Pumas welcome Club América to the Estadio Olímpico Universitario on Sunday night with the tie level and the higher-seed advantage. A 3-3 draw in leg One at Las Águilas’ home left the aggregate balanced and the maths simple: Pumas, the regular-phase leaders, advance with a win or a draw. Kick-off is Sunday, May 10, at 9:15 PM ET.
This was the leg-one thriller of the round. Pumas twice took the lead at the Azteca, but were pegged back at the end by two America penalties. Both sides will know that one mistake decides the tie. Los Universitarios, as the first seed, only need to draw to reach the semi-finals — Las Águilas, the eighth seed, must win.
The Azteca will be heaving. Capital-rivalry semi-final, atmosphere all set. The bookmakers had not priced this fixture at bet365 at time of writing — Pumas should be priced as a moderate favorite given home advantage, the higher seed and a regular-phase that finished joint-top on points.
Best Bets & Predictions: Pumas vs Club América
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
| Pumas to win or draw | -175 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Tabla General leaders, home, higher seed — Pumas only need to avoid defeat. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -175 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Six goals in leg 1, América have to chase and are without a clean sheet in 7 Liga MX games. |
| Robert Morales to score anytime | +175 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Morales is Pumas’s top scorer with 8 Clausura goals on 21 shots on target. |
| Over 2.5 goals | -142 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | América have to win on the road; leg 1 produced 6, Pumas averaged 2.6 goals per match in their last 6. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 Pumas | +1000 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐ | Pumas seal the tie, América grab one as they push for parity. |
| Brian Rodríguez to score anytime | +175 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Brian Rodríguez is Las Águilas’s top scorer with 6 Clausura goals on 16 shots on target. |
Our approach: Pumas to win or draw is the safest read. Stack with Morales anytime; BTTS Yes is comfortable too once the markets price up.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Bet365 had not priced this fixture at time of writing — check the operator for live pricing closer to kick-off. Please gamble responsibly.
Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Match-specific prediction market pricing for Chivas vs Tigres from Kalshi and Polymarket are listed below.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization
21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Aggregate State
Aggregate level at 3-3 from leg one at the Azteca. Pumas, as the first seed, advance on a win or a draw. Las Águilas need to win on the road in front of a hostile Olímpico crowd.
Leg one was end-to-end. Both sides traded early blows before Pumas took control either side of half-time. However, a lack of concentration got to them, conceding two late penalties to tie the scores. Keylor Navas made four important saves and kept Pumas alive as they head for the home leg.
Tabla General — Clausura 2026
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pumas | 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 17 | +17 | 36 |
| Club América | 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 25 |
Pumas finished first on goals scored, ahead of Chivas — both on 36 points, but Los Universitarios edge the tiebreak. Club América sneaked into the QFs in eighth, just inside the cut-off in the compressed Clausura format that scrapped Reclasificación. The seven-seed gap reflects the regular-phase quality difference.
Potential Match-Winners
- Robert Morales (Pumas): 8 Clausura goals on 21 shots on target — Pumas’s most clinical option and the regular-phase form striker.
- Juninho (Pumas): 7 goals and 3 assists in 13 starts — played from the right in Pumas’ 3-5-2 set-up in the first leg.
- Brian Rodríguez (Club América): 6 goals and 2 assists, 16 shots on target — Las Águilas’s first-choice striker.
- Alejandro Zendejas (Club América): 3 goals and 3 assists despite only 9 starts — América’s most direct creative threat.
Head-to-Head
The capital rivalry has produced some volatile results. América hammered Pumas 4-1 in the Apertura, Pumas got revenge with a 1-0 home win in March, and the leg-1 3-3 left it dead level. Pumas have the home crowd; América have a recent 4-1 win on the books to reference.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Club América 3-3 Pumas | Liga MX QF Leg 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Pumas 1-0 Club América | Liga MX (regular) |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Club América 4-1 Pumas | Liga MX (regular) |
Recent Form
Pumas finished the regular phase having lost just one of 17. América limped in by comparison — six defeats in the half-season, a Tabla General points total 11 lower than Pumas’. The leg-one draw flattered América. Full Liga MX schedule and results on the hub.
Pumas vs Club América Prediction
Pumas have everything in their favor: the lone Tabla General defeat, the goalkeeper (Keylor Navas), the home crowd, the higher seed, and a draw is enough. América come in needing a win on the road against the regular-phase leaders. The margins are with Los Universitarios. Pumas to win or draw is the lead; Morales anytime is the cleaner secondary. Live pricing on bet365; the Clausura outright odds are also worth a look.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER