Miami have scored seven touchdowns in five games and recorded four sacks. Both are the lowest figures in the NFL, and our Dolphins vs Jets prediction finds them at MetLife.
The New York Jets are 2-4 and finish 37.5% of their red-zone trips, the worst rate in the league. The Miami Dolphins are 0-5 at -62, the worst differential of any team playing this week.
Dolphins vs Jets: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Dolphins vs Jets: 2026 form so far
An 0-5 team against a 2-4 one, and neither finishes drives. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Dolphins attack against the Jets defense
| Per game | Dolphins offense | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 153.6 | 185.0 |
| Rushing yards | 126.6 | 123.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 68.4 | 93.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.3% | 37.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 46.2% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.8 | 2.8 |
Jets attack against the Dolphins defense
| Per game | Jets offense | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 196.2 | 219.2 |
| Rushing yards | 94.5 | 110.6 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Passer rating | 101.8 | 115.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.1% | 51.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 37.5% | 63.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.2 | 0.8 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
New York convert 37.5% in the red zone and Miami 46.2%. Those are the two lowest rates in the NFL, in the same game.
Dolphins vs Jets quarterback matchup
Geno Smith has seven touchdown passes to one interception at 101.8. Malik Willis has two to four at 68.4, the joint-lowest rating in the league.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 15/27, 137 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 51.0 rtg | 73/130, 849 yds, 2 TD, 4 INT, 68.4 rtg (5 games) |
| Jets | Geno Smith | 20/30, 252 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 89.9 rtg | 122/177, 1336 yds, 7 TD, 1 INT, 101.8 rtg (6 games) |
Dolphins vs Jets injury report and team news
Miami have scored seven touchdowns in five games, fewer than any team in the NFL.
Miami’s defense has recorded four sacks all season, also the fewest in the league.
New York finish 37.5% of their red-zone trips, the lowest conversion rate in football.
Two attacks that cannot finish
Thirty-seven and a half per cent for New York, 46.2% for Miami. Those are the two worst red-zone conversion rates in the NFL and they meet here.
Miami’s wider numbers are worse. Seven touchdowns, a 68.4 passer rating and four sacks as a defense are each the lowest figure in the league.
The Jets do one thing well: Geno Smith has thrown seven touchdown passes to a single interception, and Miami concede a 115.0 opponent rating, the second-highest in football.
Players to watch
- Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): Seven touchdown passes to one interception at 101.8.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): The first read in a passing game rating 101.8.
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Fronts the one Miami phase that works, at 4.87 a carry.
- Malik Washington (MIA, WR): A target in an attack with seven touchdowns all season.
How to watch Dolphins vs Jets
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at MetLife Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Jets |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 7, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Jets prediction and score projection
New York win 20-16. The Jets are no better than ordinary, but Miami have scored seven touchdowns in five games and that is the hardest number here to argue past.
Signal’s win probability for this game moves as the designations land.
Every Week 7 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Patriots @ Bears | Patriots 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Steelers @ Saints | Steelers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Ravens | Ravens 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Titans | Browns 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Vikings | Vikings 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Jets | Jets 20-16 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Texans | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | 49ers @ Falcons | 49ers 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Buccaneers @ Panthers | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Cardinals | Broncos 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Packers @ Lions | Lions 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Rams @ Raiders | Rams 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Chiefs @ Seahawks | Chiefs 24-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Cowboys @ Eagles | Eagles 23-20 | Read |
You can find our weekly NFL picks alongside our NFL betting coverage. The outright markets are priced in who wins the AFC. We price the player markets in player prop betting.
Dolphins vs Jets FAQ
New York, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Jets as slight favorites, with the live number in the Signal card on this page. The Jets are 2-4; Miami are 0-5 at -62.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at MetLife Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Miami, with seven in five games — the lowest total in the NFL.
They convert 37.5% of their trips, the worst rate in the league.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change