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Lions vs Bills Prediction, Picks & Odds

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills prediction, picks and odds for Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season

Our Lions vs Bills prediction favours Buffalo as the new Highmark Stadium stages its first regular-season game. Squawka Signal’s live read on the game updates on this page through the week.

Two 1-0 teams, and two wins that could hardly have looked less alike. The Buffalo Bills scored 36 on Houston from 52 plays and under 24 minutes of possession. The Detroit Lions ground out 31-30 at New Orleans across almost 37 minutes and 33 carries.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills

Week 2 · Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Buffalo Bills favourites by about 5 points, a 67% win probability.

DETDetroit LionsWin prob33%
BUFBuffalo BillsWin prob67%
Projected lineBuffalo Bills -5

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.

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Week 1 · Editorial pick

Lions vs Bills: our editor’s props

Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.

Lions AT Bills

Our props

Player propJosh Allen 2+ passing touchdownsAllen threw two against Houston at a 130.5 rating. Meanwhile Detroit conceded 410 passing yards and three scores to Tyler Shough in Week 1.
★★★★confidence
Player propJahmyr Gibbs 90+ rushing yardsGibbs carried 29 times for 156 yards and two touchdowns in the opener. Buffalo allowed 124 on the ground to Houston at 3.9 a carry.
★★★★★confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Lions vs Bills: 2026 form so far

One game each, so treat the table as an opening sketch. What it does show is two very different routes to the same record.

2026 season to dateLionsBills
Record1-01-0
Points for3136
Points against3031
Point differential+1+5
Total yards369409
Yards per play5.17.9
Turnovers10
Third-down offence38.5%33.3%
Red-zone offence80.0%33.3%
Sacks recorded53
Opponent passer rating87.6106.7

Buffalo’s 7.9 yards a play was the more eye-catching number, and they turned the ball over not once. Detroit, meanwhile, won the possession battle by more than 13 minutes.

Lions vs Bills injury report and team news

Buffalo move into the new Highmark Stadium for the first time in the regular season, a 60,108-seat replacement for the ground across the road.

This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land. Thursday fixtures compress the practice week, so designations arrive late.

Injury report · Week 2Official game-status report — updates through the week
DETDetroit Lions
No game-status designations filed yet.
BUFBuffalo Bills
No game-status designations filed yet.

The matchup that settles it: Buffalo’s efficiency against Detroit’s clock

Buffalo needed 52 plays to score 36 points. Detroit needed 73 to score 31, and that gap in efficiency is the game in a sentence.

Detroit’s answer is possession. Thirty-three carries and 36:51 with the ball kept a 469-yard New Orleans offence at arm’s length, and Jahmyr Gibbs took 29 of those carries.

Detroit’s pass defence is the vulnerability, having conceded 410 yards on Sunday. Josh Allen, by contrast, was sacked twice all afternoon and gave nothing away.

Players to watch

  • Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): 29 carries for 156 yards and two touchdowns in the opener.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET, WR): Ten catches and two touchdowns against New Orleans.
  • Josh Allen (BUF, QB): 334 passing yards at a 130.5 rating, plus two rushing scores.
  • Dalton Kincaid (BUF, TE): Five catches for 130 yards, the highest total on either side.

How to watch Lions vs Bills

The game kicks off at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 17, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT. TSN has the English-language broadcast and RDS the French. DAZN carries every game of the season for Canadian viewers. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailLions vs Bills
DateThursday, September 17, 2026
Kickoff8:15 PM ET / 7:15 PM CT / 5:15 PM PT
VenueHighmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
TVTSN (English) / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass) / TSN app
WeekWeek 2, 2026 NFL season

Lions vs Bills prediction and score projection

Our Lions vs Bills prediction is a Buffalo win, 30-24. The Bills are the more efficient side and the new stadium should help.

Detroit can shorten the game through Gibbs, which keeps it within a score. Signal’s live number updates on this page through the week.

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 2 game the same way. Compare the AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds as the season develops, and our guide to watching the NFL in Canada covers every window.

Lions vs Bills FAQ

Who is favoured to win, the Lions or the Bills?

Buffalo, at home. Both are 1-0, though the Bills needed only 52 plays to score 36 points in their opener.

What time is Lions vs Bills in Canada?

8:15 PM ET on Thursday, September 17, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT.

What channel is Lions vs Bills on in Canada?

TSN has the English-language broadcast and RDS the French. DAZN carries it as a stream.

Is this the first game at the new Highmark Stadium?

It is the first regular-season game there. Buffalo opened the season in Houston.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change