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Minnesota United vs Austin FC: Predictions, odds & picks

Minnesota United vs Austin FC - MLS Matchday

Minnesota United host Austin FC at Allianz Field on Sunday evening with the Loons riding their best run of the season and Austin warming up after a poor March.

Kick-off is Sunday, May 10, at 7:00 PM ET.

Minnesota sit fifth in the Western Conference on 20 points after winning five of their last six — including a 3-2 win at Columbus last time. Austin are 11th on 13 but have won their last two after a seven-game slump. Kelvin Yeboah leads the Loons’ line with seven goals; Myrto Uzuni has four for the visitors.

The all-time MLS H2H is dead level, with five wins each and two draws. 

Best Bets & Predictions: Minnesota United vs Austin FC

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Minnesota United to win-145 @ bet365
(59.2%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Loons have won five of their last six matches and are far ahead in the West
Kelvin Yeboah to score anytime+110 @ bet365
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Yeboah has seven goals and 11 shots on target in 11 — Minnesota’s most reliable scorer.
Both Teams to Score: Yes-150 @ bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Both teams have scored in all five of Austin’s away games in 2026.
Over 2.5 goals-150 @ bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐MNUFC’s last match produced five goals, 3+ goals in each of Austin’s last four prior to their double 2-0 home push.
Correct Score: 2-1 Minnesota+750 @ bet365
(11.8%)
⭐⭐Fits the Loons home pattern — a Yeboah goal, an Uzuni reply, the home side closes it out.
Myrto Uzuni to score anytime+260 @ bet365
(27.8%)
⭐⭐⭐Uzuni has four goals and nine shots on target — Austin’s lead striker.

Our approach: Lead with Yeboah anytime at +110 — the cleanest play of the night — stack BTTS Yes, and back Minnesota at -145.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability

Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.

Polymarket traders have Minnesota as a clear home pick, with the spread reflecting the bet365 line. Kalshi sits in the same range across the merged Match Result book — both venues firmly on the home side after the Loons’ four-win run.

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Season Form & Standings

Minnesota are fifth on 20 points after their best run of the season, while Austin are 11th on 13 and need this kind of fixture to stay in the playoff conversation. Both have negative goal difference, but Minnesota’s recent form is the better story.

Western ConferencePosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Minnesota United5116231416-220
Austin FC11113441619-313

Live MLS standings and the MLS stats hub for the leaderboards.

Potential Match-Winners

  • Kelvin Yeboah (Minnesota United): Seven goals and 11 shots on target in 11 — the Loons’ lead striker.
  • Joaquin Pereyra (Minnesota United): Four assists and eight big chances created in 11 — the deep-lying creator who feeds Yeboah.
  • Anthony Markanich (Minnesota United): Three goals from defense in 11 — high-volume attacking left-back, an unusual scoring source.
  • Myrto Uzuni (Austin FC): Four goals and nine shots on target in 10 starts — Austin’s primary attacking threat.
  • Facundo Torres (Austin FC): One goal, four assists and eight shots on target in 11 — the playmaker who adds the second-line creativity.

Head-to-Head

These sides have shared five wins each and two draws all-time, with both stalemates coming in the last two meetings. 

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Austin FC 2-2 Minnesota UnitedMLS
May 24, 2025Minnesota United 1-1 Austin FCMLS
May 3, 2025Austin FC 0-3 Minnesota UnitedMLS
Jun 22, 2024Minnesota United 0-1 Austin FCMLS
Feb 24, 2024Austin FC 1-2 Minnesota UnitedMLS

Recent Form

Minnesota United — W W W L W

  • Apr 4: W 2-1 at LA Galaxy
  • Apr 11: W 2-1 at San Diego FC
  • Apr 18: W 2-0 vs Portland Timbers (home)
  • Apr 25: L 0-1 vs LAFC (home)
  • May 2: W 3-2 at Columbus Crew

Four wins in five and the kind of run that has dragged Minnesota up the table. The Loons have scored two or more in eight of their last 11.

Austin FC — W D L W W

  • Apr 11: W 2-1 vs LA Galaxy (home)
  • Apr 18: D 3-3 at Toronto FC
  • Apr 22: L 1-5 at San Jose Earthquakes
  • Apr 25: W 2-0 vs Houston Dynamo (home)
  • May 2: W 2-0 vs St. Louis City (home)

Three home wins in the last four — Austin have settled at Q2 even if the road form has cracked them open. The 5-1 hammering in San Jose is the worst night of the run.

Minnesota United vs Austin FC Prediction

The Loons are in the form they need to be in heading toward the playoff fight. Take Yeboah anytime at +110 as the cleanest play, BTTS Yes for the goals volume, and Minnesota at -145 for the home call.

Back the Loons at bet365, or browse the bet365 review. NYCFC vs Columbus kicks off earlier; LAFC vs Houston closes the Sunday slate. Full card on the MLS hub.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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