Paraguay vs France: Kalshi Promo Code SQUAWKA + Live World Cup Markets

Paraguay face France on Saturday (July 4) at the World Cup 2026. Kalshi has France priced as the clear favorite at 83% to win 90 minutes, with Paraguay trailing at 5%. The goal totals are trading over the 2.5 line (60% probability over).

Kalshi has 17 prediction markets live for the fixture — match winner, spread, totals, BTTS, scorers, corners and more. Below is the full board, plus our read on what is worth a look. New Kalshi traders can use code SQUAWKA for $10 in trading credit after their first $10 trade.

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Kalshi prices the three headline markets in cents per dollar — the percentages below are the live yes-side bid, which is roughly where the market is pricing each outcome. Match Winner is the cleanest read on who lifts the result; the spread book is the leveraged version of the same view; totals are the over/under read independent of who wins.

Three Kalshi reads worth a look for Paraguay vs France

France at the current Kalshi price. The market has France priced at 83% to win 90 minutes — fair value for the favorite without much elastic upside if you’re chasing edge over the moneyline.

Over on the total goals line. The book is pricing the over on the 2.5 line (60% probability over). That read aligns with where the per-team goal markets are also leaning.

The spread book over the moneyline. If you want a position on the favorite with more cents-on-the-dollar edge than the headline match-winner offers, the Kalshi spread market is the cleaner way in.

For the avoidance of doubt: these are market reads, not staked picks. Trade what you can afford to lose.

Goal markets price the shape of the scoring, not just the count. BTTS yes/no isolates whether both teams find the net; 1st Half Winner tightens the result to 45 minutes; the team-specific over/unders strip out one side’s output from the other. Correct Score is the long-priced read — useful as a low-stakes feel for how the market sees the scoreboard ending.

Player-prop and extras markets move on team news, so prices firm up as lineups land. Anytime Goalscorer follows the front line, Anytime Assist follows the creators, and Score or Assist is the cleaner combined read if you want player exposure without splitting the contribution. First Team to Score and the corners book trade thinly until the warm-ups.

Live Kalshi · Player & Extras · 4 markets

Player Props & Extras — Paraguay vs France

Live prices from Kalshi · Updated 1h ago

Anytime Goalscorer

• Kylian Mbappe: 1+69%
• Ousmane Dembele: 1+43%
• Kylian Mbappe: 2+35%

Anytime Assist

• Michael Olise: 1+54%
• Ousmane Dembele: 1+52%
• Michael Olise: 2+43%

Score or Assist

• Kylian Mbappe90%
• Ousmane Dembele87%
• Michael Olise70%

First Team to Score

• France81%
• Paraguay18%
• No Goal3%

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Probabilities are the live Kalshi yes-side bid. Markets move; not financial advice. Available to US traders in all 50 states. 21+. Full Kalshi review.

How to claim the SQUAWKA code at Kalshi

1. Visit Kalshi via our link
2. Enter promo code SQUAWKA on signup
3. Make a deposit and place your first $10 trade
4. Get $10 in trading credit added to your account

Kalshi is available to US traders in all 50 states; full eligibility and 21+ T&Cs apply. See our Kalshi review for the full breakdown of fees, deposit methods and the sports markets covered.

More World Cup 2026 coverage from Squawka

• World Cup 2026 hub
• World Cup 2026 winner odds
• Paraguay vs France match preview
• World Cup 2026 prediction-markets tracker

21+. Trade responsibly. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange. Markets carry trading risk; do not trade more than you can afford to lose. Help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.