San Francisco lead the NFL in passer rating, third-down rate, red-zone conversion and fewest sacks conceded. They are 6-0 and our 49ers vs Falcons prediction struggles to find the flaw.
The Atlanta Falcons are 2-4 but run for 5.07 a carry, the third-best figure in the league. The San Francisco 49ers are +67, the best differential in football.
49ers vs Falcons: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
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Our props
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49ers vs Falcons: 2026 form so far
An unbeaten team against one that runs it as well as anybody. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
49ers attack against the Falcons defense
| Per game | 49ers offense | Falcons allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 238.5 | 252.0 |
| Rushing yards | 128.2 | 83.2 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 118.1 | 95.1 |
| Touchdowns | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 51.5% | 42.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 85.0% | 64.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 0.8 | 2.5 |
Falcons attack against the 49ers defense
| Per game | Falcons offense | 49ers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 194.8 | 209.8 |
| Rushing yards | 149.5 | 90.2 |
| Yards per carry | 5.1 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 81.6 | 88.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.9% | 38.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.5 | 2.5 |
San Francisco have conceded five sacks in six games, fewer than any team in the NFL. Atlanta have given up 15.
49ers vs Falcons quarterback matchup
Brock Purdy has 14 touchdown passes to two interceptions at 118.1, the best team rating in football. Michael Penix Jr. has six to one at 106.0 from four starts.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | Brock Purdy | 21/29, 264 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 111.9 rtg | 119/171, 1460 yds, 14 TD, 2 INT, 118.1 rtg (6 games) |
| Falcons | Michael Penix Jr. | 19/33, 225 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 108.8 rtg | 71/110, 944 yds, 6 TD, 1 INT, 106.0 rtg (4 games) |
49ers vs Falcons injury report and team news
San Francisco are 6-0 with a +67 point differential, the best in the NFL.
San Francisco have conceded five sacks in six games, the fewest of any team.
Atlanta have run for 897 yards at 5.07 a carry, the third-highest average in the league.
Four league-leading numbers, one team
A 118.1 passer rating, 51.5% on third down, 85.0% in the red zone and five sacks conceded. San Francisco lead the NFL in all four.
They also have 23 touchdowns, level with Buffalo for the most in football, and have conceded ten.
Atlanta’s route in is the ground: 897 rushing yards at 5.07 a carry, against a 49ers front that gives up 3.61. If that does not hold, nothing else here will.
Players to watch
- Brock Purdy (SF, QB): Fourteen touchdown passes to two interceptions at 118.1.
- Christian McCaffrey (SF, RB): Runs behind a line that has conceded five sacks all season.
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): Fronts a ground game averaging 5.07 a carry.
- Drake London (ATL, WR): The first read in an attack converting 75.0% in the red zone.
How to watch 49ers vs Falcons
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | 49ers vs Falcons |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 7, 2026 NFL season |
49ers vs Falcons prediction and score projection
San Francisco win 30-20. Atlanta can run it, and will, but the 49ers lead the league in four separate things and have lost nothing yet.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
Every Week 7 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Patriots @ Bears | Patriots 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Steelers @ Saints | Steelers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Ravens | Ravens 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Titans | Browns 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Vikings | Vikings 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Jets | Jets 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Texans | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | 49ers @ Falcons | 49ers 30-20 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Buccaneers @ Panthers | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Cardinals | Broncos 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Packers @ Lions | Lions 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Rams @ Raiders | Rams 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Chiefs @ Seahawks | Chiefs 24-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Cowboys @ Eagles | Eagles 23-20 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see our weekly NFL picks and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in Super Bowl LXI odds. For the player side of this game, see NFL player props.
49ers vs Falcons FAQ
San Francisco. Our Signal model has the 49ers as clear favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page. San Francisco are 6-0 at +67.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
They lead the NFL in passer rating, third-down rate, red-zone conversion and fewest sacks conceded.
They run for 5.07 a carry, third in the league, but San Francisco concede 3.61.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change