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    Home » Soccer Predictions & Picks This Week

    Soccer Predictions & Picks This Week

    Squawka’s soccer predictions for the week ahead — confidence-rated picks on the MLS and Liga MX fixtures our previews cover, refreshed as each matchday’s lines drop.

    With the World Cup done, MLS and Liga MX are back in action and lead our coverage; Premier League and Champions League picks return when those seasons kick off. The picks below are pulled from our individual match previews, which work through form, head-to-head records, key player availability and the opening lines before settling on a confidence rating. Click any match name to read the full breakdown. Odds are bet365 prices at time of writing; before placing a wager, compare the top US sportsbooks for the best available numbers.

    This week’s soccer predictions

    This week’s picksMLS & Liga MX12 matches covered
    DateCompetitionMatchPickSquawka probabilitybet365 odds
    Fri 31 JulLiga MXClub Puebla vs ChivasChivas to Win58%-159 @ bet365
    Fri 31 JulLiga MXFC Juárez vs Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM to Win38%See bet365
    Fri 31 JulLiga MXAtletico San Luis vs Club TijuanaAtletico San Luis to Win39%+125 @ bet365
    Fri 31 JulMLSNew York City FC vs Toronto FCNYCFC to Win60%-163 @ bet365
    Sat 01 AugLiga MXAtlas FC vs MonterreyMonterrey to Win39%See bet365
    Sat 01 AugLiga MXClub León vs PachucaPachuca to Win42%+125 @ bet365
    Sat 01 AugLiga MXCruz Azul vs Atlante FCCruz Azul to Win74%-330 @ bet365
    Sat 01 AugMLSPhiladelphia Union vs Atlanta UnitedPhiladelphia Union to Win56%-159 @ bet365
    Sat 01 AugMLSVancouver Whitecaps vs LAFCVancouver Whitecaps to Win54%See bet365
    Sat 01 AugMLSCF Montreal vs New England RevolutionCF Montreal to Win42%+115 @ bet365
    Sat 01 AugMLSDC United vs Nashville SCNashville SC to Win41%+115 @ bet365
    Sat 01 AugMLSNew York Red Bulls vs Orlando CityNew York Red Bulls to Win46%See bet365
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    Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices. 21+. CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.

    Back these with bet365Odds shown for your region — toggle the value beside each pick above.
    Bet with bet365 →

    Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.

    Odds correct at time of preview publication. 21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

    Predictions by bet type

    Drill into the bet type you’re working with — same week, same matches, filtered to the picks that fit a specific market.

    Bet typeWhat we coverPage
    Both Teams to ScoreThis week’s BTTS picks across the leagues we cover, with confidence stars and odds.View BTTS predictions
    Over / Under 2.5 GoalsGoals-line picks ranked by confidence, with the over/under read for each fixture.View Over 2.5 predictions
    Correct ScoreOur cleanest big-price scorelines for the week, normalised to standard home-away order.View Correct Score predictions
    Anytime GoalscorerGoalscorer picks with player stats, xG and the matchup angle that supports each tip.View Anytime Goalscorer predictions

    Key stats behind our predictions

    Before locking in any pick, our team runs a few Squawka stats reads. The table below collects the most useful ones across the four leagues we cover. Use it to sense-check our predictions against the underlying numbers.

    CompetitionTop scorersClean sheetsAttacking stats
    Premier LeagueViewViewView
    Champions LeagueViewViewView
    MLSViewViewView
    Liga MXViewViewView

    Prediction markets

    If you prefer prediction-market prices over traditional sportsbooks, these longer-range futures are worth tracking:

    How we make our predictions

    Every pick on this page starts with data. We pull recent form, head-to-head records, expected-goals numbers, and squad availability from our football database, then cross-reference the opening odds to find bets where the implied probability looks off. The confidence stars are not gut feel — they are derived directly from implied probability: a -285 favorite translates to roughly 74% implied, which earns five stars, while a +155 underdog sits around 39%, earning two. The scale runs from one star (below 33% implied) to five (70%+). Right now that covers MLS and Liga MX, with Premier League and Champions League picks returning when those seasons kick off. Each tip links to the full match preview so you can see the reasoning before you decide.

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