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Cavaliers vs Thunder: Prediction, Team News and the Rematch in OKC

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction and picks

Two days after the first meeting, the same clubs play again. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 43 as Oklahoma City won 117-112 in Cleveland on Monday. This time the Thunder are at home, where they are 3-0.

They are still without Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace and Alex Caruso. Our Thunder injuries report has each timeline.

Our best bet
Thunder to win
Score predictionThunder 114-109
SpreadThunder at -3.5 or shorter
TotalNo bet
Watch in CanadaNo Canadian listing (NBA League Pass)
No Canadian book had priced this game when we wrote this. Both clubs file an injury report on game day, so check the team news before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

How to watch Cavaliers vs Thunder in Canada

Detail
GameCleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder
DateWednesday 4 November 2026
Tip-off8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT
VenuePaycom Center, Oklahoma City
RecordsCleveland 4-3, Oklahoma City 5-2
RestCleveland with 1 day off, Oklahoma City with 1 day off

No Canadian network had listed this game when we checked. If it isn’t on TV where you are, our how to watch the NBA in Canada page covers the streaming route.

Cavaliers vs Thunder odds

This game hadn’t been priced by a Canadian book at the time of writing. A US number may not match what you’ll see here, so we’ve left the odds out. See our NBA betting in Canada page for the licensed options by province.

Gilgeous-Alexander carried Monday’s win

The Hamilton native made 14 of 35 shots and 11 of 12 free throws. He averages 28.4 points, and Ajay Mitchell adds 17.0.

Isaiah Hartenstein leads the club with 9.9 rebounds. Rookie Aday Mara had 10 and nine on Monday.

How they compare

2025-26Cleveland CavaliersOklahoma City Thunder
Record52-3064-18
Net rating+4.0+11.0
Offensive rating117.0117.0
Defensive rating113.0106.0
Pace102.1101.8
Three-point %36.0%36.5%

Rates from last season. Oklahoma City went 64-18, Cleveland 52-30, and the gap was 6.9 points per 100 possessions. Those Thunder numbers came with the injured starters.

Cleveland played without two rotation wings

Peyton Watson (hamstring) and Jaylon Tyson (ankle) both missed Monday and are day to day. Watson had started every game before that.

Donovan Mitchell averages 21.9 and had 11 assists on Monday, Evan Mobley adds 19.1 points and eight rebounds a game, and James Harden is the main passer at 6.3 assists.

Meleek Thomas started in Watson’s place. The second-round rookie scored 17.

Oklahoma City has won the last three meetings

DateResultVenue
2 Nov 2026Oklahoma City 117-112Rocket Arena
22 Feb 2026Oklahoma City 121-113Paycom Center
19 Jan 2026Oklahoma City 136-104Rocket Arena

Before Monday, the Thunder won 136-104 in Cleveland in January and 121-113 at home in February.

Recent form

Cleveland CavaliersLast 5: 3-2WWLWL
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Mon 2 Novvs Oklahoma CityL 112-117Donovan Mitchell 17
Sat 31 Octat MilwaukeeW 136-111Evan Mobley 27
Thu 29 Octat AtlantaL 111-114James Harden 24
Wed 28 Octvs WashingtonW 121-111Evan Mobley 24
Mon 26 Octvs MinnesotaW 127-125 (OT)Donovan Mitchell 26
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 5: 3-2WWLLW
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Mon 2 Novat ClevelandW 117-112Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 43
Sat 31 Octat HoustonL 98-119Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 26
Wed 28 Octat DallasL 96-120Ajay Mitchell 29
Mon 26 Octvs PhoenixW 125-114Ajay Mitchell 30
Sun 25 Octvs ClippersW 108-101Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 34

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
ClevelandJaylon TysonDay to day, ankleSee the official report before tip-off
ClevelandPeyton WatsonDay to day, hamstringSee the official report before tip-off
Oklahoma CityAlex CarusoOut, ankleNo timetable
Oklahoma CityCason WallaceOut, shoulderNo timetable
Oklahoma CityChet HolmgrenOut, kneeNo timetable
Oklahoma CityJalen WilliamsOut, legNo timetable
Oklahoma CityNikola TopicOut, backWeek to week
Oklahoma CityThomas SorberOut, kneeWeek to week

Watson and Tyson are Cleveland’s open questions on Tuesday’s injury feed. The official NBA injury report will settle both.

For the other 28 clubs, our NBA injury report has the full list.

Probable starting fives

Cleveland CavaliersStarted Mon 2 Nov vs Oklahoma City
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
CJarrett Allen14 pts, 6 reb, 1 astAvailable
CEvan Mobley16 pts, 7 reb, 4 astAvailable
GJames Harden14 pts, 4 reb, 6 astAvailable
GDonovan Mitchell17 pts, 5 reb, 11 astAvailable
GMeleek Thomas17 pts, 5 reb, 1 astAvailable
Oklahoma City ThunderStarted Mon 2 Nov at Cleveland
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
FJaylin Williams3 pts, 3 reb, 2 astAvailable
CIsaiah Hartenstein5 pts, 14 reb, 4 astAvailable
GKenrich Williams12 pts, 3 reb, 1 astAvailable
GShai Gilgeous-Alexander43 pts, 3 reb, 8 astAvailable
GAjay Mitchell20 pts, 5 reb, 1 astAvailable
Each club’s most recent starting five, checked against today’s injury list. A starter marked out has no named replacement yet: clubs confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip-off.

Players to watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City. Twenty-one or more in six of seven. He took 35 shots on Monday.

Evan Mobley, Cleveland. Sixteen or more in six of seven, with 27 in Milwaukee on Saturday.

Score prediction

Thunder 114-109 Cavaliers. Last season’s ratings would make this a big Thunder win, but that roster is gone. We lean on Monday’s game, five points in Cleveland, and give home court a little more.

Cavaliers vs Thunder prediction

We backed Cleveland on Monday and were wrong. The Thunder are 3-0 at home and Cleveland is 1-2 on the road.

Our pick: the Thunder to win, at -3.5 or shorter. No total.

Both clubs are placed in this week’s NBA power rankings. The NBA games tonight board lists the rest of Wednesday’s games.

What time is Cavaliers vs Thunder?

Tip-off is 8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City.

Where can I watch Cavaliers vs Thunder in Canada?

It was not on a Canadian channel’s listings when we checked, so stream it on NBA League Pass.

Is Chet Holmgren playing for the Thunder?

No. He has a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least eight to 10 weeks, per Nick Crain of Slam.

Is Peyton Watson playing for the Cavaliers?

He missed Monday with a hamstring injury and is day to day. Check Wednesday’s official report.

What is our Cavaliers vs Thunder prediction?

Thunder 114-109. We back Oklahoma City to win, at -3.5 or shorter.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.