Pumas UNAM host Liga MX rivals Mazatlán on Sunday, April 12th at 2pm ET at Estadio Olímpico Universitario, with the home side chasing a stronger seed while the visitors try to stop the slide before it becomes a freefall.
Pumas have made a habit of refusing to lose in the Clausura, taking points in 12 of their 13 matches. Mazatlán, meanwhile, arrive bruised from a campaign that’s leaked 25 goals already.
That contrast sets up a simple betting story: can Pumas turn control into a clean, comfortable win, or does Mazatlán drag this into the chaos they’ve been living in?
Read on for our Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlán predictions.
Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlán predictions & Best Bets
| Pick | Odds | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pumas UNAM Moneyline | -256 @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Pumas don’t need to be perfect to get paid here—they just need to be themselves: organized, patient, and hard to break. They’ve only lost once in 13 Clausura matches, and they’re facing a Mazatlán defense that’s already surrendered 25 goals. If Pumas play to their usual tempo, they should wear this down and land the three points. |
| Pumas UNAM Team Total Over 1.5 Goals | -225 @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | This game has the shape of a home side that keeps knocking until the door opens. Pumas have scored 23 goals in 13 Clausura matches, while Mazatlán have allowed 25 in the same number of games. Give Pumas two clean looks, and they’ve got enough finishers to make at least two count. |
| Both Teams To Score — Yes | -142 @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐ | If Mazatlán are going to land a punch, it’ll come from their best stretch players finding space early, not from long spells of buildup. Pumas have conceded 14 goals in 13 Clausura matches, so they’re not airtight, and Mazatlán have shown they can turn a single good spell into a goal like they did in a 4-2 win over León in early March. One Mazatlán moment is all this needs to cash. |
| Juninho Anytime Goalscorer | +100 @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | This is the kind of matchup where Pumas’ most reliable finisher gets fed chances until one sticks. Juninho leads Pumas in Clausura goals with five, and he’s also tied for the team lead in assists with three, which tells you he’s constantly in the action. Against a back line that’s been punished all tournament, he’s the cleanest goalscorer angle on the board. |
| Keylor Navas Over 3.5 Saves | TBC @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐ | Even when Pumas control games, the shots they do allow often come in sharp bursts—exactly the kind that pad a keeper’s stat line. Keylor Navas has already made 61 saves in the Clausura. If Mazatlán get behind and start swinging late, Navas can cash this without the match ever feeling truly in danger. |
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Current Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 24 |
| 17 | Mazatlan | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
Recent Form
Pumas UNAM Recent Form
- Draw 2-2 vs Chivas (Away)
- Win 1-0 vs Club América (Home)
- Draw 2-2 vs Cruz Azul (Home)
- Win 1-0 vs Necaxa (Away)
- Loss 2-3 vs Toluca (Home)
Pumas are playing like a team that doesn’t panic when the game gets messy, coming straight off a 2-2 draw at Chivas on Sunday. The punchline for bettors is simple: they keep themselves alive in almost every match, which makes them easier to trust when you’re laying a result-based wager.
Mazatlán Recent Form
- Loss 1-2 vs Necaxa (Away)
- Draw 1-1 vs Cruz Azul (Home)
- Loss 0-2 vs Club América (Away)
- Win 4-2 vs León (Home) — 2026-03-07
- Loss 1-4 vs Atlético San Luis (Away)
Mazatlán have had one big night—beating León 4-2 in March —but most of their recent story is damage control. They’ve lost three of these five, and the road results have been especially rough, which makes it hard to sell them as anything more than a spoiler.
Head-to-Head
Pumas have dominated the head-to-head between these sides, winning the last four meetings by a 10-1 combined scoreline.
In fact, Mazatlan have never beaten Pumas in 11 meetings so far, best managing five draws — the last of which came in July 2023.
Potential Match-Winners
Juninho is the headline for Pumas because he’s delivering right now in the Clausura, with five goals across 13 matches. He’s also tied for the team lead with three assists, so even when he’s not finishing, he’s usually the one turning pressure into something that matters. If this match tilts into a one-way wave, he’s the Pumas attacker most likely to put the final touch on it.
Adalberto Carrasquilla is the kind of connector that makes a favorite feel safe, because he’s the player who keeps the ball moving to the dangerous areas. He’s created four big chances in the Clausura, and that creative edge was already proven in the Apertura when he led Pumas with four assists. If Mazatlán sit deep, Carrasquilla is the one who can thread the pass that breaks the shape.
For Mazatlán, Josue Ovalle is the swing piece, the guy who can flip a script in a short window. He’s scored four goals in just eight Clausura matches, and he’s doing it at a brisk 0.73 goals per 90 minutes. If Mazatlán are going to steal this, it probably starts with Ovalle — who also has one assist — being ruthless with the few looks he gets.
Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlán predictions
This feels like a classic Liga MX Clausura spot where the stronger side’s structure eventually suffocates the underdog. Pumas UNAM have the scoring punch to turn long spells of pressure into goals, and they bring a steadier defensive baseline than Mazatlán have shown all tournament. The cleanest route is backing Pumas UNAM Moneyline at -256 @ Bet365.