Wolves close out a season that has already ended for them on Sunday, May 17 at 11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT, when a relegated home side hosts a mid-table Fulham at Molineux. Relegation was confirmed weeks ago, the visitors sit 11th on 48 points with nothing to chase, and bet365 has Fulham at -112 to win, Wolves at +280, and the draw at +260.
This is the kind of fixture that bookmakers price almost entirely on the table. Wolves have lost four of their last five, conceded in seven straight, and shipped 12 goals across their most recent five matches. Fulham haven’t been brilliant either, but they are out of danger and have a much better defender on paper in Bernd Leno, who has 94 saves and eight clean sheets on the season. The visitors are short and they should be.
Wolves vs Fulham: Best Bets & Predictions
The board reads Fulham as the slight road favorite and the season-long evidence backs the price, so the build leans on the visitors with a goalscorer overlay and a totals read shaped by Wolves’ wide-open recent form.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham to win | -112 @ bet365 (53%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Wolves are 0-1-4 across their last five with one goal scored and four shutouts; Fulham sit 11th on 48 points with the better defender on the day. |
| Correct Score: Fulham 1-2 | +850 @ bet365 (11%) | ⭐⭐ | Fulham have scored on the road through the season and Wolves’ last clean sheet came on Feb 27 — a one-goal home consolation is the most common shape in this fixture’s recent ledger. |
| Harry Wilson to score anytime | +175 @ bet365 (36%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | 10 goals, 5.81 xG and a squad-high 24 shots on target across 2,662 minutes — Wilson is Fulham’s most reliable goal source against a Wolves back line that has conceded in its last seven. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -138 @ bet365 (58%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of Wolves’ last five have gone over, the home defense has shipped 12 goals across that window, and Fulham have scored in eight of their last 10 away from Craven Cottage. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -163 @ bet365 (62%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Wolves still have Tolu Arokodare on 7.15 xG — well clear of his three returns — and a set-piece moment or transition error against Fulham’s vulnerable second balls would tilt this Yes. |
Our approach: lead with Fulham’s price as the headline play, layer Wilson Anytime as the supporting goalscorer overlay, and let Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes carry the totals read. The Correct Score 1-2 is the longshot that ties the headline pick to the most-likely shape of the match.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Prediction-market activity on a relegated-vs-mid-table Premier League fixture is thin, but Kalshi and Polymarket both run Match Result markets on every EPL weekend and the widget above will surface live pricing as it gets posted. Treat the widget output as the source of truth on this fixture. If pricing on Fulham comes in materially shorter than the bet365 -112 line, the implied edge has already been bet through; if it lags, the bookmaker has the better number.
Season Form & Standings
| Pos | Team | GP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Fulham | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | -6 | 48 |
| 20 | Wolves | 36 | — | — | — | — | 18 |
Fulham are 11th on 48 points, safely clear of the drop and out of European contention, with two matches to play and a goal difference of minus six. Wolves are 20th on 18 points and relegation was confirmed several matchdays ago — the only outstanding question for the hosts is which Championship side they will face in early August. The full table is on the Premier League standings page, and Wolves’ relegation pricing — and the full short list of the other two sides going down — is on the Premier League relegation odds page.
Potential Match-Winners
- Harry Wilson (Fulham, 10 goals, 6 assists) — Fulham’s leading scorer has taken more shots on target than anyone in the squad (24) and posted 4.33 xA on top of his goal output. He has been Fulham’s outlet through the wide channels and a relegation-bound back line will not change that.
- Raúl Jiménez (Fulham, 9 goals) — Returns to Molineux as Fulham’s central striker on a season-best xG of 8.98. He played years of his career for Wolves and a homecoming goal would not be a surprise on a day when his side are the heavy favorites.
- Tolu Arokodare (Wolves, 3 goals, 7.15 xG) — Wolves’ top scorer in a season with nothing to write home about. His expected output (more than seven goals) is well clear of what he has actually delivered, so the variance is on his side here. At +225 to score anytime, he is the best value if you want the home angle.
- Sam Chukwueze (Fulham, 3 goals, 4 assists) — Has 18 successful dribbles in 23 matches and routinely creates from the right, where Wolves have been weakest in the recent run.
Head-to-Head
Wolves have actually held their own in this fixture over the longer view — five wins, two draws, three losses from the last 10 Premier League meetings, with a 13-11 edge on aggregate goals. But the recent ledger has tilted toward Fulham, who beat Wolves 3-0 at Craven Cottage in November and won 2-1 at Molineux in February 2025.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Fulham 3-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Wolves 1-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Fulham 1-4 Wolves | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Wolves 2-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Fulham 3-2 Wolves | Premier League |
Recent Form
Wolves: L L L D L
- May 9: Brighton 3-0 Wolves (A)
- May 2: Wolves 1-1 Sunderland (H)
- Apr 25: Wolves 0-1 Tottenham (H)
- Apr 18: Leeds 3-0 Wolves (A)
- Apr 10: West Ham 4-0 Wolves (A)
Wolves are winless in six and have conceded in their last seven matches, the last clean sheet a 2-0 win at home to Aston Villa on February 27. One goal scored across the last five and four shut-outs in that window tells you what you need to know about an attack playing for the end of the season.
Fulham: L D W L L
- May 9: Fulham 0-1 Bournemouth (H)
- May 2: Arsenal 3-0 Fulham (A)
- Apr 25: Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa (H)
- Apr 18: Brentford 0-0 Fulham (A)
- Apr 11: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham (A)
Fulham have themselves drifted toward the end of the season, with two straight losses and only one goal across the most recent five. Their defensive numbers, though, remain professional — six goals conceded in five and two clean sheets in that window. They are not running hot, but they are still well short of the level Wolves are currently producing.
Wolves vs Fulham Prediction
Fulham travel as the better, healthier, more motivated side, and the season-long evidence — points, expected goals, set-piece numbers — all backs the visitors. Wolves’ relegation is already settled, the home crowd will be turning over the page, and the last five performances have been the worst of the season. Fulham at -112 with bet365 is the headline play, Wilson Anytime Goalscorer at +175 the supporting overlay, and the read here is Fulham 1-2.
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