%, 14th of 32Cleveland Browns: 39.4%, 16th of 3214th38.7%39.4%16thRed-zone conversionHouston Texans: 66.7%, 23rd of 32Cleveland Browns: 46.7%, 8th of 3223rd66.7%46.7%8thSacks per gameHouston Texans: 2.0, 12th of 32Cleveland Browns: 4.2, 32nd of 3212th2.04.232ndInterceptions per gameHouston Texans: 0.2, 3rd of 32Cleveland Browns: 0.3, 4th of 323rd0.20.34th
What each club’s opponents have managed, per game. Ranks here run the other way: first is the lowest number conceded, not the highest. The ringed dot is the better figure.

Players to watch

  • C.J. Stroud (HOU, QB): 384 yards and five touchdowns at 125.5 last week.
  • Tank Dell (HOU, WR): A primary target in a passing game throwing for 269 a game.
  • Shedeur Sanders (CLE, QB): 297 yards and two touchdowns at 114.6 last week.
  • Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Carries a run game averaging 97 yards a game.

How to watch Texans vs Browns

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Huntington Bank Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the broadcast.

DetailTexans vs Browns
DateSunday, November 15, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueHuntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
TVFOX
Live streamNFL+ / Fubo
WeekWeek 10, 2026 NFL season

Texans vs Browns prediction and score projection

Houston win 26-17. Cleveland’s defense is good enough to keep this close and their red zone is the reason it will not be enough.

The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.

Every Week 10 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMCommanders @ GiantsGiants 23-20Read
Sun 9:30 AMPatriots @ LionsLions 31-24Read
Sun 1:00 PMBills @ JetsBills 30-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ SaintsSaints 27-24Read
Sun 1:00 PMTexans @ BrownsTexans 26-17You are here
Sun 1:00 PMJaguars @ TitansJaguars 27-13Read
Sun 1:00 PMChiefs @ FalconsChiefs 27-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMDolphins @ ColtsColts 20-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMVikings @ PackersPackers 20-13Read
Sun 4:05 PMRams @ CardinalsRams 24-16Read
Sun 4:05 PMSeahawks @ RaidersSeahawks 27-13Read
Sun 4:25 PM49ers @ Cowboys49ers 34-24Read
Sun 8:20 PMSteelers @ BengalsBengals 27-23Read
Mon 8:15 PMChargers @ RavensRavens 23-13Read

The rest of the round sits in our weekly NFL picks and our NFL hub. The outright markets are priced in Super Bowl LXI odds. For the player side of this game, see NFL player props.

Texans vs Browns FAQ

Who is favored, the Texans or the Browns?

Houston, despite the records. The Texans are 3-5 at +17 and Cleveland 5-4 at -35. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.

What time is Texans vs Browns?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Huntington Bank Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.

Which team has the worst red zone?

Cleveland, at 39.1% — the lowest conversion rate in the NFL.

How did C.J. Stroud play last week?

He threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating in a 44-22 win over the Chargers.

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change