Minnesota have conceded six touchdowns in five games. No defense in the NFL has given up fewer, and our Colts vs Vikings prediction sends the league’s lowest-rated passing attack at it.
The Minnesota Vikings are 5-0 and allow an opponent passer rating of 62.9, the best figure in football. The Indianapolis Colts are 2-4 and rate 71.1 through the air, third-lowest in the league.
Colts vs Vikings: our editor’s props
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Colts vs Vikings: 2026 form so far
The best defense in the league against one of the three worst passing attacks in it. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Colts attack against the Vikings defense
| Per game | Colts offense | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 199.8 | 173.2 |
| Rushing yards | 111.5 | 86.6 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 71.1 | 62.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.3% | 22.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 63.2% | 25.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.5 | 3.4 |
Vikings attack against the Colts defense
| Per game | Vikings offense | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 167.0 | 228.7 |
| Rushing yards | 116.0 | 122.5 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 90.7 | 98.2 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.0% | 30.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 50.0% | 61.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 1.7 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
Minnesota allow opponents to convert 22.2% of third downs and 25.0% of red-zone trips, both the best marks in the NFL.
Colts vs Vikings quarterback matchup
Daniel Jones has four touchdown passes to six interceptions at 71.1, the lowest team rating in the league. Kyler Murray has started four games for Minnesota and rates 84.7.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | Daniel Jones | 22/42, 269 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 60.5 rtg | 130/218, 1290 yds, 4 TD, 6 INT, 71.1 rtg (6 games) |
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 24/30, 229 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 109.6 rtg | 69/101, 662 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT, 84.7 rtg (4 games) |
Colts vs Vikings injury report and team news
Minnesota are 5-0 and have conceded six touchdowns, the fewest in the NFL.
Indianapolis rate 71.1 through the air, the third-lowest team passer rating in the league.
Minnesota have thrown for 835 yards, the second-lowest total in the NFL — they win differently.
Six touchdowns in five games
Minnesota’s defense has conceded six touchdowns, allows a 62.9 opponent rating, and lets opponents finish a quarter of their red-zone trips. Every one of those is the best mark in the league.
Indianapolis are the wrong visitors for it. Daniel Jones has thrown six interceptions to four touchdowns and the Colts rate 71.1, third-lowest in football.
The counterweight is that Minnesota barely throw it. Eight hundred and thirty-five passing yards is second-lowest in the NFL, so a shootout is not how they would win this.
Players to watch
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): Fronts a ground game running at 4.01 a carry.
- Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A central target in an attack rating 71.1 through the air.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): An 84.7 rating from four starts for an unbeaten team.
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): The first read in a passing game that throws sparingly.
How to watch Colts vs Vikings
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Colts vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 7, 2026 NFL season |
Colts vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Minnesota win 27-13. The Vikings are 5-0 because of a defense that has conceded six touchdowns, and Indianapolis have the attack least equipped to change that.
Our projected margin updates on this page as the week’s team news lands.
Every Week 7 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Patriots @ Bears | Patriots 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Steelers @ Saints | Steelers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Ravens | Ravens 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Titans | Browns 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Vikings | Vikings 27-13 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Jets | Jets 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Texans | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | 49ers @ Falcons | 49ers 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Buccaneers @ Panthers | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Cardinals | Broncos 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Packers @ Lions | Lions 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Rams @ Raiders | Rams 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Chiefs @ Seahawks | Chiefs 24-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Cowboys @ Eagles | Eagles 23-20 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see the full NFL picks page and our NFL hub. The outright markets are priced in who wins the AFC. Player markets sit with player prop betting.
Colts vs Vikings FAQ
Minnesota, heavily. Our Signal model has the Vikings as clear favorites and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Minnesota are 5-0 at +45; Indianapolis are 2-4 at -20.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Minnesota, with six in five games.
Eight hundred and thirty-five passing yards is the second-lowest total in the NFL. They win on defense and field position.
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