FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

FC Cincinnati host San Jose Earthquakes at TQL Stadium on Saturday, August 1 at 7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT, a cross-conference meeting between a free-scoring home side and one of the Western Conference’s form teams of the season.

Our FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction starts with a clash of profiles. FC Cincinnati sit seventh in the Eastern Conference and score for fun, while San Jose Earthquakes are third in the West but have hit a rough patch at exactly the wrong time.

The prediction markets make the home side favorites at 48%, with San Jose at 30% and the tie at 23%. bet365 had not posted a line at the time of writing three days out, so the odds column fills in closer to kickoff.

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Best Bets & Predictions

FC Cincinnati are at home and favored, though San Jose sit third in the West. Two open defenses point to goals.

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🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

FC Cincinnati to WinTop pickThe home side and the market’s pick at 48%. San Jose sit higher in the West, but the Quakes have won once in their last six and have shipped a goal in 11 straight.

48%win prob.Odds via bet365

Both Teams to Score: YesEvery one of FC Cincinnati’s last five games has seen both teams score, and San Jose have conceded in 11 in a row while still scoring themselves.

74%chanceOdds via bet365

Over 2.5 GoalsAll five of FC Cincinnati’s recent matches cleared 2.5 goals. Two open, leaky defenses point the same way.

74%chanceOdds via bet365

Kévin Denkey to score anytimeDenkey leads the line with 11 goals this MLS season, roughly a goal every 90 minutes, against a defense that has not kept a clean sheet since early April.

50%chanceOdds via bet365

Correct Score: FC Cincinnati 3-1The tidy way to tie the home win, the Over and both teams scoring into one line.

9%chanceOdds via bet365

Our approach: anchor on FC Cincinnati to win, add both teams to score, and treat 3-1 as the natural scoreline in an open game.

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Season Form & Standings

The gap in the table flatters neither side’s recent form. San Jose carry a healthy plus-15 goal difference and 33 points, 10 clear of FC Cincinnati, yet the Quakes are the team stumbling into this one. Track the wider picture on the MLS standings page.

Team News Predicted

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes Predicted Lineups

Based on the XI each side started in their last match.

FC Cincinnati

3-4-3

R. Celentano

M. Robinson

M. Miazga

S. Gidi

E. Echenique

O. Nwobodo

G. Valenzuela

P. Bucha

Evander

K. Denkey

K. Mboma Dem

San Jose Earthquakes

4-2-3-1

A. Gunn

J. Ricketts

R. Roberts

D. Munie

B. Kikanovic

B. Leroux

J. Gonzalez

T. Werner

N. Fernandez

J. Skahan

O. Bouda

Squawka · Team News

Potential Match-Winners

• Kévin Denkey (FC Cincinnati): the striker leads the line with 11 goals this MLS season, close to a goal every 90 minutes across 1,329 league minutes.
• Evander (FC Cincinnati): the creative engine has 10 goals and eight assists, and has fashioned 13 big chances for teammates.
• Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes): the Quakes’ focal point in attack, level with Denkey on 11 goals for the campaign.
• Ousseni Bouda (San Jose Earthquakes): the secondary threat with five goals, and a runner who stretches tired back lines late on.

With Denkey and Judd each on 11, this one doubles as a goal-race subplot — the full list sits on the MLS top scorers page.

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati: L D W W L

• July 26: Columbus Crew 2-1 FC Cincinnati (L, away)
• July 23: FC Cincinnati 4-3 Vancouver Whitecaps (W, home)
• May 24: FC Cincinnati 6-2 Orlando City (W, home)
• May 17: San Diego FC 3-3 FC Cincinnati (D, away)
• May 14: FC Cincinnati 3-5 Inter Miami (L, home)

The Orange and Blue have scored in each of their last 14, the previous blank all the way back on March 8 at home to Toronto FC. The flip side is a defense that has conceded in each of the last seven, the last clean sheet coming on April 26.

San Jose Earthquakes: L L W L D

• July 26: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 LA Galaxy (D, home)
• July 23: San Jose Earthquakes 0-4 Orlando City (L, home)
• May 24: Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes (W, away)
• May 17: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 FC Dallas (L, home)
• May 14: Seattle Sounders 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes (L, away)

The Quakes are winless in two, the last win a 3-1 result at Portland Timbers on May 24. They have also conceded in each of their last 11, the last shut-out logged on April 5 — the defensive record that props up their table position is not the one they bring into Cincinnati.

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Two porous defenses and a home side that keeps scoring make goals the safest read, and the market edge sits with the hosts. We back FC Cincinnati and both teams to score, with bet365 lines opening closer to Saturday’s 7:30 PM ET kickoff at TQL Stadium; see our bet365 review and more picks on the soccer predictions hub.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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