New York City FC welcome Columbus Crew to Yankee Stadium on Sunday afternoon with two clubs separated only by goal difference at the Eastern Conference playoff cutoff.
Kick-off is Sunday, May 10, at 4:30 PM ET.
NYCFC sit ninth on 12 points, the Crew 10th on the same. The winner will end the week above the playoff line, though a draw gives others a chance to climb in. Nico Fernandez has carried the home attack with eight goals in 11 starts; Diego Rossi has four for the visitors. Columbus are without leading scorer Wessam Abou Ali (knee) for the rest of the season, which sharpens the angle on a tight match.
The H2H tilts Columbus 2-1-2 in the last five — including a 4-2 home win in 2024 — but bet365 see this as a tight home call as NYCFC won the most recent meeting 3-2 in September: NYC at +140 and the Crew at +165.
Best Bets & Predictions: NYCFC vs Columbus Crew
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYCFC to win | +140 @ bet365 (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Columbus are without leading scorer Abou Ali; NYC have Fernandez in form at home. |
| Nicolas Fernandez to score anytime | +160 @ bet365 (38.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Fernandez has eight goals and 21 shots on target in 11 — NYCFC’s most efficient scorer. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -175 @ bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams have scored in six of last seven for Columbus. NYCFChave conceded 11 in last five, but have scored five during that time. |
| Over 3.5 goals | +163 @ bet365 (58.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of last four H2Hs have yielded at least five goals. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 NYCFC | +850 @ bet365 (10.5%) | ⭐⭐ | Fits the Yankee Stadium home pattern: a Fernandez goal, a Rossi reply, NYC closes it out. |
| Diego Rossi to score anytime | +140 @ bet365 (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Rossi has four goals in 11 — Columbus’s lead striker with Abou Ali sidelined. |
Our approach: Lead with Fernandez anytime at +160, stack BTTS Yes for the volume, and add NYCFC to win at +140.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Polymarket traders favor NYCFC as the home pick, with the spread reflecting the bet365 line — slight tilt to the hosts but no runaway. Kalshi sits in the same range across the merged Match Result book. Both venues see this as the closest of Sunday’s three MLS fixtures.
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Season Form & Standings
Both clubs sit on 12 points and either side of the East playoff line. NYCFC have the marginally better goal difference, but neither has been able to build a streak. The matchweek’s tightest playoff-line collision.
| Eastern Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | 9 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 12 |
| Columbus Crew | 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 12 |
Live MLS standings and the MLS stats hub for the leaderboards.
Potential Match-Winners
- Nicolas Fernandez (NYCFC): Eight goals, four big chances created and 21 shots on target in 11 — comfortably NYCFC’s most efficient finisher.
- Maxi Moralez (NYCFC): One goal and six assists from seven big chances created in 11 — the senior creative voice and Fernandez’s primary supplier.
- Hannes Wolf (NYCFC): Two goals and one assist in nine starts. Wide outlet on the right.
- Diego Rossi (Columbus Crew): Four goals and eight shots on target in 11 — the lead striker with Abou Ali ruled out.
- Max Arfsten (Columbus Crew): Three goals, four assists and six big chances created in 11 — Columbus’s most active attacking outlet down the left.
Head-to-Head
Columbus have edged the recent record two wins to one with two draws. The 4-2 home win in 2024 is the heaviest result; the most recent meeting in September 2025 went to NYCFC 3-2 at Yankee Stadium.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | NYCFC 3-2 Columbus Crew | MLS |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Columbus Crew 0-0 NYCFC | MLS |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Columbus Crew 4-2 NYCFC | MLS |
| Jun 14, 2024 | NYCFC 2-3 Columbus Crew | MLS |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Columbus Crew 1-1 NYCFC | MLS |
Recent Form
NYCFC — L L D W L
- Apr 11: L 0-2 at Vancouver Whitecaps
- Apr 18: L 1-2 vs Charlotte (home)
- Apr 22: D 4-4 vs Cincinnati (home)
- Apr 25: W 1-0 at CF Montréal
- May 2: L 0-2 vs DC United (home)
Two home defeats in three at Yankee Stadium and Citi Field. The Boys in Blue have struggled at home — three of their five MLS losses have been on home turf.
Columbus Crew — D L W W L
- Apr 12: D 1-1 vs Orlando City (home)
- Apr 18: L 1-2 at New England Revolution
- Apr 22: W 2-1 vs LA Galaxy (home)
- Apr 25: W 2-0 vs Philadelphia Union (home)
- May 2: L 2-3 vs Minnesota United (home)
Three results from Columbus’s last four came at New Crew Stadium — two wins and a defeat. Diego Rossi has four shots on target in his last three.
NYCFC vs Columbus Crew Prediction
Take Fernandez anytime at +160 as the cleanest player-prop play, NYCFC to win at +140 for the home call, and BTTS Yes for the volume. The 2-1 NYCFC correct score at +850 is the bigger-price punt.
Back NYC at bet365, or browse the bet365 review. The full Sunday slate including Minnesota vs Austin and LAFC vs Houston is on the MLS hub.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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