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Thunder vs Cavaliers: Prediction, Team News and an OKC Injury Crisis

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction and picks

Oklahoma City has lost three starters in a week. Jalen Williams broke his left fibula, Chet Holmgren has a small patellar tendon tear and Cason Wallace needed shoulder surgery. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who grew up in Hamilton, Ontario, takes what is left to Cleveland.

The Thunder lost by 24 in Dallas and by 21 in Houston, their only two defeats. Cleveland is 3-0 at home, and this Thunder vs Cavaliers game is on TSN.

Our best bet
Cavaliers to win
Score predictionCavaliers 116-104
SpreadCavaliers at -5.5 or shorter
TotalNo bet
Watch in CanadaTSN, TSN+
No Canadian book had priced this game when we wrote this. Both clubs file a final injury report in the afternoon, so check the team news before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

How to watch Thunder vs Cavaliers in Canada

Detail
GameOklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers
DateMonday 2 November 2026
Tip-off7:00pm ET
VenueRocket Arena, Cleveland
RecordsOklahoma City 4-2, Cleveland 4-2
RestOklahoma City with 1 day off, Cleveland with 1 day off

In Canada it’s on TSN and TSN+. If you’re watching away from a TV, our how to watch the NBA in Canada page lists the streaming options.

Thunder vs Cavaliers odds

There’s no Canadian line on this one yet. NBA prices tend to settle on game day, once the injury report does. The NBA betting hub explains where you can bet legally in Canada.

Gilgeous-Alexander has less help than ever

He averages 26.0 points and has scored 21 or more in five of six games.

Ajay Mitchell has stepped up, with 30 against Phoenix and 29 in Dallas. Isaiah Hartenstein averages 9.2 rebounds, and Jared McCain scored 20 in the opener.

Williams had surgery on 28 October and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season. Holmgren will miss at least eight to 10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reported. Wallace had surgery on a torn labrum on Friday, and Alex Caruso has a sprained ankle. Our Thunder injuries report has each timeline and the roster moves since.

How they compare

2025-26Oklahoma City ThunderCleveland Cavaliers
Record64-1852-30
Net rating+11.0+4.0
Offensive rating117.0117.0
Defensive rating106.0113.0
Pace101.8102.1
Three-point %36.5%36.0%

Rates from last season. Oklahoma City won 12 more games and was 6.9 points per 100 possessions better, with Williams, Holmgren and Wallace all available.

Cleveland has won all three at home

The Cavaliers beat Brooklyn 125-121, Minnesota 127-125 and Washington 121-111. On Saturday they scored 48 in the second quarter of a 136-111 win in Milwaukee.

Donovan Mitchell leads them with 22.7 points. Evan Mobley had 27 against the Bucks and Jarrett Allen 25 with 11 rebounds. James Harden averages 6.3 assists.

Jaylon Tyson is out with his ankle. Peyton Watson, who has started all six, is questionable with hamstring tightness.

Oklahoma City won both meetings last season

DateResultVenue
22 Feb 2026Oklahoma City 121-113Paycom Center
19 Jan 2026Oklahoma City 136-104Rocket Arena

The Thunder won 136-104 in Cleveland in January and 121-113 at home in February.

Recent form

Oklahoma City ThunderLast 5: 3-2WWWLL
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Sat 31 Octat HoustonL 98-119Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 26
Wed 28 Octat DallasL 96-120Ajay Mitchell 29
Mon 26 Octvs PhoenixW 125-114Ajay Mitchell 30
Sun 25 Octvs ClippersW 108-101Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 34
Thu 22 Octvs DenverW 96-84Jalen Williams 21
Cleveland CavaliersLast 5: 4-1WWWLW
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Sat 31 Octat MilwaukeeW 136-111Evan Mobley 27
Thu 29 Octat AtlantaL 111-114James Harden 24
Wed 28 Octvs WashingtonW 121-111Evan Mobley 24
Mon 26 Octvs MinnesotaW 127-125 (OT)Donovan Mitchell 26
Sat 24 Octvs NetsW 125-121Donovan Mitchell 22

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
Oklahoma CityAlex CarusoOut, ankleNo timetable
Oklahoma CityCason WallaceOut, shoulderNo timetable
Oklahoma CityChet HolmgrenOut, kneeNo timetable
Oklahoma CityJalen WilliamsOut, legNo timetable
Oklahoma CityNikola TopicOut, backWeek to week
Oklahoma CityThomas SorberOut, kneeWeek to week
ClevelandJaylon TysonOut, ankleOut for this game (1 Nov)
ClevelandPeyton WatsonDay to day, hamstringQuestionable for this game (1 Nov)

All six Thunder absences are on the league’s 10 a.m. ET injury report. Watson’s hamstring is Cleveland’s only open question, and the official NBA injury report will settle it.

The NBA injury report covers the rest of the league.

Probable starting fives

Oklahoma City ThunderStarted Sat 31 Oct at Houston
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
CIsaiah Hartenstein10 pts, 7 reb, 0 astAvailable
GKenrich Williams11 pts, 7 reb, 3 astAvailable
GShai Gilgeous-Alexander26 pts, 4 reb, 3 astAvailable
GJared McCain10 pts, 4 reb, 2 astAvailable
GAjay Mitchell6 pts, 3 reb, 5 astAvailable
Cleveland CavaliersStarted Sat 31 Oct at Milwaukee
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
CJarrett Allen25 pts, 11 reb, 4 astAvailable
CEvan Mobley27 pts, 5 reb, 3 astAvailable
GJames Harden13 pts, 6 reb, 7 astAvailable
GDonovan Mitchell15 pts, 4 reb, 3 astAvailable
GPeyton Watson5 pts, 2 reb, 6 astDay to day (hamstring)
Each club’s most recent starting five, checked against today’s injury list. A starter marked out has no named replacement yet: clubs confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip-off.

Players to watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City. Thirty-four against the Clippers and 32 in San Antonio. More of the offence now runs through him.

Evan Mobley, Cleveland. Twenty-seven in Milwaukee and 24 with 12 rebounds against Washington. He averages 19.7 points and 8.2 boards.

Score prediction

Cavaliers 116-104 Thunder. Last season’s ratings would make Oklahoma City the favourite even here. Those ratings belonged to a team with Williams, Holmgren and Wallace, and the Thunder have scored 96 and 98 in the two games since.

Thunder vs Cavaliers prediction

Oklahoma City is 1-2 on the road. Cleveland has scored 121 or more in four of its six games.

Our pick: Cleveland to win, the Cavaliers at -5.5 or shorter. No total.

For how both measure up across the league, see the NBA power rankings. You’ll find the rest of Monday’s games on our NBA games tonight page.

What time is Thunder vs Cavaliers?

Tip-off is 7:00pm ET on Monday 2 November 2026 at Rocket Arena, Cleveland.

Where can I watch Thunder vs Cavaliers in Canada?

TSN carries it in Canada, with streaming on TSN+.

Is Chet Holmgren playing for the Thunder?

No. He has a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least eight to 10 weeks, per Nick Crain of Slam.

Is Jalen Williams playing?

No. He had surgery on a fractured left fibula on 28 October and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season.

What is our Thunder vs Cavaliers prediction?

Cavaliers 116-104. We back Cleveland to win, at -5.5 or shorter.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.