Necaxa vs Club Puebla: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Necaxa host Club Puebla at Estadio Victoria on Friday, September 11 (9:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM CT / 6:00 PM PT).

There’s no fresh injury or suspension news on either side. Necaxa’s attack still runs through Julian Simon Carranza, who has 4 goals from 16 shots (7 on target) this term, with Miguel Emilio Rodriguez Macias and Juan David Valencia Longa each adding a goal of their own. Club Puebla arrive with Eduardo Mustre Torres as top scorer on 3 goals, while Kevin Andres Velasco Bonilla supplies the service, creating 17 chances across 525 minutes.

Both sides go into this one off a defeat: Necaxa fell 1-3 at home to Cruz Azul in their last outing, while Puebla lost 2-0 at Club America. That pairing of results points toward a cagey night at Estadio Victoria rather than an open game, with our model landing on a narrow home win.

US viewers can watch Necaxa vs Club Puebla on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Necaxa vs Club Puebla: Best Bets & Predictions

Necaxa look to shake off a home defeat against a Puebla side coming off a blank away from home.

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NecaxaTop pickPlaying at Estadio Victoria with Julian Simon Carranza's 4 goals leading the line gives Necaxa the edge in a tight home fixture.

52%win prob.opening soon @ bet365

1-0 NecaxaA repeat of the 2-1 home win over Monterrey feels less likely than a tighter margin, with the model settling on Carranza doing just enough to make it 1-0.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

NoPuebla were held scoreless in their most recent away trip, a 2-0 loss at Club America, and a similarly quiet night in front of goal fits this script.

44%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Under 2.5Our model reads this as a low-event night at Estadio Victoria, with the projected 1-0 scoreline sitting comfortably under the total.

45%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Julian Simon Carranza to scoreNo player in this match has more goals on the board than Carranza's 4, and he's needed just 7 shots on target to get there.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we anchor every pick to the stats in front of us — recent results, shots and chances created — then let the model's scoreline projection guide the Correct Score, Both Teams to Score and Over/Under calls.

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Season Form & Standings

Puebla have taken 10 points from 6 games this Apertura – 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. Necaxa’s league record isn’t showing points on the board yet in the data available, so this preview leans on their recent match-by-match form and shot numbers instead.

Liga MX

Potential Match-Winners

• Julian Simon Carranza (Necaxa): Leads Necaxa’s line with four goals from 16 shots (seven on target) this season – the one home player capable of deciding this on his own.
• Eduardo Mustre Torres (Club Puebla): Puebla’s top scorer with 3 goals, the main threat whenever they get bodies forward.
• Kevin Andres Velasco Bonilla (Club Puebla): The creative engine of this Puebla side, setting up chances at volume – 17 created across 525 minutes.

Recent Form

Necaxa: W L L D L

• 2026-08-28: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul (L, home)
• 2026-08-23: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa (D, away)
• 2026-08-17: Necaxa 1-2 Club Leon (L, home)
• 2026-08-02: Toluca 3-1 Necaxa (L, away)
• 2026-07-26: Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey (W, home)

Necaxa’s last five reads W L L D L: a 2-1 home win over Monterrey, a 3-1 loss at Toluca, a 1-2 home defeat to Club Leon, a 1-1 draw at Pumas UNAM, and a 1-3 home loss to Cruz Azul most recently.

Club Puebla: L D W W L

• 2026-08-29: Club America 2-0 Club Puebla (L, away)
• 2026-08-22: Club Puebla 3-2 Santos Laguna (W, home)
• 2026-08-17: Pachuca 2-3 Club Puebla (W, away)
• 2026-07-31: Club Puebla 1-1 Chivas (D, home)
• 2026-07-21: Cruz Azul 2-1 Club Puebla (L, away)

Puebla’s sequence is L D W W L: a 2-1 loss at Cruz Azul, a 1-1 home draw with Chivas, a 3-2 win away at Pachuca, a 3-2 home win over Santos Laguna, and a 2-0 loss at Club America most recently.

Necaxa vs Club Puebla Prediction

Puebla sit on 10 points from 6 games in the data available, still in the mix for a Liguilla spot, while Necaxa’s table numbers aren’t logged the same way here – their case rests on recent form instead, which has cooled since that 2-1 win over Monterrey. At Estadio Victoria we expect a tight, low-scoring affair, with Julian Simon Carranza’s movement enough to break the deadlock. Necaxa to win 1-0.