Kansas City run for 5.51 yards a carry, the best average in the NFL, and have conceded seven touchdowns in five games. Our Chiefs vs Seahawks prediction covers Sunday night at Lumen Field.
The Seattle Seahawks are 3-3 and let opponents finish 78.6% of their red-zone trips, the third-worst rate in the league. The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-0.
Chiefs vs Seahawks: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chiefs vs Seahawks: 2026 form so far
An unbeaten team against one that has lost three at home and away in turn. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Chiefs attack against the Seahawks defense
| Per game | Chiefs offense | Seahawks allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 254.2 | 141.3 |
| Rushing yards | 159.8 | 96.0 |
| Yards per carry | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 103.1 | 75.3 |
| Touchdowns | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.7% | 28.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 56.5% | 78.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 2.7 |
Seahawks attack against the Chiefs defense
| Per game | Seahawks offense | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 225.0 | 217.2 |
| Rushing yards | 107.2 | 88.8 |
| Yards per carry | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 89.8 | 74.1 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.4% | 35.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.1% | 33.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.7 | 1.6 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
Kansas City have conceded six sacks in five games and seven touchdowns. Both are among the two or three best marks in football.
Chiefs vs Seahawks quarterback matchup
Patrick Mahomes has nine touchdown passes to three interceptions at 103.1. Sam Darnold has seven to seven at 77.4, and threw two interceptions last week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 23/30, 272 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 89.9 rtg | 105/158, 1309 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 103.1 rtg (5 games) |
| Seahawks | Sam Darnold | 27/51, 278 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 52.6 rtg | 90/149, 1033 yds, 7 TD, 7 INT, 77.4 rtg (5 games) |
Chiefs vs Seahawks injury report and team news
Kansas City are 5-0 and run for 5.51 yards a carry, the highest average in the NFL.
Kansas City have conceded seven touchdowns and six sacks in five games.
Seattle let opponents finish 78.6% of red-zone trips, the third-worst rate in the league.
Unbeaten, and barely tested
Five and oh, seven touchdowns conceded, six sacks allowed and 5.51 yards a carry. Kansas City lead or near-lead the league in each.
Seattle’s case is their own defense: opponents convert 28.0% on third down against them, the third-best rate in football, and the Seahawks have 16 sacks.
What undoes that is the red zone, where Seattle concede on 78.6% of trips. Against a Kansas City attack that runs it better than anyone, the margin for error is thin.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 1,309 passing yards and nine touchdowns at 103.1.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): Fronts the best rushing average in the NFL at 5.51.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): The first read in a passing game worth 1,350 yards.
- Sam Darnold (SEA, QB): Seven touchdown passes and seven interceptions at 77.4.
How to watch Chiefs vs Seahawks
Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at Lumen Field, which is 7:20 PM CT and 5:20 PM PT. NBC has the national broadcast.
| Detail | Chiefs vs Seahawks |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 PM ET / 7:20 PM CT / 5:20 PM PT |
| Venue | Lumen Field, Seattle, WA |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Peacock |
| Week | Week 7, 2026 NFL season |
Chiefs vs Seahawks prediction and score projection
Kansas City win 24-23. This is the one game this week where our call and the model part company, and it is close enough that either could be right.
Signal’s live probability for this game updates through to kickoff.
Every Week 7 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Patriots @ Bears | Patriots 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Steelers @ Saints | Steelers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Ravens | Ravens 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Titans | Browns 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Vikings | Vikings 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Jets | Jets 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Texans | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | 49ers @ Falcons | 49ers 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Buccaneers @ Panthers | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Cardinals | Broncos 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Packers @ Lions | Lions 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Rams @ Raiders | Rams 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Chiefs @ Seahawks | Chiefs 24-23 | You are here |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Cowboys @ Eagles | Eagles 23-20 | Read |
Our weekly NFL picks and our NFL hub carry the rest of the card. The outright markets are priced in the NFC board. We price the player markets in prop markets for this game.
Chiefs vs Seahawks FAQ
Seattle, narrowly — our Signal model has the Seahawks as slight favorites at home, and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Our own prediction disagrees: Kansas City are 5-0 at +57 and run it better than anyone, and we have it Chiefs 24-23.
8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at Lumen Field, which is 7:20 PM CT and 5:20 PM PT.
Kansas City, at 5.51 yards a carry — the highest average in the NFL.
The red zone. Opponents finish 78.6% of their trips, the third-worst rate in the league.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change