Milwaukee won the opener 2-1 and lead this NLCS 1-0. Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated US prediction market, responded by making Los Angeles favourites for Game 2 and leaving the Dodgers on top of the World Series board. Two teams that won 100 games are being separated by almost nothing.
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Match markets — Dodgers vs Brewers
Los Angeles sit at 55% and Milwaukee at 44% for Monday’s game — the Dodgers favoured despite trailing the series, which is the pattern this market has followed all postseason. It separates one night from the whole thing. On the World Series board the two are effectively level, Los Angeles at 33% and Milwaukee at 32%, with Tampa Bay at 22% and Cleveland at 11%.
Match Markets — Dodgers vs Brewers
Game Winner
- Los Angeles D55%
- Milwaukee44%
World Series Winner
- Los Angeles D33%
- Milwaukee32%
- Tampa Bay22%
- Cleveland11%
Claim offer →Probabilities are the live Kalshi yes-side bid, correct at 9:00am ET on October 12. Markets move; not financial advice. 18+. Full Kalshi review.
Game 1 turned on a Brice Turang homer off Tarik Skubal, and Milwaukee’s bullpen closed it out after a taxing night for Jacob Misiorowski. Yoshinobu Yamamoto starts Game 2 for Los Angeles against Logan Henderson. Note the early start: MLB has this one at 5pm ET rather than the usual primetime slot, with the ALCS opener taking the evening.
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