Tampa Bay has run for 1,025 yards and Atlanta for 979, and Tampa Bay rates 73.6 through the air — the lowest figure in the NFL. Our Falcons vs Buccaneers prediction is a ground war by necessity.
The Atlanta Falcons are 3-4 and Michael Penix Jr. has nine touchdown passes to one interception. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 2-5 despite a positive point differential.
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta FalconsWin prob46%
Tampa Bay BuccaneersWin prob54%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: 2026 form so far
Two of the league’s three busiest ground games, in the same stadium. Every attacking figure here is shown against the defence that has to handle it.
Falcons attack against the Buccaneers defence
| Per game | Falcons offence | Buccaneers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 197.4 | 217.4 |
| Rushing yards | 139.9 | 77.3 |
| Yards per carry | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 87.9 | 84.0 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.1% | 36.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 52.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.1 | 2.3 |
Buccaneers attack against the Falcons defence
| Per game | Buccaneers offence | Falcons allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 150.4 | 255.6 |
| Rushing yards | 146.4 | 88.9 |
| Yards per carry | 4.9 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 73.6 | 92.4 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.4% | 42.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 52.2% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.1 | 2.4 |
Tampa Bay has conceded 22 sacks, joint second-most in the NFL, which is a large part of why it throws the ball as badly as it does.
Falcons vs Buccaneers quarterback matchup
Michael Penix Jr. has nine touchdown passes to one interception at 109.1. Tampa Bay rates 73.6 as a team, the lowest mark in the league.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | Michael Penix Jr. | 25/34, 213 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 118.9 rtg | 96/144, 1157 yds, 9 TD, 1 INT, 109.1 rtg (5 games) |
| Buccaneers | Baker Mayfield | 7/11, 64 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 109.7 rtg | 68/107, 679 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 83.0 rtg (4 games) |
Falcons vs Buccaneers injury report and team news
Tampa Bay has run for 1,025 yards, second only to Chicago.
Atlanta has run for 979 yards at 4.75 a carry.
Tampa Bay rates 73.6 through the air, the lowest team passer rating in the NFL.
Atlanta FalconsTampa Bay BuccaneersTwo run games and one functioning quarterback
One thousand and twenty-five rushing yards for Tampa Bay, 979 for Atlanta. Only Chicago has more than either.
The difference is what happens when they have to throw. Penix has nine touchdown passes to one interception at 109.1; Tampa Bay rates 73.6 as a team, the lowest in football.
Tampa Bay’s defence keeps it in games — 3.58 a carry conceded, among the five best marks going — but 22 sacks given up at the other end is not a profile that wins many.
Players to watch
- Michael Penix Jr. (ATL, QB): 1,157 yards, nine scores and one interception.
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): Fronts a ground game with 979 yards at 4.75 a carry.
- Bucky Irving (TB, RB): Leads the second-busiest ground game going.
- Baker Mayfield (TB, QB): Three touchdown passes at 83.0 from four starts.
How to watch Falcons vs Buccaneers in Canada
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. CTV carries one Sunday afternoon game per region and the selection is local, so confirm it in your own listings. The French-language broadcast is on RDS. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Falcons vs Buccaneers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 8, 2026 NFL season |
Falcons vs Buccaneers prediction and score projection
Our Falcons vs Buccaneers prediction is Tampa Bay by 24-21. Atlanta has the better quarterback by a wide margin, but Tampa Bay has the better defence and the home field.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
Every Week 8 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Panthers @ Packers | Packers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cardinals @ Cowboys | Cowboys 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Falcons @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers 24-21 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Ravens @ Bills | Bills 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Steelers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Colts @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Raiders @ Jets | Raiders 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Vikings @ Lions | Vikings 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Titans @ Bengals | Bengals 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Chargers @ Rams | Rams 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Patriots @ Dolphins | Patriots 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Eagles @ Commanders | Eagles 20-17 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bears @ Seahawks | Seahawks 24-21 | Read |
The rest of the week is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 8 game the same way. Both these teams are chasing the NFC Championship odds, with the AFC Championship odds tracked alongside them through the season.
Falcons vs Buccaneers FAQ
Tampa Bay, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Buccaneers as slight favourites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page, despite the 2-5 record.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Raymond James Stadium.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Tampa Bay, with 1,025 rushing yards — second only to Chicago.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change