Burnley host Wolves at Turf Moor on Sunday, May 24 (11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT) on the Premier League’s final day, with both clubs already relegated to the Championship.
Our Burnley vs Wolves prediction starts with the table reality: Burnley, nineteenth-placed with 21 points, host Wolves, bottom-placed with 19 — both already mathematically down and headed for the Championship. Scott Parker’s Burnley have lost 24 of 37 and Wolves have managed only three wins all season. The trip to Turf Moor is the bottom-of-the-table farewell, and the markets treat it as the open game it is, with neither side an obvious favorite.
bet365 prices Burnley at +150 to win at home, with Wolves at +175 and the draw at +240. Wolves carry the most concerning road record in the league — zero wins from 18 away league trips this season — and Burnley have already taken three points off the visitors in the reverse fixture at Molineux in October.
Burnley vs Wolves: Best Bets & Predictions
A close-priced fixture between two relegated sides where the home side carries the slight edge.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley to Win | +150 @ bet365 (40%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Burnley beat Wolves 3-2 in the reverse and are unbeaten in their last three home meetings. Wolves have not won a single away game all season — that’s the data point that should anchor the call. |
| Correct Score: 3-2 Burnley | +2500 @ bet365 (4%) | ⭐⭐ | Both sides have scored in 10 of Wolves’ 19 home games and Burnley’s home BTTS rate is 7 of 18. A 3-2 home win fits two leaky defenses — Burnley have shipped 74, Wolves 67 — closing out an already-relegated season. |
| Zian Flemming Anytime Goalscorer | +110 @ bet365 (48%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 10 league goals this season — the Dutch striker is Burnley’s leading scorer this season and the most reliable home anytime threat on the card. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -138 @ bet365 (58%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Wolves have shipped 67 league goals and conceded in 14 of 18 away trips. Burnley have leaked 74 — both defenses are porous and neither side has reason to sit deep on the final day. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -175 @ bet365 (64%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | BTTS landed in 10 of 19 Wolves home games and 14 of 18 Burnley away trips. The October reverse went 3-2 and the season pattern points to a similar afternoon. |
Our approach: Start with Burnley to Win at +150, layer Flemming anytime as the player-prop value, and add Over 2.5 as the over-friendly leg.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Both clubs are already relegated, so the prediction-market lens here is on the third spot still live above them. Polymarket and Kalshi still price the final drop between Tottenham (38) and West Ham (36), with West Ham needing to win at Leeds and Tottenham to lose for the gap to close.
For this individual fixture, match-specific prediction market pricing for Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for the 90-minute call. We’ll update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams are already relegated. The 2025-26 Premier League relegation odds page tracks the third-spot fight above and our Fulham vs Newcastle preview covers a mid-table fixture on the same final day.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 19 | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 21 |
| Wolves | 20 | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 19 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Zian Flemming (Burnley): 10 league goals this season — the Dutch striker is Burnley’s leading scorer and the most likely home name to find the net on the day.
- Jaidon Anthony (Burnley): Eight goals and two assists this season with 22 shots on target — the winger has been Burnley’s second-line outlet and a real threat from wide areas.
- Santiago Bueno (Wolves): Three goals and one assist this season — the Uruguayan center-back is among Wolves’ few consistent attacking contributors, primarily from set pieces.
- Tolu Arokodare (Wolves): Three goals and one assist this season with 16 shots on target — the Nigerian striker has been the road threat for an away side that has scored just 26 league goals all season.
Head-to-Head
Burnley beat Wolves 3-2 in the reverse fixture at Molineux in October and have not lost to Wolves in any of the last three meetings, with two wins and a draw.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Wolves 2-3 Burnley | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Burnley 1-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Wolves 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Burnley 1-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Wolves 0-0 Burnley | Premier League |
Recent Form
Burnley: L L L D L (oldest left → most recent right)
- May 18, 2026: Arsenal 1-0 Burnley (L, away)
- May 10, 2026: Burnley 2-2 Aston Villa (D, home)
- May 1, 2026: Leeds 3-1 Burnley (L, away)
- Apr 22, 2026: Burnley 0-1 Manchester City (L, home)
- Apr 19, 2026: Nottingham Forest 4-1 Burnley (L, away)
Four losses and a draw — the recent form has been brutal, but a good chunk of it has come against the league’s top six. The 2-2 with Villa is the most relevant single data point and shows the kind of open game this fixture should be.
Wolves: L L D L D
- May 17, 2026: Wolves 1-1 Fulham (D, home)
- May 9, 2026: Brighton 3-0 Wolves (L, away)
- May 2, 2026: Wolves 1-1 Sunderland (D, home)
- Apr 25, 2026: Wolves 0-1 Tottenham (L, home)
- Apr 18, 2026: Leeds 3-0 Wolves (L, away)
Two draws and three losses — and zero road wins from 18 league trips all season. Vitor Pereira’s side will be missing Sam Johnstone in goal but the bigger issue is the road record itself, which is the worst in the league.
Burnley vs Wolves Prediction
This is a bottom-of-the-table farewell where both sides are already down but the home side carries the form-line edge. Burnley to Win at +150 with bet365 is the call given the October reverse and Wolves’ zero road wins, with Zian Flemming’s anytime line as the value lean. Kick-off is 11:00 AM ET at Turf Moor.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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