
Manchester United welcome Leeds United to Old Trafford on Monday, April 13, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM ET.
The Red Devils have dominated this fixture in recent years and currently boast a far more potent attack, while Leeds arrive searching for their first win against Man United since their famous FA Cup win at Old Trafford in 2010.
With both teams seeking to shape their late-season narrative, this Premier League clash could prove decisive for confidence and momentum.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the 2025/26 Premier League stats and the latest head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for Manchester United vs Leeds United. We’re particularly confident in Manchester United to win, thanks to their superior attacking numbers and total dominance over Leeds in recent meetings.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United to Win | -161 @ Bet365 (61.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Four wins and three draws for Manchester United in last seven vs Leeds; far more goals scored this season. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -137 @ Bet365 (57.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams combine for over 90 shots per match; five of last seven head-to-heads saw at least three goals. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -133 @ Bet365 (57.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Manchester United’s defense has just five clean sheets; Leeds have scored in all but one of their last five away games. |
| Draw No Bet: Manchester United | -455 @ Bet365 (81.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Manchester United unbeaten in last seven vs Leeds; extra insurance if Leeds spring a surprise. |
Our approach: Start with Manchester United to win, add Over 2.5 Goals for parlay potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization
Season Form & Standings
The 2025/26 Premier League Standings show Manchester United in third place, firmly in the Champions League race, while Leeds United sit in 15th and remain at risk of being dragged into the relegation scrap. United have collected 55 points from 31 games (48% win rate), while Leeds, with 33 points, need a strong finish to secure their top-flight status. Both clubs exited domestic cups before the latter stages this season, focusing full attention on league objectives.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 3 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56 | 43 | +13 | 55 |
| Leeds United | 15 | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 33 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United): Sixteen assists in the 2025/26 Premier League season, averaging 0.5 assists and 2.8 chances created per game. The league’s premier creative force.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United): Physical presence up front, leading Leeds in touches in the opposition box and averaging 1.8 shots on target per 90.
Head-to-Head: Last 7 Meetings
Manchester United have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning four and drawing three of the last seven encounters with Leeds United. Leeds have not registered a win in this matchup since returning to the Premier League.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Leeds United 0-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Manchester United 2-2 Leeds United | Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Leeds United 2-4 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Manchester United 5-1 Leeds United | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Leeds United 0-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Manchester United 6-2 Leeds United | Premier League |
Manchester United vs Leeds United Prediction
All the data points to Manchester United extending their dominant run against Leeds United. The home side’s creative depth, led by Bruno Fernandes, and a more cohesive attack should prove decisive against a Leeds side that struggles for end product and control in big games. Back Manchester United to win at -161 with Bet365 (61.7% implied probability) as the top selection for Monday’s Premier League clash at Old Trafford.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.